Topic: Housing

Leader in a Land of Extremes

April 26, 2026

By Anthony Flint, April 26, 2026

The Lincoln Institute’s Mayor’s Desk series has featured municipal leaders from a wide range of metropolitan regions all over the world, but the latest installment may well be the most farflung: Fairbanks, Alaska, a city of about 30,000 people adjacent to Russia and the North Pole that was awarded the title of coldest city in America, having set a record low of minus 66 degrees Fahrenheit. Not counting any wind chill.

The place is “a land of extremes,” says Mayor Mindy O’Neall, who has had to manage a range of issues, from affordable housing to climate change, that land differently at the gateway to the Arctic. It’s a good thing, she observes, that living there brings out a special kind of resilience.

“At the heart of it is the people … who have grit and determination,” said O’Neall, the latest chief executive to be interviewed in the Mayor’s Desk series, recorded for the Land Matters podcast. The swing from frigid cold to surprisingly hot summers, and from deep darkness to strong sunlight, fosters a mindset of both abundance and scarcity. “We’re at the end of the line, we have three to four days of food security at any given time.”

O’Neall, 44, unseated an incumbent last year to become the city’s 53rd mayor. She campaigned on themes including downtown revitalization, affordable housing, and public safety, and has pursued strategies to promote generational wealth through homeownership and leverage government-owned land for affordable housing.

“Building homes and housing has been the game or the business of large, wealthy developers. And in our community, we just can’t really afford that. We don’t have enough folks for a large developer to make money here,” she said. “When we start to rethink about who’s investing in our own community and who can invest, then we start to, I think, build out that wealth, better.”

The freeze-and-thaw dynamics that have become more careening in a rapidly changing climate have also been a challenge, as the region must attempt to manage extreme occurrences ranging from floods to wildfires.

“They often call the Arctic the canary in the coal mine, because we start to see the issues of climate change far beyond and far before the lower 48 or other parts of the world. The Arctic has been saying that something’s happening in our environment for quite some time,” O’Neall said.

“I don’t think that there’s really much we can do about this now. It’s happening. We’re in a cycle of climatic disruption, for sure. But we can plan for extreme events, so we know what we’re going to do when the power goes out and it’s negative 30 degrees. We know what’s going to happen when our river floods in the middle of our town, and we’ve lost access to the hospital.

“We’re seeing less and less investment from the federal government,” she said. “So as Alaskans, it’s time for us to think really hard about how we want to protect… our assets. And that comes back to the values that we hold as a community.”

O’Neall grew up in Iowa and drove a stick-shift pickup truck up north, first working as an aide in the Alaska Legislature, then at the Fairbanks Economic Development Corporation and the Interior Gas Utility, and also founded Blue Canoe Media, a boutique communications and consulting firm. She holds a BA in Event Planning and Business Communication from Iowa State University and an MA in Professional Communications from the University of Alaska Fairbanks, where her research focused on governance and climate impacts on rural Alaska, including the relocation of Native communities.

Prior to her election as mayor, she served on the Fairbanks North Star Borough Assembly and was executive director of the Cold Climate Housing Research Center, and also serves on the boards of the Alaska State Homebuilders Association and Alaska Municipal League.

Aerial View of the Fairbanks, Alaska Skyline during Summer
Downtown Fairbanks, Alaska. Credit: Jacob Boomsma via iStock/Getty Images Plus.

 

She lives in downtown Fairbanks with her dog, Tito, who she pointed out is the true official dog of Alaska—the mutt. O’Neall visited Cambridge recently as part of the Just City Mayoral Fellowship at Harvard University’s Graduate School of Design, now in partnership with the Bloomberg Center for Cities.

An edited version of this Mayor’s Desk interview will appear online and in print in Land Lines magazine. The first 20 of these Q&As were compiled in the book Mayor’s Desk: 20 Conversations with Local Leaders Solving Global Problems, which includes a foreword by Michael Bloomberg.

Listen to the show here or subscribe to Land Matters on Apple Podcasts, SpotifyYouTube, or wherever you listen to podcasts.

 


Further Reading

Fairbanks Passes 2026 City Budget, Adds Positions | KTUU/KTVF

Climate Hazards Cost Fairbanks, Anchorage Homeowners Millions | University of Alaska News

Energy Crisis Faces Fairbanks as Well as Anchorage | Reporting from Alaska

  


Anthony Flint is a senior fellow at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, host of the Land Matters podcast, and a contributing editor of Land Lines. 


Transcript

[00:00:05] Anthony Flint: Welcome to Episode 3 of Season 7 of the Land Matters podcast. I’m your host, Anthony Flint. In our Mayor’s Desk series here at the Lincoln Institute, we interview municipal chief executives from around the world. Our latest conversation brings us all the way to Fairbanks, Alaska, a city of about 30,000 people, way up north near Russia, the gateway to the Arctic as it’s known, the second largest city in the state after Anchorage, and a metropolis that has been awarded the title of coldest city in America, having set a record low of minus 66 degrees Fahrenheit.

We’re talking with 44-year-old Mindy O’Neall, who recently replaced an incumbent and campaigned on themes including downtown revitalization, affordable housing, and public safety. She grew up in Iowa and drove a stick shift pickup truck up north, first working as an aide in the Alaska State Legislature, then the Fairbanks Economic Development Corporation and the Interior Gas Utility, and also founded Blue Canoe Media, a boutique communications and consulting firm.

She holds a BA in event planning and business communication from Iowa State University and an MA in professional communications from the University of Alaska Fairbanks, where her research focused on governance and climate impacts on rural Alaska, including the relocation of Native communities. Prior to her election as mayor, she served on the Fairbanks North Star Borough Assembly and was executive director of the Cold Climate Housing Research Center, and also serves on the boards of the Alaska State Homebuilders Association and Alaska Municipal League.

She lives in downtown Fairbanks with her dog, Tito, who, as she pointed out, is the true official dog of Alaska, the mutt. I first met her at a program for mayors at Harvard and followed up with this interview.

For the uninitiated, including those of us in the lower 48, what kind of place is Fairbanks, and why did you want to be mayor?

[00:02:22] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: Well, thanks, Anthony, and thanks for inviting me onto the show. I get this question a lot, especially for the uninitiated, as you said. That’s cute. You’re right. Fairbanks really is an exotic place. I would say we’re the land of extremes. We are extremely cold in the winter. We’re extremely warm in the summer. Some people may be surprised to learn that we can get up to 90 to 100 degrees in the summer. The force of the sun, the feeling of the sun, is so direct that it is just something you have to experience. We have exotic animals, grizzly bears, and polar bears. We have extreme industry like mining and gas and oil development. We are definitely a place of extremes.

At the heart of it is the people. It’s these people who have grit and determination, and oftentimes this mindset of abundance, where we have so much, as far as so much light, so much darkness. Then, a lot of times, this mindset of scarcity as well, where we’re at the end of the line, we have three to four days of food security at any given time. There’s things that also come into play that really just demonstrate how much of an extreme environment we live in.

Yes, wanting to be mayor. I’ve been in Alaska for over 23 years. I’m originally from Iowa, so I’m a land dweller from the middle of the United States. I came up here, just like a lot of other folks, looking for adventure. If you’ve ever been to the Midwest, they say, “Why would you ever want to leave the land, the heartland?” I said, “Don’t worry, I’ll be back in a year. I just want to go check it out.” After a year, it was painfully obvious that there was so much more to discover to Alaska that I just had to stay. I made my way up to Fairbanks from Anchorage after being there for seven years. I worked in the legislature and started to work for an interior gas utility that brought natural gas to our town.

During that time, I was an untraditional student and went back to our flagship university at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, and got a master’s in organizational development. I wrote my thesis on the politics of relocating Alaska Native villages due to climate change. At the time, I didn’t really realize how that was going to inform my career as much as it has, because after being a labor agent for the laborers. I was the executive director for the Cold Climate Housing Research Center. I spent the last four years doing that while also serving on the Borough Assembly.

One of the things that’s interesting about Alaska is we have seven boroughs that are like counties in the lower 48, and then we have cities within those boroughs. Fairbanks has a borough that has a governing body, which is the assembly, and a mayor. Then within the borough, there are two cities that have each their own mayor and each their own governing bodies. Now I am the mayor of the city of Fairbanks. I have a city council that’s a smaller council that’s located within the borough. The borough is about the size of New Jersey, with 130,000 folks in it. The city is 32,000 of those. Then the city located within the borough is the city of North Pole. They have about 2,500 folks in there.

Like a lot of places where you go from city to city in urban areas, you may or may not know what boundary you’re in. That can be sometimes a point of confusion. We always like to joke for a place that’s so against government and against overregulation, we have a lot of government regulating us.

After serving in the assembly for six and a half years, I started my public service during COVID. I think I had been appointed for about six months and then elected about four months before COVID happened. I really learned how to govern in an elected position through a screen. I do think that COVID was obviously and certainly a pivotal point in politics, but even just in the way that we communicate. That’s my passion, my heart and soul, is communication and journalism, and that sort of thing. We had a mayor that was on paper doing a fine job. He had gotten programs started and knew the city really well and led it, but he was very discriminatory to the Alaska Native population here.

After some comments and some blow-ups that he had on social media, I knew that if anybody was going to be able to beat him in an election, that I’d be able to do it. I just believe that public service is a privilege, and somebody who is in office has to have the respect of every population that is within their community. I’ve wrestled with this a little bit coming into office as, well, the last mayor, he wasn’t doing a bad job. He was actually doing a good job, but he wasn’t showing our community the respect.

I think sometimes we miss out on that key piece of public service is showing your community respect, even if you don’t understand them, even if you don’t agree with them. I think that we have lost that on a lot of levels of government these days. I believe in government. I believe that we have government for a reason. When you don’t have good governance, I do think that one of the benefits of being in this position in the last six months is being a female. This is the first time Fairbanks has had a female mayor in about two decades. I’m the fourth one since 1903.

It’s really touching to be able to be, and especially a young female in my 40s, leading this community and being a role model for other girls in our community to see that there’s somebody like them who treats a community with respect and can lead in an environment that is sometimes very hostile and sometimes very male-driven. That’s a long way of saying that’s how I ended up here.

[00:09:02] Anthony Flint: Everybody’s wrestling with affordability these days. One big part of that is housing. What are the policies that can help in your region, whether home buying or renting?

[00:09:14] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: I mentioned at the beginning that Fairbanks is at the end of the line. While that’s true, we also have an abundance of resources that are part of our economy. We have timber, we have renewable energy, we have access to gravel, and alternative methods such as mycelium. While we’re at the end of the road, we have these resources at our disposal to be innovative on how we approach housing. I think that those answers come in local manufacturing of our own resources, innovation, and then also building things like kind of part homes that have been tested for extreme environments.

We suffer from a housing stock that’s from the ’70s. Alaska really got its last big boom during the oil pipeline of the ’70s. What happened was there was such an explosion of Westerners coming up to the state that they built things the way that they knew how to build things, which was without a lot of insulation, built out of whatever they had. We suffer from very inefficient housing. When we talk about what affordable housing is, for us, it really has to include a component of energy efficiency, so we can even afford to heat our homes.

This year, we’ve had one of the coldest winters on record. I think it was the fourth coldest winter on record. We also got a remarkable amount of snow. It’s been very challenging for folks, especially now that oil prices are going up. We have about 1,200 folks in our community that are on natural gas. Everybody else is heating their homes with diesel fuel. If you think about that, we have folks who are getting delivery of diesel fuel to their homes, myself included. I live in the most urban part of our city.

Going back to affordable housing, it really does include this holistic look of what’s going to work and how we can be energy efficient with our housing, but also how we can use our local resources for innovation and how we can manufacture the resources that we have here. Secondly, and this is something that I think is really interesting, is this idea, this concept of building generational wealth outside of homeownership. That’s a model and a tool that I’d really like to explore more as we talk about how we’re building affordable housing in our community.

[00:11:45] Anthony Flint: This is this idea that not everybody has to buy a home. It’s perfectly fine to rent.

[00:11:50] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: Perfectly fine to rent, but then the next question is, how do renters gain generational wealth so they’re not just handing over money every month without anything in return? They get a house to live in, but there’s no equity in it after a while. In what ways — and I know there are models out there — when we’re building affordable housing, how can we lower the amount of investment for folks in a way that it might not come back to them for 30 to 50 years, but in 30 to 50 years, they’re on their second or third generation of family where they have security in their family in a form of tangible wealth?

[00:12:34] Anthony Flint: There’s also the community land trust model, where you have this more shared equity, and there’s limits on resale, but you still have it.

[00:12:43] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: I like that. There’s more and more folks talking about how to do this in innovative ways. I think typically building homes and housing has been the game or the business of large, wealthy developers. In our community, we just can’t really afford that. We don’t have enough folks for a large developer to make money here. When we start to rethink about who’s investing in our own community, and who can invest, then we start to, I think, build out that wealth better.

[00:13:17] Anthony Flint: The Lincoln Institute has been helping municipalities identify government-owned land that can be used for affordable housing. Do you see opportunities in that approach?

[00:13:29] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: Absolutely, I do. A few facts for you here. 60% of our land in Alaska is federal. 25% is owned by the state of Alaska. It’s about 580,000 acres. 10% is owned by Native corporations, and 1% is private. We have a lot of government land that’s available. Now, about 80 million of those acres are managed for conservation, but that’s still quite a bit of land left for us to use. I think what the Lincoln Institute is doing, exploring these different land-use models, including transportation and other components of community building, is fantastic. I can’t wait to get my hands on more of that information. I signed up for the newsletter.

We have a parking structure that has been mothballed for, gosh, probably five years. The university that used it ended up not needing it. They literally welded the doors shut, and this building has been sitting there deteriorating ever since. Through the Alaska Housing Finance Corporation, who is a statewide housing financing bank, they purchased that parking garage and have put it out for bid for affordable housing. They worked with us, saying, “Okay, we own this now, but it’s right in the middle of your city. What do you want to do with this?” We walked through the options that we have. Do we want senior housing? Yes, we desperately need senior housing. Is this the right place? We don’t think so. Okay. Next option, affordable housing, high-end housing, two bedrooms, apartment. What is it that we need? Through that process, we’ve put out an RFP for a developer to then build two or three stories on top of that parking garage, therefore activating the space using, again, the parking garage for parking, covered parking, which is very important in Fairbanks, Alaska, but also getting units into the downtown core.

That’s one example. There’s a few others that we have ongoing in town, but that’s one example that I’m really eager to see how that plays out.

[00:15:48] Anthony Flint: What are the unique challenges of living with climate change in Alaska, and what, at the state and local level, can be done about it?

[00:15:57] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: They often call the Arctic the canary in the coal mine because we start to see the issues of climate change far beyond and far before the lower 48 or other parts of the world. The Arctic has been saying that something’s happening in our environment for quite some time. I mentioned before what we’ve noticed is we have more wind in Fairbanks, which means that we have more risk for summer fires, wildfires. In the winter, we’ve had more snow than usual.

It’s also been very cold, so colder than usual, which means that our ground will not thaw quickly, meaning that when the temperature gets hot in the air, what’s going to happen? It’s all going to melt into water, but there’s going to be nowhere for it to go because the ground hasn’t unthawed yet. Now we miss out on that water. We get lots of floods, and then we don’t have moisture in the ground, and so it’s more susceptible to wildfires in the summer. That’s just one instance of the cycle of how climate change has affected the interior.

I don’t think that there’s really much we can do about this now. It’s happening. We’re in a cycle of climatic disruption, for sure, but we can plan for it. We can plan for extreme events, so we know what we’re going to do when the power goes out and it’s negative 30 degrees. We know what’s going to happen when our river floods in the middle of our town and we’ve lost access to the hospital or to hotels. We know what to do when we have an ice event because we got three or four inches of rain on top of three or four feet of snow in the middle of winter, and how that affects the animals, the moose. How it affects our ability to hunt and fish and gather berries or medicinal foods.

I think planning is a very big part of how we are prepared because, honestly, you don’t know what’s going to happen from season to season. The other thing is with planning comes money. Alaska is a place where we do not collect sales taxes on a statewide basis. Some municipalities do — we do not, as the municipality of Fairbanks — and income taxes. We pay property taxes, and that’s all we pay. As we address these more and more climatic, dramatic events, it’s costing us more and more to repair the roads, costing more and more to protect the utilities that are above and below ground, and somewhere that’s going to have to come from funding.

We’re seeing less and less investment from the federal government for events like that. As Alaskans, it’s time for us to think really hard about how we want to protect and at what level we want to protect our assets that we have, and what level of commitment that comes from our own pocketbooks.

[00:19:04] Anthony Flint: Yes, leading into that, figuring some of this stuff out at the local level or the local and state level seems to be really important right now. How have you navigated being a mayor at a time when the federal government is reducing funding and more or less withdrawing from being a partner on so many issues?

[00:19:26] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: Yes. It seems like we continue to ask our employees to do more with less. At the same time, the public expects services to be modern. That means we have to invest in technology. A lot of times, we just don’t have the funding for that. It’s a tough spot, I got to say. I have all of these ideas and plans for being mayor. Then you come into the office and you’re like, “Okay, how am I going to make this work with the operations that we already have going, the way we want to provide services and make things more efficient for our public with less and less funding from the state and from the federal government?”

Again, I do think that we’re going to have to look at ways that we contribute to ourselves, and that comes back to the values that we hold as a community. We’re a place where tourists want to be because that’s also a big part of our economy. It’s tough. I haven’t figured it out yet, but I have two and a half more years to go. It’s definitely something I’m working on a lot, and how we do more with less and how we increase, or how we explain the value of good governance with putting our own skin in the game.

[00:20:43] Anthony Flint: Mindy O’Neall is mayor of Fairbanks, Alaska, the latest leader to be interviewed in the Lincoln Institute’s Mayor’s Desk series. We love talking to mayors, and we’ve compiled 20 of these interviews in a book, Mayor’s Desk: 20 Conversations with Local Leaders Solving Global Problems, which includes a forward by Michael Bloomberg. Otherwise, Mayor’s Desk interviews appear in Land Lines magazine, in addition to most of them being broadcast here on the Land Matters podcast. You can find everything on the Lincoln Institute website. Just navigate to lincolninst.edu.

On social media, our handle is @landpolicy. Please go ahead and rate, share, and subscribe to Land Matters, the podcast of the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. For now, I’m Anthony Flint signing off, until next time.

[00:21:41] [END OF AUDIO]

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A site map of church land with potential houses drawn onto it.

Building Homes on Religious-Owned Land

By Anthony Flint, April 14, 2026

If there was ever a clarion call for land use, Yes in God’s Backyard may be the most ethereal. In a riff on the pro-housing movement Yes in My Backyard, YIGBY advocates promote building housing on land owned by churches and other faith-based organizations. More than 100,000 U.S. churches will be closed over the next several years—an estimated one quarter of those in operation—according to the National Council of Churches. Even those that aren’t closing may be looking for new ways to generate income. The major culprit is a drop in attendance. Since these organizations often want to unload land and property, the YIGBY reasoning goes, why not seize the opportunity to convert these sites of houses of worship to include houses.

There is no nationwide analysis of how much religious-owned land might ultimately be available, but state-by-state analysis reveals significant potential. In California, the Terner Center at the University of California Berkeley estimates there are 47,000 acres of developable faith-based land. After filtering out land occupied by cemeteries and the like, Smart Growth Maryland estimates that more than 15,000 acres in that state could be the site of 6,200 new homes. In Massachusetts, the Lincoln Institute’s Center for Geospatial Solutions identified some 5,000 developable parcels totaling 20,000 acres—potentially the site of least 60,000 new homes—in a project with the Lynch Foundation. Most of those parcels had access to existing infrastructure like water and sewer, and were strategically located near transit.

Faced with severe housing shortages, state governments have been actively trying to encourage the conversions. Washington state led the way, followed by Maryland, Virginia, and California, which allowed religious organizations to build affordable housing on their properties by right–and extended the measure to apply to other nonprofit organizations, like veterans’ organizations and fraternal lodges, which face many of the same challenges as houses of worship. Local governments in Atlanta, San Antonio, and Seattle have also sought to streamline the process.

As is the case so often with government-owned parcels, land held by churches can rapidly become contested. When repurposing proposals roll out, neighborhood opposition has been common, manifesting in the original land use acronym that inspired YIMBY and YIGBY: NIMBY, or Not in My Back Yard. If a church property has been quiet for many years, nearby residents are worried about increased activity, parking, and traffic.

A redevelopment proposal for a Presbyterian church in Arlington, Virginia triggered a Change.org petition, Stop High Rises in Arlington Residential Neighborhoods, alleging that the project “will have serious detrimental effects on our community’s character, quality of life, and historical heritage.” In Colorado, YIGBY legislation was sidelined after local governments expressed a concern over loss of local control.

Still, with land in limited supply and restrictions on building so pervasive, an increasing number of communities are determined to seize the opportunity for infill redevelopment on church and nonprofit properties. The key is not to be overzealous, said Richard Reinhard, principal of Niagara Consulting Group, who has been advising cities and houses of worship on how best to proceed with reuse and redevelopment. “YIGBY is promising, but the notion that all surplus faith properties should become 100 percent affordable housing is carelessly simplistic,” he said. He suggests a “360-degree assessment” of each site, which may reveal potential for mixed-use development or a partial repurposing of the property, allowing faith-based organizations to continue operating in some form.

Much like publicly owned land that is being eyed for new uses, the emptying chapels and temples and rectories—not to mention the Knights of Columbus clubhouses or the YMCA gyms—await a new purpose that fulfills another mission of the community: the peaceful dwelling places and secure homes promised in the Bible.


Anthony Flint is a senior fellow at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, host of the Land Matters podcast, and a contributing editor to Land Lines magazine.

Lead image: Site plan from a design charrette in Durham, North Carolina, led by the Faith-Based Housing Initiative. Credit: Faith-Based Housing Initiative.

A rendering of Evoke at Ballantyne shows a four-story, gray and white building with a lawn and small trees.

Enabling Environments: Local Strategies for the Redevelopment of Public Land

By Loren Berlin, April 14, 2026

Ballantyne, North Carolina, is a developing edge city along the south side of Charlotte. With good schools, a number of large employers, and a median household income about 50 percent higher than the national median, it is a desirable and growing area—and it needs more affordable housing.

In response to that need, the City of Charlotte took a new look at one of its most important assets: land. In 2023, the City agreed to lease a 3.4-acre parcel to CSE Communities, a division of the developer Crosland Southeast that specializes in residential mixed-income projects.

Under the lease terms, CSE Communities will pay $1 per year for 75 years and build Evoke Living at Ballantyne, a 60-unit development that will be affordable to low- and moderate-income households. The project will include 12 units affordable to very low-income residents earning 30 percent or less of the area median income (AMI), 32 units affordable to households earning 51 to 60 percent of AMI, and 16 units affordable to those earning 61 to 80 percent of AMI.

As Shawn Heath, the city’s deputy city manager, explained to the South Charlotte Weekly, the project is “a wonderful way to leverage city-owned land to get affordable housing in an area that could use it.” Heath drew special attention to the location of the lot, noting that “it is absolutely hands down in a phenomenal area for affordable housing. It checks all the boxes in terms of access to jobs, amenities, services, local public schools.”

With about a third of U.S. households now cost-burdened—spending more than 30 percent of income on housing and facing tough choices about how to stretch limited budgets—communities across the country are taking on the housing affordability crisis, using a resource they already own. Many are finding that urban sites like surface parking lots, vacant lots, institutional land, and government buildings can be used strategically to boost supply.

The current housing crisis stems from many factors, of course, including stagnant wages, elevated construction costs, and restrictive zoning. But ultimately, the problem comes down to this: the nation has a housing crisis because we don’t have enough housing, by millions of units.

As they seek to increase their stock by redeveloping public land for affordable housing, communities are taking different approaches. In the case of Charlotte, the municipality maintains ownership of the land and issues the developer a ground lease, which ensures that the city retains the land value. In other instances, city governments sell or donate their land.

Sometimes the municipality is actively engaged in the development project through a public-private partnership. Other times, its role is limited to holding the developer accountable to agreed-upon terms. In all cases, municipalities are capitalizing on the land’s potential to address a crucial housing need, and, in doing so, fulfilling the responsibility of government to maximize public assets for public good.

Legislating the Use of State and Local Land

According to an analysis by the Center for Geospatial Solutions (CGS) at the Lincoln Institute, the country has about 276,000 buildable acres of government-owned land that are in urban areas (read: places where people want to live and that already have public infrastructure), accessible to public transit (read: reduce traffic congestion and promote walkability), and are not a park, wetland, conservation easement, or anything else whose development would sacrifice open space. This acreage could support more than 6.9 million homes in places closer to jobs and schools than many traditional development sites tend to offer.

Much of this land is in states with exceptionally high housing costs, including Massachusetts (25,775 acres), Florida (20,800 acres), Washington (15,900 acres), Texas (15,000 acres), and California (14,600 acres). Because this list is a “who’s who” of expensive housing markets, it’s also a register of the places most in need of additional affordable housing.

Crucially, more than 98 percent of this acreage is held by state and local governments. The lack of a federal claim to the land not only helps to streamline and simplify the work of redeploying it, but also empowers state and local governments to determine its highest and best use. Some of it may be better suited for community benefits besides housing, such as open space, a rain garden or other green infrastructure, or recreational facilities.

The Center for Geospatial Solutions conducted a national analysis of potentially buildable government-owned land in transit-accessible, urban areas. Credit: Center for Geospatial Solutions.

One of the most important tools to support state and local governments as they seek to redeploy their land is legislation. There are two key functions that legislation plays in this context. The first is to establish the necessary conditions to enable these sorts of transactions. At the state level, this may include empowering local governments to sell or lease their property at below-market rates, which makes affordable housing developments pencil out.

An example of effective legislation is Washington, DC’s Disposition of District Land for Affordable Housing Amendment Act of 2014, which enables the city to transfer its property for less than the appraised value for affordable housing projects. Under the law, all new multifamily developments must include at least 20 to 30 percent of units affordable to households with annual incomes between 30 to 50 percent of area median. The percentage of units that must be affordable varies depending on the parcel’s location. The closer the parcel is to public transit, the higher the required percentage of affordable units.

Legislation can further promote efficient use of public land by requiring municipalities to include, or consider including, housing as part of publicly sponsored projects. In Montgomery County, Maryland, Bill 37-12 requires the County to assess the feasibility of including a “significant amount” of affordable housing in proposed capital improvement projects, such as libraries, recreation centers, and transit stations.

An added benefit of legislation is that it can help all stakeholders get on the same page about what is or is not allowed or required when repurposing publicly owned land. Given the multiple government entities that may be involved in such a transaction, this clarity is helpful in resolving confusion between and among agencies.

Nevertheless, some elected officials will inevitably hesitate to redeploy public land for housing because of the political risk, says George W. McCarthy, president and CEO of the Lincoln Institute. “Public land is really contested territory,” he notes. “Everybody has an opinion about how any piece of publicly owned land should be used. And anytime somebody allocates this land, somebody will be mad, and that somebody will use it as fuel to make sure that that decisionmaker doesn’t get reelected.”

But McCarthy, who oversaw the design and launch of the Lincoln Institute’s Community Land for Community Benefits campaign earlier this year, says that’s all the more reason to be strategic: “There are ways to release public land efficiently and effectively so that governments are really squeezing all the public benefit out of it.”

Identifying Suitable Parcels

Once a local government has confirmed that it has the legal right to redeploy its land for affordable housing or other community benefits, the question becomes how best to proceed. There are a number of considerations. The first is to identify all eligible parcels.

Determining exactly which public entity owns which piece of land can be difficult. Despite the numerous entities dedicated to overseeing land use in a given community—the zoning boards, the planning departments, the land use commissions—virtually every community lacks a structure that oversees use of the entire portfolio of the land it owns. Consequently, municipal governments usually don’t have a comprehensive, strategic plan for deploying their land. Instead, they typically take an ad hoc, parcel-by-parcel approach that doesn’t consider whether one piece of land is better suited than another for a certain type of redevelopment. The result can be a failure to maximize a parcel’s unique strengths and opportunities.

This is a solvable problem. It begins by inventorying a community’s publicly owned land. “You can’t come up with a good policy to convert land into housing or anything else if you don’t even know what’s out there,” explains Reina Chano Murray, associate director of CGS.

Conducting a complete land audit can be harder than it sounds. Public land can be owned by a range of public entities, such as a transit authority, a water or sewer district, or a parks department, some of whose names may have changed over time and through various mayoral administrations, creating a jumble of owners that must be unraveled.

Once ownership is established, there are the questions of suitable use. As Murray explains, “You need to know the condition of the land. What is its current zoning and the zoning of the surrounding area? Is the area already being supported for water and other utilities? Is it near public transit? This is important context in order to determine which sites are more appropriate for housing development versus some other public need.” CGS is working with communities in Colorado and elsewhere on this kind of land identification and cataloguing, helping communities find the right places to develop housing, implement nature-based solutions, and mitigate climate risks.

Once a local government has identified the parcels that are best suited for affordable housing, it can turn to project configuration. Key considerations include property interest, organizational structures, housing tenure, and affordability requirements. However, there is no universal formula for these transactions, but rather a range of options depending on a community’s assets, needs, and opportunities.

That said, there is one element that McCarthy considers a good idea for any government, regardless of size or circumstances: maintaining ownership. “We recommend not giving away the land if possible,” he advises. “The preferred idea is to lease it because it allows the government to maintain control. If the city owns the land, it can enforce its will. It can say, ‘These are the terms upon which we will give you this lease, and if you don’t comply, we will just take back the land.’”

Putting Policy into Practice

Cities and counties have long dedicated municipal land for purposes ranging from public parks, green infrastructure, and conservation areas to infrastructural needs like transit and utility corridors. But it has been less common for housing to be built on publicly owned land. Here’s how three cities are doing it.

Hamilton, Ontario

The city of Hamilton, Ontario, home to about 570,000 people, began developing housing on municipally owned land about a decade ago. Credit: benedek via iStock/Getty Images.

The City of Hamilton, Ontario, has been strategically deploying its land to facilitate the development of additional housing for about a decade. During that time, the City’s approach has changed, says Ray Kessler, who, as the City’s chief corporate real estate officer, manages the city’s portfolio of about 2,300 parcels of land. (In stark contrast to virtually every American city, Hamilton has an Office of Corporate Real Estate that is tasked with strategically managing all city-owned land as a single portfolio.)

“Initially, when we first began disposing of our land for housing in 2016, we were selling off properties, just like everyone else,” Kessler explains. “But more recently we have adopted what we call a ‘lease-first’ policy, where we prioritize leasing instead of selling our land, when possible.”

When leasing is determined to be a viable option, the City will offer a selected nonprofit housing organization a long-term ground lease, typically at least 40 years in duration, to build and/or operate affordable housing. The rent is nominal, and all approved projects must comply with the City’s Affordable Housing Supply Schedule, which outlines different guidelines depending on the specific piece of land.

In the case of the City-owned parcel at 1126 Garth Street, the Schedule requires that the units be either two- or three-bedroom townhouses, available for rent or purchase (though the developer may be able to build a multi-unit dwelling subject to rezoning). If the townhouses are for sale, at least 50 percent of them must be offered for no more than 90 percent of the average purchase price, and no more than 10 units can be built, per the zoning bylaw.

In the event the townhouses are for rent, at least 30 percent of the units must have a rent level that is no more than 80 percent of the average market rent. And, rents may only be increased annually, and must comply with the Provincial Rent Increase Guidelines, annual guidelines that cap maximum rent increases in Canada and vary by province. In 2026, for example, Ontario’s guideline is 2.1 percent, while it is 2.3 percent in British Columbia.

The City prefers to lease the property because it grants them more ability to ensure that the units are affordable over the long-term. As Kessler explains, “When you have a change of ownership, even if you put controls in place, you can’t guarantee compliance over the long term because you’ve lost the property. With a lease contract, we still own the land, and as long as that contract is written properly, those contractual obligations will give you a lot more power than relying on title-related instruments.”

Additionally, leasing creates economic opportunities for the City. “We haven’t done this yet, but with a lease, we may be able to generate revenues to reinvest into other affordable housing projects. Or, in a denser area like our downtown core, we may be able to sell development rights on, for example, land we own that has a performing arts center on it. That land is zoned by right for 30 stories, but it only has six stories, so if we can transfer some of the density to another site then we can harvest revenue that way.”

Boston, Massachusetts

As part of a larger push to redeploy underutilized public land for public benefit, in 2023 the City of Boston launched “Welcome Home, Boston,” a multi-phase initiative to repurpose city-owned land to build housing affordable to residents with low and moderate incomes. The program follows the completion of the 2022 Citywide Land Audit, an inventory of all property owned by the City—one of Boston’s largest real estate owners.

The audit identified 1,238 parcels totaling 9.5 million square feet of land (5.4 percent of total City holdings) that qualifies as either vacant or underutilized, including small parcels appropriate for infill. One hundred and fifty of these parcels have been made available for affordable homeownership opportunities under “Welcome Home, Boston,” which is funded with $58 million from the City’s American Rescue Plan (ARPA) allocation.

New housing built on a former vacant lot in Boston’s Hyde Park neighborhood. Credit: City of Boston.

Since releasing its first Request for Proposals in June 2023, according to a spokesperson, the City of Boston has approved 10 proposals on 28 parcels that will produce 144 new units of housing affordable to residents with a household income between 80 percent and 100 percent of the area median. In the spring of 2026, the City will approve new proposals for 11 parcels that will produce approximately 40 units, targeting household incomes between 120 percent and 135 percent of the area median. An additional 30-plus parcels are in the planning stages and expected to begin the community engagement process this calendar year.

To help ensure that these affordability goals can be met, the City sells the parcels to the participating developers for a nominal fee. As Sheila A. Dillon, the City’s Chief of Housing, explains, “By making underutilized City parcels available for housing, we can support first-time homebuyers, strengthen neighborhoods, and ensure public land delivers lasting public benefit. In some cases, selling parcels with strong deed restrictions allows the homes to remain affordable for future buyers while reducing the long-term administrative burden of managing land leases. That approach helps the City focus more resources on creating and preserving affordable housing across Boston.”

For example, in 2024, the City sold four vacant lots totaling nearly 16,000 square feet in the Dorchester neighborhood, with an appraised value of $1.26 million for $400, to Norfolk Design & Construction LLC to build 20 affordable homes targeting first-time homebuyers.

“Welcome Home, Boston” is only one of multiple initiatives that the City uses to manage its land. Other larger parcels are moving through a community process to determine the best uses for development. One such parcel is the 18,915 square feet of city-owned land at 55-57 Hudson Street, in Chinatown. The City conveyed the land to the nonprofit Asian Community Development Corporation for a nominal land lease fee to build 110 units of affordable housing, including 66 rental units and 44 condominiums for purchase. The new building will also include a 17,000-square-foot permanent Chinatown branch of the Boston Public Library.

Atlanta, Georgia

As part of a goal to add 20,000 homes to the city’s affordable housing stock by 2030, the City of Atlanta is working to redevelop Fire Station 15, a 0.78-acre parcel of land with a market value of $14.1 million. Located in the popular Midtown neighborhood, the property currently houses a single-story building with a partial basement. Under the proposed redevelopment, a residential, mixed-income 21-story building will be constructed. The latest plans call for 21 stories with a three-story fire station and a five-story parking garage. The remaining floors will offer about 230 apartments, of which about a third will be affordable, a much-needed stock in the amenity-rich neighborhood where median household income is about 70 percent above that of the city at large, and rent is roughly 33 percent higher than the citywide median.

In Atlanta, plans call for this low-lying fire station to be replaced by a 21-story structure that combines a new fire station with affordable housing. Credit: Atlanta Housing.

In this instance, the deal is a public-private partnership. The City of Atlanta will continue to own the ground rights and will grant an option to purchase the air rights above the fire station for a nominal fee (e.g., $1) to the Atlanta Urban Development Corporation (AUDC), a nonprofit organization created in 2023 by the City of Atlanta and the Housing Authority of the City of Atlanta (HA) to lead housing development on publicly owned land. AUDC is a subsidiary of the housing authority, effectively acting as a public development agency that is able to collaborate with private investors.

Once the property is redeveloped, AUDC will continue to hold the project (i.e. the land and improvements but not the fire station) in a long-term ground lease structure with the developer. It is expected that the City will own the permanent Fire Station 15.The remainder of the development will be owned by a joint venture between the selected developer partner and AUDC.

Under the proposed structure, AUDC will be the majority stakeholder, retaining at least 51 percent ownership, and will split the project cash flows with the developer, as described in a joint report by Drexel University’s Nowak Metro Finance Lab and Putting Assets to Work (PAW), a national incubator that helps state and local governments transform underutilized public properties into assets that generate long-term public value. As explained in the report, “The joint venture arrangement allows the developer to enjoy some upside from project cash flows with relatively low downside risk while ensuring long-term affordability, thanks to AUDC’s majority ownership.”

Fire Station 15 is part of the larger push by Atlanta Mayor Andre Dickens to activate city-owned vacant land for housing. Parcels in the City’s diverse and growing portfolio are selected for redevelopment based on a comprehensive map of publicly owned assets that city officials created through participation in PAW’s incubator program in 2023.

Building Momentum

In the same way there is no single driver of the housing affordability crisis, there isn’t a single solution. Repurposing publicly owned hand for affordable housing is not a panacea. But it is an efficient, scalable solution that could make a massive dent in the problem. If the relevant governments developed the 276,000 buildable acres of publicly owned land identified in the CGS analysis, even to the low-density standards of seven units per acre, the nation could add more than 1.9 million new housing units. If ambitions were raised and developers built to higher-density standards of 25 units per acre, government-owned land could yield 6.9 million units of new housing.

Of course, not all public land should be developed by right. It’s still critically important for communities to protect open space, which has extensively documented benefits for public and planetary health, and to ensure that the intended use of a property aligns with its attributes.

But the momentum is building, at the state and municipal level. California has strengthened its Surplus Land Act, which requires local agencies to inventory available parcels, offer them first to affordable housing developers, and follow transparent, enforceable procedures. Massachusetts has identified a portfolio of surplus state parcels with the aim of producing thousands of homes. San Francisco’s Public Lands for Housing program is putting large, underperforming sites such as the 17-acre Balboa Reservoir to work for mixed-income housing, and Sound Transit in Washington state dedicates surplus properties for income-restricted housing near stations.

Through thoughtful and balanced strategies, communities can use the land they already own to provide affordable housing and adapt to climate change, and they can use the value derived from these arrangements—whether it comes in the form of lease payments, the purchase of development rights, or another mechanism—to finance infrastructure and social services. As communities like Charlotte, Hamilton, Boston, and Atlanta are demonstrating, public land is an essential component of 21st century policy solutions to our most serious societal challenges.


Loren Berlin is a writer and editor specializing in housing. Read more about her work at www.lorenberlin.com.

Lead image: A rendering of Evoke Living at Ballantyne, a 60-unit development that will be built on municipal land in Charlotte, North Carolina, and will include affordable units. Credit: Evoke Living at Ballantyne.

A Google Earth satellite image shows a vacant lot at 104 Trinity Avenue, Atlanta. The Atlanta City Hall is across the street.

Lots of Opportunity: How Communities Can Address the Affordability Crisis on Land They Already Own

By Anthony Flint, April 15, 2026

Shortly after taking office in 2022, Atlanta Mayor Andre Dickens made the kind of promise voters tend not to forget: he pledged to pave the way for 20,000 new homes within city limits by 2030, amid rapidly rising rents and home prices.

With the pressure on, one of the first things Dickens did was form a housing strike force to investigate parcels and property owned by the city. The mayor saw that as the quickest route to get shovels in the ground, with the added benefit that the parcels would be cheaper to build on, because the land—almost always the most expensive element of the construction process—was already accounted for.

The mayor’s team also established a housing help center, streamlined permitting, made different kinds of financing available for developers, and created an eviction diversion program to help stem the tide of homelessness. But the more than 50 sites and 536 acres that have been identified—from closed schools to land and property under MARTA, the city’s public transit system, to a vacant lot directly across from Atlanta City Hall where a mixed-use development is now rising—allowed the city to take advantage of the special leverage public ownership provides. “The capacity building efforts are paying off in the form of a sophisticated, collaborative vehicle for developing mixed-income, neighborhood-anchoring housing on publicly owned land,” Dickens said.

The Atlanta strategy is part of a nationwide movement to make better use of government-owned land. And the amount of land in that inventory—vastly underutilized in the form of vacant lots, abandoned parking areas, or decommissioned buildings, owned by entities ranging from school districts to housing authorities—is not insignificant. Across the country, more than 230,000 acres of municipally owned, transit-accessible land could be feasibly built on, according to the Center for Geospatial Solutions. That’s more than the total land area of New York City.

The CGS analysis of local, state, and federally owned land found a total of 276,000 acres of potentially buildable, government-owned land in transit-accessible urban areas with existing infrastructure. This land could support nearly 7 million new homes at a modest density, according to CGS, which is part of the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. The potential of these lands was dubbed by one prominent urban affairs commentator as a solution “hiding in plain sight.”

To encourage communities across the US to identify publicly owned land that could be used for housing or environmental improvements, the Lincoln Institute has launched an initiative called Community Land for Community Benefits.  “Public land has a crucial role to play in addressing housing affordability, but local governments need support to enable the transformation,” said George W. McCarthy, president and CEO of the Lincoln Institute. “The Community Land campaign will help policymakers and their partners identify and leverage publicly owned land.”

An estimated six to eight million new homes need to be built to overcome restrictions in supply that are contributing to higher housing costs, according to analyses by sources including Freddie Mac, Zillow, Goldman Sachs, and McKinsey. The advantage of developing or redeveloping publicly owned land is that government can dictate the terms of use and ensure that whatever housing is built is permanently affordable. Leasing the land or turning it over to a nonprofit developer can also have the effect of keeping overall costs down. “Land affordability is the biggest obstacle to affordable housing,” explains McCarthy. “If a developer has to buy land at the market rate, that almost automatically eliminates the possibility of building affordable housing. The land cost will just be too high to ever make it work.”

As governments take stock of publicly owned land, an array of other options for new housing construction reveals itself, on land in a range of tenure and ownership status: underperforming commercial land, like a failed strip mall; underused private parking lots; land occupied by freight or passenger rail; stockyards; property being developed by Tribal communities; or land owned by religious institutions, which for a variety of reasons are seeking to sell their real estate assets right now. (Learn more about the movement to build homes on faith-owned land.)

Civic institutions like universities, hospitals, and community foundations often have large land holdings and a community-oriented mission, too. A coordinated effort to map these acres, across overlapping jurisdictions and civic institutions, can inform efforts to address housing affordability and climate resilience—while revealing potential opportunities to assemble larger, contiguous plots from fragmented parcels.

What follows is a breakdown of transit-accessible government-owned land by category—federal, state, and local—beginning with land under the control of municipalities, which is by far the largest segment of public ownership.

LOCAL: 237,000+ Acres

Several cities, large and small, are joining Atlanta in assessing their real estate assets, determining how they might be used, and moving ahead with projects. In the Morgan Park section of Chicago, 11 city-owned vacant lots are being redeveloped for housing, as part of the city’s Missing Middle infill housing initiative. A database of vacant city-owned lots reveals there are 7,000 more.

Detroit, where Mayor Mary Sheffield signed an executive order to dedicate all of the proceeds from the sale of city-owned commercial properties to the city’s affordable housing development and preservation trust fund, is similarly examining the status of 100,000 empty parcels, most of which are city-owned, according to the non-profit Detroit Future City. The vacant lands are candidates at a minimum for natural improvements like community gardens, if not used for housing, the organization says.

Vacant lots represent the low-hanging fruit in the exercise of identifying suitable municipal-owned land, however. Emma Mulvaney-Stanak, the mayor of Burlington, Vermont, released a plan to use parks, parking lots, and other underutilized public parcels for housing. The sites in the pipeline include a blighted three-block commercial area downtown anchored by a defunct auditorium; and a sprawling city-owned parking lot adjacent to a tech start-up incubator that now occupies a factory formerly used for making ovens and other kitchen equipment.

Tensions and conflict can arise when the land is viewed as a community asset, even if the property has long been forgotten or conditions there have deteriorated. Since publicly owned land can be a lightning rod for competing interests—especially if it involves any kind of recreational or open space—the city has adjusted its procurement process, said Charles Dillard, Burlington’s director of planning. “We want to flip the Request for Proposal process on its head,” he said, by getting community input first and identifying a developer and design scheme that conforms accordingly.

By combining a city-owned parcel with two privately held lots in the South End of Burlington, Vermont, local leaders created an area that is slated to be redeveloped into a mixed-use neighborhood. Credit: Burlington Community and Economic Development Office.

“There is rarely consensus on what, if anything should be built,” Dillard said, noting that conflicts typically arise around “questions of affordability and public benefit—what is being built and for whom .… So ultimately, this is about democratizing development and reasserting the public sector’s role as a leader in creating the vision for housing and the evolving city.”

In Atlanta, city officials are building a narrative that emphasizes the broader context of city-owned land—how any housing development ultimately fits in with a well-functioning neighborhood. According to the mayor’s office, the approach is to “frame housing production within a holistic, neighborhood revitalization strategy. When we talk about new housing, we talk as well about grocery stores, parks, trails, childcare, schools, [and] legacy resident retention.” The lofty goal is to ensure every Atlanta resident “has a place they can afford to live, but that everyone can afford to live in a complete, healthy, thriving neighborhood.”

Yet the city is also mindful of producing quick results. Municipal land has become the perfect place for the mayor’s rapid housing initiative, delivering factory-built and modular construction. An underutilized surface parking lot for city vehicles was transformed into The Melody, 40 units of permanent supportive housing next to the Garnett MARTA station. Late last year, the city celebrated the opening of Waterworks Village, 100 units of supportive housing built across three floors of stacked modular housing on land transferred from the City’s Department of Watershed Management.

Atlanta Mayor Andre Dickens and two other men walk together on a dirt construction site. They are wearing hard hats and safety vests over formal clothing.
Atlanta Mayor Andre Dickens, right, tours the Waterworks, an affordable development on city-owned land that is part of the Rapid Housing Initiative. Credit: City of Atlanta.

Another advantage of the greater amount of land under municipal control is that it allows cities and towns to pick and choose, as they sort through parcels whose development would involve varying degrees of difficulty. The Center for Geospatial Solutions analysis can be especially useful in calculating trade-offs, as deep dives reveal different levels of complexity in disposing of government properties. A decommissioned public works garage might be at a site with fewer neighbors to object to redevelopment, but may require extensive environmental remediation.

“We are diligently studying each city-owned parcel to determine not just the lowest-hanging fruit, but also more complex properties that ultimately may have more significant contributions to housing creation, community development, and catalytic transformation,” said Dillard, the Burlington city planner.

Counties are also joining the effort. Smart Growth America’s “Guide for Developing Housing on County-Owned Land” aims to help county governments, which tend to have less capacity, in identifying suitable parcels, evaluating zoning constraints, and modeling financial feasibility and ownership structure. San Mateo County, just south of San Francisco, recently leased a parcel for $1 a year so an affordable housing developer could build 160 units of affordable senior housing. In Virginia, more than 10 acres of land owned by Fairfax County is now the site of much-needed affordable housing for students and seniors.

STATE: 33,000+ Acres

States are adopting a coordinating role, helping cities and towns identify land they own. But states have significant land holdings as well, and legislators have been clamoring for a clearer picture of where the promise of new housing might be. Virtually every state has long had a process of disposing of state-owned property, whether an obsolete armory or a shuttered mental health hospital, but that exercise is notoriously drawn out and unfolds on a case-by-case basis. Given the urgency of the housing crisis, policymakers today are seeking a more strategic overview and quicker turnarounds.

This spring, Colorado Gov. Jared Polis signed the Housing Opportunities Made Easier Act (HOME), which allows school districts, universities, housing authorities, transit districts and qualifying nonprofits to build housing on properties up to five acres, regardless of local zoning rules. That follows a 2019 measure requiring each state agency and state institution of higher education to submit a list of all non-developed land owned by or under control of the agency or institution, that could potentially be developed for affordable housing for low- and moderate-income households, either on a for-sale or rental basis. The state Department of Local Affairs (DOLA) has partnered with the Center for Geospatial Solutions to inventory all of the land identified by the agencies and institutions, determining overlaps and accurately assigning ownership. The aim is to allow better coordination down the road.

Colorado Governor Jared Polis signs a law allowing housing development on unused and underutilized community-owned land as the state legislators who sponsored the bill look on. Credit: Office of Governor Polis.

A similar effort in Vermont turned up 140 properties, ranging from one-half to 500 acres, at a variety of locations. California Governor Gavin Newsom launched the Excess Sites Program to identify underutilized state property and speed up the process of developing suitable sites for housing. Builders have access to a new web portal that clearly spells out what the opportunities are. Officials say the properties that are in the mix, ranging from land near a state hospital to vacant parcels owned by the state transportation agency, Caltrans, could be appropriate sites for the creation of 2,000 new homes.

Under a plan announced by Maryland Governor Wes Moore, some 134 acres of state-owned land near transit stations will be activated with potentially 5,000 homes. In Massachusetts, Governor Maura Healey established the State Land for Homes program, which has already identified 450 acres of state-owned land, and includes an interactive map to create a clearer picture of suitable locations and their context.

Campaigns to transform state-owned land consistently run into the same roadblocks that municipalities have encountered. Massachusetts officials believed they had a slam-dunk proposal to develop 180 apartments on an underused five-acre parking lot at the MassBay Community College campus in the suburb of Wellesley, west of Boston. But residents came forward to oppose the plan—stating concerns about impacts on an adjacent 40 acres of conservation land, even though the state was clear in its intentions just to build on the parking lot and not in the forest. The redevelopment appears likely to be put on hold if a threatened lawsuit is filed.

FEDERAL: 5,200+ acres

The idea of building housing on land owned by the federal government is one of the few policies that carried forward from the Biden administration to the Trump presidency.

The Joint Task Force on Federal Land for Housing, a partnership of the Department of the Interior and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, aims to identify federal land that could be suitable for residential construction, and to streamline the transfer process to make that development happen more quickly.

The federal government controls a staggering 650 million acres of public lands, but most of that acreage is in the form of national parks, preserves, and wilderness that would not be suitable for housing development. More likely candidates for redevelopment would be federal buildings and land in more urban settings—an estimated 8,000 properties are vacant, abandoned, obsolete, or underused, according to Congress. The General Services Administration routinely lists properties no longer in use, whether a closed courthouse or administrative office space for federal agencies that is no longer needed.

One precedent for the reuse of federal property is the decommissioning of military bases, many of which have been turned into housing and mixed-use development. Some 350 installations, from shipyards to training facilities and barracks, have become available in the Base Realignment and Closure process, which has been going on for nearly 40 years. In Massachusetts alone, two major military bases are being converted to residential development, Fort Devens and South Weymouth Naval Air Station, which hold the promise of nearly 300 and 6,000 homes respectively.

A rendering of the proposed redevelopment of a former U.S. Navy base in Weymouth, Massachusetts. Credit: OJB Landscape Architecture.

A heated debate has emerged, however, about the difference between identifying specific parcels of federal land that are suitable for affordable housing and simply opening up public land for unfettered development. Recent proposals by Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah) and others to sell off millions of acres of what is currently open space in Utah, Nevada, Arizona, and other western states have raised concerns that high-cost subdivisions could well rise up in protected areas, damaging critical habitats and draining severely limited water supplies while doing little to address the affordability crisis. Those concerns have been raised in the context of the administration’s push to open up more federal lands for resource extraction.

While the debate over federal land continues, it may well be that the real opportunity lies with state and local governments, which hold most of the prime public real estate nationwide. For every acre of developable federal land, more than 52 buildable acres are controlled by state and local governments. State and local leaders are already beginning to act, but they will need data and evidence to ensure the right land is developed, at the right speed and scale, in the right places, accounting for land and water constraints that affect both livability and conservation.


Anthony Flint is a senior fellow at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, host of the Land Matterspodcast, and a contributing editor of Land Lines.

Lead image: City leaders in Atlanta identified 104 Trinity Avenue, which sits across from City Hall, as a site for residential development. A 10-story, 218-unit mixed-income building is now under construction on the land, which has been leased for 99 years with an affordability requirement attached. Credit: Google Earth.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Events

2026 Urban Economics and Public Finance Conference

April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026

Cambridge, MA United States

Offered in English

The economic growth and development of urban areas are closely linked to local fiscal conditions. This research seminar offers a forum for new academic work on the interaction of these two areas. It provides an opportunity for specialists in each area to become better acquainted with recent developments and to explore their potential implications for synergy. 

This event is by invitation only.


Details

Date
April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026
Time
8:30 a.m. - 12:15 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)
Location
Lincoln Institute of Land Policy
Cambridge, MA United States
Language
English

Keywords

Economic Development, Economics, Housing, Inequality, Land Use, Land Use Planning, Land Value, Land Value Taxation, Local Government, Property Taxation, Public Finance, Spatial Order, Taxation, Urban, Valuation, Value-Based Taxes

Zoning and its Discontents

March 27, 2026

By Anthony Flint, March, 27, 2026

Of all the major Supreme Court decisions of the 20th century, there’s one that stands out for shaping the way we live and the physical contours of the American landscape: Village of Euclid v. Ambler Realty Co., which affirmed that cities and towns could institute zoning as a way to regulate all growth and development.

The case came out of a suburb just east of Cleveland in the 1920s, when a real estate company was denied the use of land for industrial development; appeals went all the way to the Supreme Court, which backed the village of Euclid, and in so doing provided constitutional blessing to the basic concept of zoning seen in color-coded maps to this day—homes in one part of town, commercial and retail in another, and manufacturing and industrial uses in yet another.

At the time, Justice George Sutherland made the comment that a factory shouldn’t be in a residential area any more than “a pig in the parlor.” He also said apartment buildings shouldn’t be mixed in with single-family homes, saying the presence of residential density was like welcoming in a “parasite.”

That was in 1926, and this year, scholars and policymakers are marking the 100th anniversary of the Euclid decision, as zoning is being reevaluated across the country. Some 33 states have passed reforms to allow more density in zones once reserved for single-family homes only, and to promote the concept of mixed-use, blending housing with shops, restaurants, and workplaces all within walking distance—basically the kind of neighborhoods that Euclid made illegal. The critique suggests that American zoning is outdated and hasn’t kept up with the times—and, perhaps most important, that its application has made housing unaffordable and racially segregated.

For those reasons, zoning is “starting to be at least chipped away at by state and even local legislation,” said William Fischel, professor emeritus at Dartmouth College, in an interview on the latest episode of the Land Matters podcast.

Fischel is author of the book Zoning Rules, published in 2015 by the Lincoln Institute and cited in the early pages of Abundance by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, who blame excessive regulation for blocking housing and infrastructure projects. He is also author of The Homevoter Hypothesis, an explanation of how mostly single-family homeowners have used zoning and environmental regulations to preserve the status quo.

Zoning emerged out of concern for public health and the need to organize cities to accommodate manufacturing and residential development following the invention of the automobile, says Fischel, who was the keynote speaker at a symposium at George Mason University earlier this year cosponsored by the Mercatus Center, the Pacific Legal Foundation and the Journal of Law, Economics and Policy.

Listen to the show here or subscribe to Land Matters on Apple Podcasts, SpotifyStitcher, YouTube, or wherever you listen to podcasts.

 


Further Reading

Zoning Rules! The Economics of Land Use Regulation | Lincoln Institute

How Zoning Won—and Why It’s Now Losing Ground | Lincoln Institute

Have We Reached Peak Zoning? | The Future of Where

Here’s Looking at Euclid | Cite Journal

Goodbye, Zoning? | Vanderbilt Law Review

Analyzing Land Readjustment: Economics, Law, and Collective Action | Lincoln Institute

  


Anthony Flint is a senior fellow at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, host of the Land Matters podcast, and a contributing editor of Land Lines. 


Transcript

[00:00:05] Anthony Flint: Welcome to Episode 2 of Season 7 of the Land Matters Podcast. I’m your host, Anthony Flint. Of all the major Supreme Court decisions of the 20th century, there’s one that stands out for shaping the way we live and the physical contours of the American landscape: Village of Euclid v. Ambler Realty Company, which affirmed that cities and towns could institute zoning as a way to regulate all growth and development.

The case came out of a suburb just east of Cleveland in the 1920s when a real estate company sought to use their land for industrial development. The town said no, we want that area to be residential. Ambler Realty sued and the case made it all the way to the Supreme Court. The justices backed the Village of Euclid and in so doing provided constitutional blessing to the basic concept of zoning that we all see in color-coded maps to this day, homes in one part of town, commercial and retail in another, and manufacturing and industrial uses in yet another.

At the time, Justice George Sutherland made the comment that a factory shouldn’t be in a residential area any more than a pig in a parlor. He also said apartment buildings shouldn’t be mixed in with single-family homes, saying the presence of residential density was like welcoming in a parasite. Strong words from Justice Sutherland, to be sure, but from that point on, thousands of municipalities followed the template of separating uses and spreading them around. That was in 1926.

Understandably — not everybody might be aware of this –but scholars and policymakers and others are actually marking the 100th anniversary of the Euclid decision. It’s not so much a celebration but a reconsideration of the landmark ruling, looking at the effect that’s had 100 years later and essentially reassessing what has come to be known as Euclidean zoning itself.

Some 33 states have passed reforms to allow more density in zones once reserved for single-family homes only, and to promote the concept of mixed use, blending housing with shops, restaurants, and workplaces all within walking distance — basically the kind of neighborhoods that Euclid made illegal. The critique suggests that American zoning is outdated and hasn’t kept up with the times, and perhaps, most important, has made housing unaffordable and racially segregated.

With us today to unpack all of this is William Fischel, a professor emeritus at Dartmouth College and author of the book, Zoning Rules, published in 2015 by the Lincoln Institute. That volume is cited in the early pages of Abundance by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, who blame excessive regulation for blocking housing and infrastructure projects. Fischel is also the author of The Homevoter Hypothesis, an explanation of how mostly single-family homeowners tend to resist any changes because they’re worried about property values. We’ll discuss that in just a bit.

I should add that Fischel was the keynote speaker at a symposium at George Mason University earlier this year, co-sponsored by the Mercatus Center, the Pacific Legal Foundation, and the Journal of Law, Economics, and Policy, which was featured in Bloomberg City Lab and Land Lines Magazine. He’s a great friend of the Lincoln Institute and served with distinction for many years on the board of the organization. Bill Fischel, welcome to the Land Matters Podcast.

[00:03:31] William Fischel: Thank you, Anthony. Good to be here.

[00:03:33] Anthony Flint: Let’s start toward the beginning of all this, the advent of zoning in the US. One of the fun facts I discovered while researching some of this is that zoning was imported — along with the delicatessen — from Germany after the turn of the last century. Why and how did zoning come to be the go-to policy for guiding growth and development in this country?

[00:03:55] William: Edward Bassett, considered to be the father of zoning: he and other people went to Germany. Germany was the place you went for advanced civilization. In the twenties before World War I, Germany was the high point of culture and science and social science as well. Bassett and some other people went to Germany and studied zoning. He came back with the idea that you could have comprehensive zoning.

Now, comprehensive zoning in Germany turned out was different from comprehensive zoning in the United States. That is, the United States massaged it quite a bit. In Germany, the idea was to split the city into something like thirds, like a pie wedge, so many pie wedges or pizza wedges, where businesses would be in the center, a logical place for them, and along each pie wedge would live the people who worked in that particular industry.

This was to save transportation costs, so you could go back and forth, so all the workers going to the same place could go to the same place at home, regular commuting instead of going in circles and so forth. If you were in the metal industry and there was a metal factory, the metal workers and their bosses would live outside. Now, the bosses lived in nicer homes, maybe a little farther out. It wasn’t like there was great intermixing, but there was this segregation by occupation. That didn’t go anywhere in the United States. We had company towns and things like this where people lived around the factory and so forth.

The zoning that occurred in the United States was really separating residential from commercial from industrial. I grew up in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, where they had a great big steel mill. Workers clustered around the plant. A lot of people walked to work because they couldn’t afford a car, or it was just more convenient. The clustering was natural there. The separation of uses, commercial from industrial and so forth, was a feature of American zoning from the get-go. I think that was what made it fairly attractive.

[00:05:51] Anthony Flint: Now, there was also some thinking in the progressive era at the time about the health impacts. Can you talk a little bit about that, this idea that congestion and tenement houses and housing of any kind being close to a smelter or a tannery and all of that?

[00:06:08] William Fischel: There was certainly that. The big progressive move actually had occurred in the late 19th century that made cities much more livable. They got decent drinking water, and they dug sewers, got the waste out of the neighborhoods, at least. Those were great advances in public health.

Once that was fixed, people, as people do, want to go to the next best thing, and that is, “Let’s not have these noxious fumes from our factory.” If you’re a steelworker, you endure it during the day, you’d rather not endure it at night. You’d like to be a little farther away from the blast furnaces. That was part of the story. This was an issue that could be fixed by distance.

The plant operators in Pittsburgh got together and said, “It’s so damn polluted, people don’t want to live here. We can’t recruit executives to come from other cities because it’s so polluted.” They actually collectively, along with the state of Pennsylvania, restricted the plants themselves, reducing pollution, relocating them so they weren’t so close to the residents, and more or less cleaned up Pittsburgh by the standards of the time. That was a big accomplishment.

The thing that brought on zoning was the desire for single-family homes. That was usually not a problem when there was simply distance involved. What upset that equilibrium was the invention of the automobile. The automobile, and most importantly, the derivatives of the automobile, something called the motor truck and a jitney bus — a jitney bus was a small bus almost always privately operated that just cruised around neighborhoods, picked up people, and took them to work or took them shopping or whatever. It’s like an airport bus now today in its capacity, not in its comfort. The cheap car and the cheap truck and cheap motor bus made industry and apartment dwellers footloose. They didn’t have to walk to work anymore. The industry could put parts of their business, maybe all of their business, out in much cheaper land in the suburbs.

The industry was suffering from congestion by the docks or by the railhead, competing with other businesses. They say, “Let’s move the warehouse out in the suburbs here. We’ve got this tract of land.” Put up a warehouse or put up some storage place or put up a back office operation. They could do that now that they could truck things from one place to another pretty easily. They didn’t have to be stuck to rail lines or trolley lines. That’s what made the single-family house vulnerable. It couldn’t be cured by distance anymore. It had to be cured by something else.

Eventually, developers in California led the charge here. Everybody was moving to California in the early 20th century, emptying out the Midwest. Developers wanted single-family homes. They wanted that single-family house in the suburbs, out in Pasadena and outside central Los Angeles.

The developers in Southern California faced up to this problem and said, “We need to adopt some collective action.” They got the city of Los Angeles to let them establish their own residential districts. It was really the first zoning laws. The problem that came up in Los Angeles was that industry was having a problem finding a place to locate.

The classic case, Sebastian v. Hadacheck … Mr. Hadacheck had a brick factory. He had it downtown Los Angeles. Residential development occurred around his brick factory. You’d think they would have smelled it first, but there they went. They established one of these residential districts and said, “You’ve got to get out of here. Sorry, Hadacheck. You can’t stay here anymore. You’re in the wrong zone.”

Hadacheck moves away, a couple of miles away, and it’s open land. He builds up his brick factory. He has a brick truck. He’s got that Henry Ford derivative invention of a truck. He can move his bricks. He’s happy as a clam until somebody develops a residential area right next to him. Same thing, deja vu all over again, as Yogi Berra would say. He gets zoned out. He takes this case to the California Supreme Court. The California Supreme Court says, “Too bad. First in time is not first in right.” If you’re making something like a nuisance or a brick factory, they’re not pleasant to be next to. He takes it to the US Supreme Court. The US Supreme Court says, “Too bad. Sorry, Hadacheck. You have to move.”

Los Angeles turns around and says, “We have a problem here. Our problem is we got lots of residential land, but we have no place for them to work. We have no place for them to put brick factory. We can’t do anything if we can’t have our business.” They invent the exclusive industrial zone.

On the other side of the river, no houses allowed, at least no new houses allowed. Industry is free to locate there. Once they do that, they have something that looks comprehensive. Just before they do that, New York comes up with it’s comprehensive zoning. My friend, Edward Bassett, writes the zoning law, pretty much, and separates commercial and apartments and so forth in all five boroughs. New York City is a big place, even bigger than Los Angeles back then. Those two events are the birth of zoning.

[00:11:36] Anthony Flint: Now, there’s another theme underpinning some of this in zoning, and that is racial segregation. How did zoning end up becoming a tool to set down the rules for who lived where?

[00:11:49] William: Modern zoning and zoning stemming from Euclid was not who lived where, but what you could do where. It wasn’t a matter of Jones and Smith have to live on this said street and Brown and White have to live on the other side. It was about residential versus commercial versus industrial, and always the size of that house and so forth.

The mix-up, the mash-up here, and I think people are understandably both confused and concerned by this, is that there’s a case before Euclid called Buchanan v. Warley. In Buchanan v. Warley, it started in the border states of the South: Maryland, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Missouri, and so forth. Prior to World War II, a lot of industry is starting to develop, partly generated by demand for US products from the outbreak of the war.

Lots of Black people are coming to these cities. They’re sick of being sharecroppers and being discriminated against, and so they move north to cities. The cities of the border south are quite unwelcoming to Black residents. They’re okay with them in their factories, but they want them to live in their own place. There’s no law that says that Black people have to live in this section and white people live in that section, so they make a law that says exactly that. The law says, “In this area, wherever there are majority whites located in a block, then Black people cannot live there, either rent or buy, except as servants.” This is really virtually an apartheid ordinance.

This law is taken to the US Supreme Court, Buchanan v. Warley, nine years before Euclid, hears the case. It takes a look at the 14th Amendment of the United States, which says life, liberty, and property shall not be denied them anyway. It says, “No, this violates the Constitution and strikes down the law unanimously.” Conservative, liberal, everybody in between says, “No, that will not fly.”

Some of the cities go and try and tweak it a little bit. They see this thing called zoning. Zoning comes in after this and doesn’t mention race or anything about the characteristics of people who might occupy. It just says use. It divides things up. There were residential zones. There were residential zones that allowed apartments. There were commercial zones. There were industrial zones. These zones, in ways that you’d look back at it and say, “It looks sensible.” The residential zones are along these loopy streets that you see in suburbs that were popular back then. The main drag is zoned for apartments.

What Euclid does mainly is says, “It’s okay to separate these uses. We’re not giving you standards as to how to separate them. We’re not telling you what the property is. You’re not telling us you can separate by race. We already struck that down.” Cities kept attempting it, and the courts, even the state courts in the South, were striking it down. It never got any real traction. Zoning, on the other hand, blasted out the gate once the Supreme Court said, “Okay.” The irony here is that developers now complain about the zoning regulations and so forth. Zoning was a developer idea.

[00:14:54] Anthony Flint: All of these threads continue to intertwine through the Great Depression and World War II, through the well- documented practice of redlining certain areas to be eligible for mortgages, the prevalence of racial covenants, on through with the development of places like Levittown and increasingly larger lots that only certain people can afford.

What’s so remarkable is that these rules got so locked in, as you point out, with the owners of primarily single-family homes buttressed by environmental laws and the growth management movement, at least since about 1970. Can you talk a little bit about why it was effectively defended for so long and, of course, continues to be, and that is this idea of nimbyism or not in my backyard?

[00:15:39] William Fischel: I’ve been studying zoning for 50 years. I looked at zoning and I thought it looked too restrictive from an economics point of view, but I said, “Why is this?” I needed to understand not just how zoning operated, but who was behind zoning. I looked around and was on the Hanover (New Hampshire) zoning board. I’m looking at who’s showing up at my meetings. They’re homeowners.

Asking myself, “Why are they going on about these proposed developments near their homes that look perfectly benign to me, better than most, and going on like the earth will end if this project gets done?” It hits me in a financial sense that these people, homeowners like myself, maybe like you, have a very large asset in their financial portfolio.

I’m thinking like an economist. This asset, unlike stocks that you might own, is not diversified. My pension fund is diversified. If General Motors goes south, Tesla will take up the slack, big deal, diversified portfolio. Most of my other assets, about half of my assets, I would estimate, are in my home. If that goes south, there’s no diversification. I can’t pick up my home and move it to another neighborhood. I can’t put my home up in parts and sell it to other parties to make a mutual fund out of it. I’m stuck with a very undiversified asset.

I developed the idea that homeowners are acute, overly, acutely aware of the risk, not just the value, the risk that their home endures because it’s in one place, in one industry, in one location, and they’ve got to defend it. They have to defend it more than you would think would be rational because they’re not just thinking about the expected outcome, they’re thinking about the risk. They show up at the zoning board and behave like they’re irrationally concerned when they’re not irrationally concerned. They’re NIMBYs. They’re not in my backyard.

Now, these people are not terribly effective until 1970. The environmental movement gives them a tool to run around me on the zoning board, to go to court and have the courts decide this. Now, the courts might be sensible places to do, but they take time. For developers, time is money. They’ve bought the land on a loan and they’ve got to pay interest. The bank is not waiting for them. They make compromises. “Oh, we wanted to have quarter-acre lots here. How about I make them half-acre lots or 2-acre lots or something like that?” Low density zoning because I can’t wait for you to decide.

Then lots of the environmental laws become really fussy about things like wetlands. Doubles the amount of land that is taken off the market where developers can’t go or they can’t go without conditions from the zoning board or the planning board to do it. Again, taking time, taking money to do it. This gets multiplied. The environmental movement is at the root of this. It’s not a crazy movement, but it’s taken to extremes by people who are not so much concerned about the environment as the value of their homes.

[00:18:34] Anthony Flint: Now that’s changing.

[00:18:35] William Fischel: I think eventually excessive success generates sometimes a collapse. I think that’s what we’re seeing now. I hope it’s a gentle collapse. I don’t want them to throw out all environmental laws. I don’t want them to fill in all the wetlands or disregard the important environmental issues. They’ve been taken to extremes and they’ve been abused by local groups.

What I’m seeing here is not simply state laws that say, “Towns, you have to pay attention to housing,” but also courts that are saying, “Hey, guys, this endless environmental invocations to stop development have to have an end.” It does have what economists would call an opportunity cost. That opportunity cost is housing and a stratified society and a stultified economy. That’s what the authors of Abundance have pointed out and saying, “We don’t have to be that way.”

One of the things that occasionally makes me happy to be in a diverse democracy is people occasionally say, “Yes, we have to change our ways.” I’m seeing people change their ways and changing their attitudes towards this. I don’t want to run back to 1916 and just get rid of zoning. I think the idea that we can just abolish zoning is very wishful thinking.

[00:19:48] Anthony Flint: A process where zoning is continually tweaked and revisited and an acknowledgement that times have changed, especially with affordability being so front and center.

[00:20:01] William Fischel: I don’t think if we abolished zoning, we would get rid of our racial problems by any stretch of the imagination. I think once you get the town manager or the city manager saying, “I’m sorry. We can’t fill out the ranks of the fire department because we can’t get people to move here,” that gets people’s attention after a while. The private sector has been complaining about that for a while.

Now I think there’s real traction of people feeling the consequences of this excessive fussiness about who your neighbors are that it’s starting to be at least chipped away at by state and even local legislation. I’ve been critical of my own town, but I’ll give my town a bit of credit. We have an infill development in process that allows single-family homes to be converted to two-family, even four-family homes in the neighborhoods. There is resistance, but it was generated entirely by the town council.

You present people with the facts and enough evidence, real-time evidence, sometimes they come around and say, “Yes, we do have to change our ways.” I’m encouraged. I’ve been retired from teaching for six years, but I’m happy to spread some of the hopefully good news of land use regulations that accommodate more people, outsiders, and a larger spectrum of the social and, of course, the racial spectrum that makes the United States an interesting place.

[00:21:17] Anthony Flint: What’s so interesting to me is just how these rules that most people don’t spend a lot of time thinking about really shape our society and how we live.

[00:21:28] William Fischel: One of the things I discovered on the zoning board is how naive, at least from our point of view, people are about zoning. Until something happens in the neighborhood, then they get well-informed. Then they understand what the rules are. I think enough things are happening from enough different points of view that some change is likely to happen. I don’t think it will be without rough spots, but I see the general trend as positive here.

[00:21:49] Anthony Flint: Bill Fischel, thank you so much for joining the conversation at Land Matters.

[00:21:54] William Fischel: You’re welcome.

[00:21:54] Anthony Flint: You can find more background on the Euclid case and Bill Fischel’s book, Zoning Rules, at the Lincoln Institute website, lincolninst.edu. Zoning has a special place in the history of the Lincoln Institute.

We actually had our own symposium on Euclid, if you can believe it, in 1986 on the occasion of the 60th anniversary of the decision, co-organized by Charles Haar and Jerold Kayden from Harvard, and led to the publication of Zoning and the American Dream: Promises Still to Keep, published in 1989. That book, in turn, was reviewed in Cite Journal, a publication of Rice University, under a headline that has to be one of the most clever in scholarly writing about land use: “Here’s Looking at Euclid.”

There’s an additional wonderful Henry George thread here as well. The lawyer for Ambler Realty, Newton Baker, succeeded Tom Johnson as mayor of Cleveland and was similarly a dedicated Georgist, alongside none other than John C. Lincoln, the founder of the Lincoln Institute, who was active as an inventor and entrepreneur in the Cleveland area around the turn of the last century.

One way or the other, we look at zoning and land use regulation, especially as it pertains to housing construction today, pretty much on a continual basis. After all, zoning is about land and we’re the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. On social media, our handle is @landpolicy. Please go ahead and rate, share, and subscribe to Land Matters, the podcast of the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. For now, I’m Anthony Flint signing off until next time.

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A New Ground Lease on Life: In Virginia, County-Owned Land Becomes a Site for Student and Senior Housing

By Jon Gorey, March 31, 2026

Musician Curtis Hunter approaches the world with a smile—even if the world doesn’t always return the gesture. But fate seemed to smile on Hunter last June, at least, when he moved into a new senior housing development built on county-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia.

A few years before, at 58, Hunter had been assaulted near his old apartment building in Seven Corners, suffering a collapsed lung and broken bones. A difficult stretch followed, including a bout of homelessness and another violent attack. But last year, a Fairfax County caseworker suggested Hunter look into a new affordable housing development for seniors, called Belmont at One University. It’s one of several recent projects that have seen Fairfax County leverage the value of its publicly owned land to spur new affordable housing.

A former handyman and touring musician (he played guitar and harmonica in bands that opened for Los Lobos and Donovan, among other acts), Hunter now lives on disability income and says he’s grateful for his new home.

“I appreciate it so much, it’s a very wonderful thing. I really appreciate that they allow my pet,” he says. Unlike three of his former cats—who would accompany Hunter outside, perched on a carpeted platform he would attach to a backpack or bike rack—his latest cat, Sophie, is timid; adopted at nine and a half, she prefers lounging in the window, gazing at the nearby sports complex and neighbors walking along the bike path.

The field house across the street, where Hunter has taken in the occasional lacrosse or soccer game, is part of George Mason University, a public university with about 40,000 students.

One University is located next door to the college, on a 10.8-acre property owned by the Fairfax County Redevelopment and Housing Authority (FCRHA). The parcel previously held an FCRHA affordable housing complex of 46 townhomes, called Robinson Square. In 2021, those tenants were relocated to temporary housing until the new homes were ready—a step that was not without challenges or misgivings, but which allowed for a fivefold increase in the number of affordable housing units on site.

The property now comprises three new buildings: Robinson, named for the former townhome complex, which holds 120 affordable one- to four-bedroom units for all ages; Belmont, with 120 affordable one- and two-bedroom apartments reserved for seniors aged 62 and older; and Main on University, with over 300 market-rate student apartments.

The three buildings sit on county-owned land leased at a nominal rate for 99 years—the land added an estimated $12 million subsidy to help the projects get built. However, the buildings are privately owned and managed, and thus pay the county hundreds of thousands of dollars apiece in local property taxes.

This kind of arrangement—a ground lease that allows communities to hold onto their land while sharing in the revenue generated by development on that land—is one of several ways  communities are putting public land to use in order to expand affordable housing. And it’s providing new opportunities for tenants of all ages.

Curtis Hunter speaks to the camera. He has gray hair and is wearing a striped orange, blue, and white polo shirt.
Musician Curtis Hunter, who lives in an apartment complex built on county-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia. Credit: Belmont at One University/Paradigm Property Management, LLC.

Hunter enjoys having college students next door and says some have helped organize social events for the senior residents, from game nights to group walks. “There’s one group, they come over, and they help with getting some of these things together—the art class and the open mic, and they have what’s called ‘Cups and Company,’ where they get people from the two buildings to come down and have tea and cookies together,” he explains. “I appreciate them being there, since I don’t have family and don’t get to see my nieces and nephews.”

This Land Is Your Land

In 2022, Fairfax County doubled its affordable housing target, committing to the addition of 10,000 new affordable units by 2034, with no net loss of existing affordable homes. The original goal of 5,000 affordable homes, set in 2019, was always intended to be “a floor, not a ceiling,” according to the advisory panel that issued the recommendation. While median household incomes are high in Fairfax, at more than $154,000 a year, median home values are more than double the national average, at $760,400, according to US Census data. The county has, in some cases, acquired new land in order to develop transit-oriented affordable housing. But lately, especially after the success of One University, the FCRHA is looking more closely at co-locating new affordable housing with existing public facilities on land it already owns or controls.

“We’re looking at a few public facilities, [including] two libraries,” says Anna Shapiro, deputy director for real estate development and finance at the FCRHA. The libraries’ large parking lots offer the potential to co-locate housing on county-owned sites that are “also really accessible in terms of transportation infrastructure and access to jobs and amenities,” she notes. “That piece is really important for us, because as we’re evaluating these properties, we want to make sure that we’re setting people up for success and not isolating people.”

Positioned on the edge of a college campus, One University is fairly walkable, about a mile from grocery stores and the city center. “I bought a little sit-down scooter that gets me up to the Giant and to the Safeway in Fairfax City,” Hunter says. A network of wide bike paths and sidewalks makes it easy to get around.

The county’s latest co-located affordable housing development, currently nearing completion, is also centrally located—on a pair of underutilized parking lots next to the county’s Government Center offices. Fairfax Crest, as it’s called, will hold 279 affordable units for renters earning 30 to 70 percent of the area median income (AMI). The project is actually a sequel of sorts: The nearby Residences at Government Center were completed almost a decade ago. However, Fairfax Crest includes more amenities, like a public plaza, 15,000 square feet of community space, and a childcare center.

An aerial rendering of Fairfax Crest shows two apartment buildings facing an interior courtyard with a playground.
An aerial rendering of Fairfax Crest, an affordable housing development underway on county-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia. Credit: KTGY.

The average two-bedroom apartment in Fairfax rents for more than $2,400 a month, according to Zillow and RentCafe estimates, while income-restricted two-bedroom apartments at Robinson and Belmont currently rent for $1,653 to $2,022 per month. Rents at Fairfax Crest have yet to be announced, but between the income-restricted rents and energy-efficient appliances and construction (including rooftop solar panels) that reduce utility costs, most tenants should not have to spend more than 30 percent of their gross income on housing expenses—relieving them of the “cost-burdened” status nearly half of US renters experience.

Shapiro was able to tour one of the Fairfax Crest buildings as construction was wrapping up. “We got to go up to one of the units, and I have to say, the views from the top floors of what is an affordable housing development are gorgeous,” she says. “The county has been very clear that just because it’s affordable housing, it shouldn’t look different than our other housing—and we do have pretty high expectations for what people deliver in our county.”

Building Support for Building

While the federal government owns plenty of land, much of it—from military bases to national parks and wildlife refuges—is not particularly sensible for residential development. States and municipalities, however, control over 250,000 acres of buildable land in high-demand, urban areas, according to a 2024 analysis by the Lincoln Institute’s Center for Geospatial Solutions. This includes surface parking lots, vacant lots, and shuttered municipal buildings in prime locations near jobs and public transit.

Still, it takes initiative and money—and, often, some political courage and leadership—to convert municipally owned land to affordable housing or other publicly beneficial uses.

Shapiro thinks the success of One University and other recent projects helped build the necessary confidence and support among county officials to pursue the Fairfax Crest project. “Seeing all those results, I think they said, ‘Okay, let’s do this in our front yard. Let’s make this really visible, and show our commitment very clearly to affordable housing,’” Shapiro says.

An aerial photo of the One University area, with the site outlined in red.
A map of the One University site, a 10.8-acre property owned by Fairfax County that previously held 46 affordable townhomes and meeting space for the Fairfax County Redevelopment and Housing Authority. The site was redeveloped to hold 240 affordable units for seniors and families, as well as apartments for students attending nearby George Mason University. Credit: Fairfax County Department of Planning and Development.

The County Board of Supervisors has been “critical in actually making this happen,” she adds, championing the housing affordability issue politically. “Not only do we have this goal of 10,000 net new units in the county, we’re also going to put our money where our mouth is and put our land where our mouth is.”

Fairfax Crest consists of two main buildings, each with its own cocktail of financing and tax credits. As with One University, the buildings are owned and operated by private companies, on land leased from the county for a 99-year term. “We are very, very concerned about keeping long-term control of our county,” Shapiro says, especially right next to the government offices. “We understood that the value of the land would really help to subsidize the development of the property.”

Each building combined a 4 percent low-income housing tax credit from Virginia Housing with an additional 9 percent tax credit won through a competitive process, in what Shapiro calls a “twinning” strategy. The FCRHA also issued a pair of bonds to help finance the development, totaling $23.5 million, as well as $25 million in loans from its Blueprint fund. “There are other sources in the deal, too—some other state funding and a grant for the daycare buildout,” Shapiro says. “We try to set up our underwriting criteria to really ensure that developers are going out and getting outside capital as well.”

Fairfax County’s decision to retain ownership of its land through ground leases is preferable to what many municipalities end up doing to spur affordable housing development: selling the lot for a dollar, granting a 20-year tax abatement, and “losing all of the value of the asset forever just to achieve the outcome,” says Robert ‘R.J.’ McGrail, director of the Lincoln Institute’s Accelerating Community Investment program.

Every incentive matters, McGrail notes, and each one “can be the difference between shovels in the ground and cranes in the air or not.” But surrendering future tax revenue risks degrading the public services that the new residents, from across the income spectrum, will rely on. “Losing pieces of that to get a deal done is a choice, one that jurisdictions make every day,” he says. “For me, optimizing the disposition strategy in a way that is least extractive of downstream public revenue makes a land activation housing affordability strategy also a municipal fiscal health strategy.”

As of early February, Fairfax County has delivered 1,373 new affordable units toward its goal, with another 2,470 units in 11 projects either under construction or in the pipeline, including Fairfax Crest, according to FCHRA’s affordable housing dashboard. In addition to the libraries Shapiro mentioned, the FCHRA is evaluating other county-owned sites for affordable housing potential, including a park-and-ride lot and a community center. And as the Town of Franconia prepares to move its government offices to a new campus, the county planning commission in February approved a proposal to build 120 units of new affordable housing on the vacated site, along with a district police station, museum, and expanded public library.

‘It Makes Me Smile Again’

What none of those numbers quite captures is the impact a welcoming, safe, affordable place to live can have on individuals and families—the friendships made, the worries dispelled.

Cheerful and outgoing, Hunter is something of a Belmont ambassador, recruiting residents to the building’s social events and classes, and suggesting new ones. He’d like to see parties held for people’s birthdays, for example. “I have a funny feeling that people might appreciate that,” he says. “People who don’t have family, who don’t have company coming all the time, who don’t get out as often … it’s probably pretty special for them.”

In his first-floor apartment, his instruments at hand, Hunter now plucks out a short melody; his cat, Sophie, makes for a captive if indifferent audience. “She’s my comfort animal, after what I’ve been through, and having pets all my life,” he says. “It was pets and music, those were my calming things.”

As the chords ring out over the jingle of a tambourine, Sophie lazes in the window. “She’s up there at least 10 and a half hours a day, sitting there just staring out that window,” Hunter says. “Right outside my window is the bike trail. So that’s where all the dogs from the neighborhood get walked … Every once in a while, a dog notices her and comes up to see her, and the same with people,” he adds.

“I’m glad I have this window; it’s important for me, too,” Hunter reflects. “I’m an extrovert, and watching people walk by, it makes me smile again to look at people. There are a few people who’ll look in the window to see if Sophie’s there today—that helps my soul.”

A cat sits on a platform looking out a window at leafless trees and a red car.
Sophie keeps watch at One University. Credit: Curtis Hunter.

Jon Gorey is a staff writer at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Lead image: Part of the One University redevelopment on County-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia. Credit: Hartman Design Group.

Land Wise
Blog Post
Photo of a truck carrying a prefabricated house on the highway.

Removing the Permanent Chassis Requirement for Manufactured Homes 

By Arica Young and Bennie Chang, March 25, 2026

In 1974, Congress passed the National Manufactured Housing Construction and Safety Standards Act (HUD code), which requires manufactured homes to be built on a permanent steel chassis. A chassis is a 10-to 12-inch-deep metal frame under manufactured and mobile homes that enables easy transportation with a tow truck; however, it raises homes off the ground and creates difficulty adding a second story or basement. The requirement reflected past building norms and the fact that owners moved them frequently. Now, fewer than 5–7 percent of all manufactured homes are ever moved after initial placement. 

While the US Housing and Urban Development oversees the HUD Code and governs manufactured housing requirements, only an act of Congress can change the chassis requirement because of its Congressional origins. In late February 2026, the US Senate and House of Representatives approved legislation that would remove the requirement for manufactured homes to be built on a permanent steel chassis.  

What does chassis removal mean? 

Chassis removal is the process of removing the steel chassis from a manufactured home after the home is transported to its permanent site. With a chassis requirement change, owners could keep their chassis attached to the home, as with current policy mandates, or have it removed before home placement. Regardless, chassis would continue to transport manufactured houses to their placement location, and, if removed, the home manufacturers would likely reuse the chassis. The recycling and reusing of chassis, an expensive component of a manufactured home, would decrease material costs, allowing lower home prices. 

Chassis removal will not affect the stability of the manufactured homes, as stability rests on the foundation rather than on the chassis. Manufactured homes without chassis can continue to be placed on nonpermanent or permanent foundations, like site-built and modular homes. The placement requirements for installation would remain the same: Manufactured home foundations will continue to follow state and local building codes. However, if homeowners would like to get federally backed mortgages (like FHA, VA, and USDA), they would also have to continue to follow HUD’s Permanent Foundations Guide. 

How will chassis removal affect housing supply? 

While no studies have predicted how the proposed lifting of the requirement would change housing supply, chassis removal is expected to raise supply by lowering costs, increasing consumer demand, and expanding the overall availability of manufactured homes. According to the Niskanen Center, removing the chassis requirement could decrease manufactured home costs by $5,000–$10,000, up to 9 percent of the total average prices. With that reduced price point, the legal change could put homebuying within the reach of more people. 

In addition, changes to chassis requirements could prompt states and localities to reconsider zoning and land use restrictions that determine where manufactured homes can be placed. Currently, concerns about cohesive community design encourage bans on the homes. Chassis removal would allow the homes to be situated like site-built homes, allowing a more seamless integration into existing communities. This could lessen concerns about design and foster reform of land use ordinances. Such regulatory changes would expand supply by allowing manufactured homes in more areas. Further, the change would increase the types of manufactured homes constructed.  

Ultimately, the chassis debate is about whether federal rules written for a different era still make sense for today’s manufactured housing market, where roughly 95 percent of homes are never moved after their initial installation and become long-term residences. Removing the permanent chassis requirement would not change construction standards—homes would still have to meet the HUD Code, which calls for safe, installment compliant foundations; however, removing the requirement could expand what manufactured homes can be, where they can go, and who can afford them. If the projected cost savings materialize and the market responds with more design flexibility and broader acceptance by local jurisdictions, chassis policy reform could become a practical way to increase supply and widen access to stable homeownership, all while keeping the core promise of manufactured housing intact: delivering quality homes at lower costs. 


Arica Young is the director of housing access and affordability at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, and Bennie Chang is an intern at the Lincoln Institute and a student at Georgetown University. 

Webinars

State Policy Playbook: Expanding and Preserving Attainable Housing with Manufactured Homes

May 27, 2026 | 10:00 a.m. - 4:00 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)

Online and In-Person, Washington, DC

Offered in English

Join the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy’s Innovations in Manufactured and Modular Homes Network (I’m HOME) and The Pew Charitable Trusts virtually for the launch of a new state policy playbook focused on expanding and preserving manufactured housing opportunities across the United States. This hybrid event will introduce the playbook’s overarching policy recommendations and highlight how states can take meaningful action to increase housing supply, improve affordability, and modernize housing policy through manufactured housing. Please note that in-person attendance is by invitation only.

The launch will bring together policymakers, practitioners, advocates, and researchers for a discussion of state-level strategies to support manufactured housing as an important part of the nation’s housing landscape. The program will be organized around three core policy areas: building attainable supply through zoning and land use reform, expanding access to mortgages for homebuyers by modernizing titling policy, and promising strategies to preserve existing communities as a source of naturally occurring affordable housing.

Together, these themes will showcase how states have approached reducing regulatory barriers, supporting healthier and more energy-efficient housing options, removing unnecessary hurdles preventing homebuyer access to mortgages, and helping families remain in their homes.

Registration for virtual participants opens April 28, 2026.

Contact an event organizer with questions.


Speakers

George W. McCarthy

President and Chief Executive Officer

Cambridge, Massachusetts

Laurie Goodman

Institute Fellow, Housing Finance Policy Center, Urban Institute

Rachel Siegel

Senior Officer, Housing Policy, The Pew Charitable Trusts


Details

Date
May 27, 2026
Time
10:00 a.m. - 4:00 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)
Registration Period
April 28, 2026 - May 27, 2026
Location
Online and In-Person, Washington, DC
Language
English

Register

Registration ends on May 27, 2026 9:00 AM.


Keywords

Housing, Manufactured Housing

Land Wise
Blog Post
Aerial view of downtown Detroit on a bright day, with a dense cluster of high-rise buildings along the Detroit River. Glass and stone skyscrapers rise above lower office buildings, while the river stretches behind the skyline and the far shoreline is visible in the distance under a blue, lightly clouded sky.

Lincoln Institute at the 2026 National Planning Conference

By Catherine Benedict, March 17, 2026

Experts from the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy will lead and participate in discussions about planning for data centers, equitably addressing climate change, leveraging scenario planning, and more at the American Planning Association’s National Planning Conference from April 25 to April 28 in Detroit, Michigan.

We encourage conference attendees to stop by the Lincoln Institute’s booth (#100) in the exhibit hall to explore multimedia displays and our wide range of publications. Policy Focus Reports will be available free of charge, and conference attendees can purchase books at a discount, including City Tech: 20 Apps, Ideas, and Innovators Changing the Urban Landscape; Mayor’s Desk: 20 Conversations with Local Leaders Solving Global Problems; Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions; and Design with Nature Now. The discount will also be available for online orders.

In late May, Lincoln Institute researchers will present an additional set of online sessions in the virtual portion of the conference. 

Learn more about the in-person and online sessions featuring Lincoln Institute programs below. 

SATURDAY, APRIL 25

11:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. ET  | The 2026 Trend Report: Emerging Trends and Signals (HPCC, Room 310AB)

We live in a world characterized by accelerating change and increased uncertainty. Planners are tasked with helping their communities navigate these changes and provide guidance on preparing for an uncertain future. However, conventional planning practices often fail to adequately consider the future, even while planning for it. Most plans reflect past data and current assumptions but do not account for trends emerging on the horizon. 

To create resilient and equitable plans for the future, planners need to incorporate foresight into their work. This presentation outlines emerging trends that will be vital for planners to consider and introduces strategies for making sense of the future while practicing foresight in community planning. By embracing foresight, planners can effectively guide change, foster more sustainable and equitable outcomes, and position themselves as critical contributors to thriving communities. The practice of foresight is imperative for equipping communities for what lies ahead. 

Moderator and Speaker: Ievgeniia Dulko, American Planning Association

Speakers:

  • Petra Hurtado, PhD, American Planning Association
  • Senna Catenacci, American Planning Association
  • Joseph DeAngelis, AICP, American Planning Association

SUNDAY, APRIL 26

10:30 a.m.–12:30 p.m. ET | Planning with Foresight (Room 250A-C)

Futures literacy is becoming increasingly important in planning. It is the skill that allows people to better understand the role the future plays in what they see and do. This involves imagining multiple plausible futures, incorporating future scenarios into our work, and planning with foresight.  

This interactive learning experience, presented in a learning lab format, focuses on applying strategic foresight in planning and serves as an essential learning lab for individuals dedicated to shaping a better future for their community.  

Moderator and Speaker: Ievgeniia Dulko, American Planning Association

Speakers:

  • Petra Hurtado, PhD, American Planning Association
  • Senna Catenacci, American Planning Association
  • Alykhan Mohamed, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

1:00 p.m.–1:45 p.m. ET | Leading Cities Through Change—Mayors Panel (Room 420AB)

Local leaders will discuss innovations in planning, affordable housing, climate resilience, and public finance in the context of a rapidly changing political environment.  

Moderator and Speaker: Anthony Flint, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Mayor Sheldon Neeley, City of Flint
  • Mayor Christopher Taylor, City of Ann Arbor
  • Mayor David LaGrand, City of Grand Rapids

1:00 p.m.–1:45 p.m. ET | When the Cloud Drops—Planning for Data Centers (Room 410AB)

As the demand for digital infrastructure and artificial intelligence accelerates, communities are increasingly approached by data center operators seeking suitable sites. While marketed as drivers of economic growth, these facilities often carry significant costs that are not fully transparent during the siting process. Data centers require immense physical resources—land for large footprints, vast amounts of water for cooling, and energy that strains local grids—raising questions about sustainability and long-term resilience. They also may introduce frontline communities to new sources of pollution, increased truck traffic, and environmental justice concerns, yet these voices are often marginalized in opaque political and regulatory processes. Promised economic benefits, such as job creation and tax revenue, are frequently overstated or unevenly distributed, leaving cities to shoulder environmental burdens with limited community gain.  

This presentation convenes a diverse panel to unpack complex planning challenges such as critically assessing data center proposals, advocating for accountability, and elevating community priorities. By examining the trade-offs of siting decisions through the lenses of resource management, equity, and governance, you will leave with practical strategies to question assumptions, navigate political opacity, and build stronger negotiating positions to ensure decisions genuinely serve the long-term interests of municipalities and their residents.  

Moderator and Speaker: Mary Ann Dickinson, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Kyle Mucha 
  • Manny Patole
  • Brett Gracely  

2:00 p.m.–2:45 p.m. ET | Equitable Urban Planning for a Changing Climate (Room 410AB)

This presentation offers actionable strategies to help planners advance equitable policies that simultaneously address climate change, housing affordability, and economic inequality. A new Lincoln Institute Policy Focus Report, Planning in a Polycrisis, synthesizes responses from surveys of professional planners and policymakers working in cities across North America. It highlights emerging innovations and the trade-offs in effectively integrating these considerations into their work. Other constraints are caused by shifting political landscapes, limited funding, and deepening social vulnerabilities. However, these planners’ work also advances integrated, equity-driven urban climate planning, and their innovations form a framework for cities to move from ad hoc responses toward a long-term equitable climate urbanism.  

The report’s authors and practicing planners explore practical strategies to address the barriers and trade-offs cities face. The conversation sheds light on how climate and housing planning can co-adapt to counter rising socioeconomic vulnerability, with a focus on the most recent shifts in practice. Showcasing these examples aims to empower city leaders with specific recommendations and strategies for advancing a model of climate urbanism that responds to the demands of a polycrisis.  

Moderator and Speaker: Amy Cotter, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Eleanor Sharpe 
  • Emilia Oscilowicz 
  • Adam Lyons  

5:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. ET | APA Water and Planning Network Meeting (Marriott Renaissance Center Hotel, Joliet B Room)

This meeting is for those interested in the American Planning Association’s Water and Planning Network, a gathering of land use planners and water systems planners who work towards better integration of water and land use planning led by the Lincoln Institute’s Mary Ann Dickinson. The network’s activities include newsletters and webinars on relevant topics. The next 12 months of the Network’s activities will be discussed.

Moderator and Speaker: Mary Ann Dickinson, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy


THURSDAY, MAY 28 (VIRTUAL)

1:30 p.m. – 2:15 p.m. ET | Navigating Uncertainty—Using Strategic Foresight for Action-Oriented Planning (Channel 2)

Planners are fielding more “what-if” questions than ever as residents and local officials cope with increasing uncertainty and rapid change. Scenario planning is a systematic approach to answering these questions and kickstarting conversations with stakeholders about possible futures and their implications for today’s better decisions. These foresight tools can help planners create more flexible, resilient strategies to achieve local goals, come what may.  

 This presentation highlights how the Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning (CMAP) is using horizon scanning and exploratory scenario planning to define a long-term vision (the Century Plan) in a large, complex metropolitan region composed of seven counties, 284 municipalities, and 8.5 million residents. CMAP is considering drivers of change and an understanding of regional systems—including transportation, natural resources, and the economy—to explore the grand challenges and strategic responses that should define the region’s next era. Presenters explore how these tools are bringing foresight into planning and discussions for bold regional action. Learn how CMAP engaged with elected leaders and other planners, and how you can use resources from state and regional agencies to encourage local officials to shift to a horizon-based mindset.  

Moderator and Speaker: Heather Sauceda Hannon, AICP, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Elizabeth Ginsberg 
  • Austen Edwards

2:30 p.m. – 3:15 p.m. ET | Exploratory Scenario Planning for Brazil’s Public Lands (Channel 1)

Brazil’s Secretariat for Federal Assets (SPU), an agency within the Ministry of Management and Innovation in Public Services (MIG), collaborated with the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy to apply exploratory scenario planning (XSP) to federal land policy. The work supports the Imóvel da Gente (Property of the People) program, which positions federal land as a strategic asset for socioenvironmental development.  

Attendees will learn how futures thinking can be integrated into national policy frameworks with practical methods for designing participatory scenario planning processes in complex governance settings. The session will present strategies for engaging multiple agencies, fostering collaboration among jurisdictions, and embedding equity goals into long-term planning.  

Through the case of Brazil’s first XSP initiative, participants will explore tools for identifying drivers of change, developing plausible future scenarios, and translating scenario outcomes into actionable strategies. These approaches can help planners address uncertainty, adapt to shifting conditions, and create policies that are resilient and inclusive.  

The session emphasizes how collaborative, futures-oriented methods can strengthen institutional capacity, broaden participation, and ensure that land use policies serve diverse community needs. Attendees will leave with transferable strategies to support equitable, future-ready planning in their contexts.  

Moderator and Speaker: Daniela Faria, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

3:30 p.m. – 4:30 p.m. ET | State Preemption for Housing—Benefit or Bane? (Channel 1)

Increasingly, states are taking legislative action to preempt planning and zoning decisions by local governments. Sometimes this can pave the way for important planning initiatives, but it can also prevent cities from achieving their goals. Hear a national land use law expert and planning directors from across the country discuss how state preemption is affecting local planning—for better and for worse.  

Moderator and Speaker: Heather Sauceda Hannon, AICP, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Andreea D. Udrea 
  • Lucy Kempf 
  • Meagan McMahan

FRIDAY, MAY 29 (VIRTUAL) 

12:30 p.m.–1:15 p.m. ET | Integrated Resource Planning—Where Land Meets Water (Channel 1)

Pick up a range of perspectives and tools, including foundational context, local examples, and strategies using various planning frameworks, to advance the integration of land and water planning. Presenters bring a wealth of experience at multiple planning scales and contexts, both governmental and nongovernmental. 

Moderator and Speaker: William E. Cesanek, AICP, CDM Smith

Speakers:

  • Steve Epting
  • Rachael Belisle-Toler
  • Adam Schempp
  • Mary Ann Dickinson, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Catherine Benedict is the senior digital communications manager at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Lead Photo: The skyline of downtown Detroit, where the 2026 National Planning Conference will take place. Photo Credit: Vadym Terelyuk via iStock / Getty Images Plus.