Topic: Water

Growth and Grit in Cleveland: A Conversation with Mayor Justin Bibb

August 4, 2026

By Anthony Flint, August 4, 2026

Of all the postindustrial cities in the US and around the world, Cleveland, Ohio, has perhaps had the most ups and downs, oscillating between decline and revival. The city has come a long way since the polluted Cuyahoga River caught fire in 1969, and has been a pioneer in revitalizing its industrial waterfront. Now the city has a chance to start over once again, with the departure of the Cleveland Browns opening up more than 50 acres of prime lakefront land currently anchored by the football stadium, which will be demolished.

The potential for a transformational redevelopment is not lost on Justin Bibb, who was reelected last November to a second term as mayor of Cleveland—and is the latest municipal chief executive to be featured in the Lincoln Institute’s Mayor’s Desk series.

“We have a historic opportunity to maximize Cleveland’s lakefront for once and for all,” Bibb said in a wide-ranging interview recorded for the Land Matters podcast. “We’ve done some things in piecemeal, but we’ve never had a bold, unified vision for really reinvigorating what I call America’s North Coast.”

Cleveland Mayor Justin Bibb speaks with Anthony Flint from his office at City Hall. Credit: Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

 

The stadium site overhaul, adjacent to the popular Rock & Roll Hall of Fame, will be done in coordination with a massive redevelopment of the now largely industrial Cuyahoga River waterfront. “We want this to be a model for America on how a legacy American city like Cleveland can be a two-waterfront city,” Bibb said.

The waterfront plans have been center stage recently, but Bibb has also been active in trying to assist struggling neighborhoods outside of downtown, including the Midline business district and greenway, which aims to make better use of 350 acres of vacant and under-utilized land.

“We are the largest landowner in the city, and we have thousands … of vacant lots that we have failed to put into productive use,” Bibb said. Under the Site Readiness for Good Jobs Fund, the city is taking stock of its industrial past—and the pollution it created—and identifying contaminated sites for clean-up and a quick turnaround for new business seeking to locate in places like the city’s long-struggling East Side.

Cleveland is well positioned to usher in manufacturing that is “re-shoring” to the US, amid greater awareness of the importance of resilient supply chains, he said. “It’s important that cities activate these sites and attract these jobs of the future, and the present, to make sure that America’s industrial future is competitive long-term.”

“We have the land, we have the talent, and we have the strategy to compete in the global economy,” he said.

One of the new businesses to move into one of those empty industrial sites—a long-empty factory that once supplied ore unloaders for the local steel industry—has been especially promising, Bibb said:  MMY US, a producer of low-cost, factory-built modular homes.

“They’ll be bringing 150 good-paying jobs to the city, and they’re going to help us build, in six to eight weeks, new homes in Cleveland that are affordable and within reach for our residents,” he said. “Also, because of our location, we can be a net exporter of modular homes to Canada. We think this will be a game changer for Cleveland’s economy long-term.”

Members of the press listen as Mayor Bibb speaks at the Wellman-Seaver-Morgan Engineering Company building, a long-empty factory that will soon be occupied by a modular housing manufacturer. Credit: City of Cleveland.

 

Born and raised in the Mt. Pleasant neighborhood in Cleveland’s southeast side, Justin Bibb was reelected to a second term as mayor in November 2025. Previously he worked for President Barack Obama during the latter’s time in the US Senate, served as an education and economic policy advisor for Cuyahoga County, and held leadership roles at Gallup, KeyBank, and Urbanova, focusing on civic innovation and data-driven strategies to improve the quality of life in cities.  He earned a BA in urban studies from American University in 2009 and an MBA and JD from Case Western Reserve University in 2018.

The Lincoln Institute has special connections with the City of Cleveland. The organization’s founder, John C. Lincoln, was an inventor and entrepreneur there at the turn of the last century, and established the Lincoln Electric company, a major employer to this day. John Lincoln was interested in the ideas of the political economist Henry George, and heard his first speech by George in Cleveland, which famously had a Georgist mayor, Tom Johnson, in the first decade of the 1900s.

John Lincoln eventually moved to Phoenix as he launched all his philanthropic efforts, but the Lincoln family remained involved in many civic affairs. The Kathryn J. Lincoln Speaker Series, an educational deep dive focused on effective urban planning, inclusive community development, and investment in ethical leadership, was established last year at the City Club of Cleveland. That is named for Katie Lincoln, chair of the board of the Lincoln Institute, who is John C. Lincoln’s granddaughter.

In addition, Cleveland was the subject of a documentary film produced by the Lincoln Institute that scrutinizes the city’s various efforts to engineer an urban renaissance. Cleveland: Confronting Decline in an American City, part of the Making Sense of Place series, aired extensively on public television.

The “two waterfronts” of Cleveland: the downtown shoreline of Lake Erie and the snaking curves of the Cuyahoga River. Credit: © 2026 Google Maps, NOAA.

 

Listen to the discussion with Mayor Bibb here or subscribe to Land Matters on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever you listen to podcasts.


Further Reading

Analysis: Cleveland Engages a New Lakefront Planning Team to See What’s Possible After Browns Leave | Ideastream Public Media

Our Governing Agenda for the Cleveland ERA | Substack

A Legacy of Innovation: How Leaders in Cleveland Reimagined and Rebuilt Their City After Decades of Decline | Land Lines

Making Sense of Place, Cleveland: Confronting Decline in an American City | Lincoln Institute documentary

Legacy Cities | Lincoln Institute Data & Tools


Anthony Flint is a senior fellow at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, host of the Land Matters podcast, and a contributing editor of Land Lines


Transcript

[00:00:05] Anthony Flint: Welcome back to the Land Matters podcast. I’m your host, Anthony Flint. Of all the post-industrial cities in the US and around the world, Cleveland, Ohio, has perhaps had the most ups and downs, oscillating between decline and revival. The city’s come a long way since those dark days of the Cuyahoga River catching fire, and it has been a pioneer in revitalizing its industrial waterfront, led by the establishment of the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame. Now Cleveland has another chance to re-envision the lakefront and make better connections with the rest of the city, all the while addressing persistent issues of equity and uneven economic opportunity in many neighborhoods that are still struggling.

To talk about all this, we have the honor of having a special guest on the Land Matters podcast, the mayor of Cleveland, Justin Bibb. He’s the latest municipal chief executive to be interviewed as part of our Mayor’s Desk series — Conversations With Local Leaders Solving Global Problems. We’ve caught up with many inventive mayors in this series, but Mayor Bibb has been getting a lot of attention for his creativity and policy innovation and has been described politically as quite a rising star.

Some quick background. Before becoming mayor, he worked for President Barack Obama during his time in the US Senate. Served as an education and economic policy advisor for Cuyahoga County and also held leadership roles at Gallup, KeyBank, and Urbanova, focusing on civic innovation and data-driven strategies. A native of the Mount Pleasant neighborhood in Cleveland’s Southeast Side, he’s a proud graduate of American University with a degree in urban studies and has also pursued advanced studies in social policy and economics at the London School of Economics and earned both a MBA and a law degree at Case Western Reserve University.

Before we begin our conversation, just an additional quick note about the many connections that have linked Cleveland and the Lincoln Institute. Our founder, John C. Lincoln, was an inventor and entrepreneur there at the turn of the last century and established the Lincoln Electric Company, which is there to this day. John Lincoln was interested in the ideas of the political economist Henry George and heard his first speech by Henry George right there in Cleveland, which famously had its fully Georgist mayor, Tom Johnson.

John Lincoln eventually moved to Phoenix as he launched all his philanthropic efforts, but the Lincoln family remained involved in many civic affairs. Twenty years ago, the Lincoln Institute also premiered the Making Sense of Place documentary series with a feature-length film looking at Cleveland’s efforts to engineer a renaissance to bounce back from hard times. We’ve also stayed closely connected with the City Club of Cleveland and its great tradition of civic engagement and its lecture series, which now includes the Kathryn J. Lincoln Speaker Series, an educational deep dive focused on effective urban planning, inclusive community development, and investment in ethical leadership.That’s named for Katie Lincoln, chair of the board of the Lincoln Institute, who is John C. Lincoln’s granddaughter.

So our fates are in some ways interwoven. The bottom line is we continue to be interested in what’s happening in Cleveland, and that’s why we’re so grateful for this opportunity. Mayor Justin Bibb, thank you for joining the conversation at Land Matters, and for being part of our Mayor’s Desk interview series.

[00:03:46] Mayor Justin Bibb: Thanks for having me, Anthony.

[00:03:47] Anthony Flint: Well, as I mentioned, decades ago, Cleveland was really a pioneer in redeveloping its waterfront. I think the most recognizable project is the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame, but also the Browns Stadium. Now the Browns are moving to the suburbs. Tell us about that and how will the new redevelopment that’s envisioned be different?

[00:04:08] Mayor Justin Bibb: Well, we fought the good fight to keep the Browns playing good or bad football on our lakefront, but the political winds were not in our favor, and now we have a historic opportunity to maximize Cleveland’s lakefront for once and for all. I’ve joked often since I became mayor four years ago that every mayor since Tom Johnson, for the last 100-plus years has had a lakefront plan in Cleveland. We’ve done some things in piecemeal, but we’ve never had a bold, unified vision for really reinvigorating what I call America’s North Coast.

This next chapter is really about making the lakefront a destination for residents, a destination for tourists. Really, we want this to be a model for America on how a legacy American city like Cleveland can be a two-waterfront city. Not only are we redeveloping the 50-acre site where the Browns Stadium currently sits, we’re also undergoing a nearly $4 billion transformation of our riverfront, really led by the great partnership we have with Dan Gilbert and the Bedrock family of companies. That’s about a $5 billion effort to make Cleveland a dual waterfront city.

Excited about the progress that we’re making. We’ll break ground on the lakefront in the fourth quarter of next year. We already have broken ground, and construction is underway on our riverfront. Folks from around the world will be coming to Cleveland soon because we will be one of the best two-waterfront cities, not just in America, but around the globe in the relatively near future.

[00:05:38] Anthony Flint: When you say the two waterfronts, orient us a little bit. That’s the lakefront and the Cuyahoga River?

[00:05:45] Mayor Justin Bibb: Yes, that’s correct. Cleveland is so unique that we sit on two bodies of water – [Lake Erie and] the Cuyahoga River, which has a storied history in Cleveland and across the country. I sit in the office of the late, great Carl B. Stokes, who was the first Black man and the first Black mayor to lead a major American city. His photo is right behind me and on my chair here at City Hall.

I’m willing to bet when he ran for mayor in the mid-1960s, he didn’t run to be a climate mayor. At the time, industry was not doing right by its cities. They weren’t doing right by its waterways. Our river caught on fire. As a result of that, Carl B. Stokes confronted this crisis. After that crisis happened, he did a nationwide pollution tour, which helped create the Clean Water Act, which then led the creation of the Environmental Protection Agency, the EPA, as we call it today.

Cleveland has a storied history, and 50 years later, our ability to clean up the Cuyahoga River is a model of resilience across the country, and now it’s seeing a nearly $4 billion investment right now through our partnership with Bedrock.

[00:06:48] Anthony Flint: Just pivoting here for a second, what’s your view on the use of government-owned land for creating things like permanently affordable housing, other improvements? You’ve got a fair amount of government-owned land there. What are the prospects for that?

[00:07:02] Mayor Justin Bibb: We are the largest landowner in the city, and we have thousands and thousands and thousands of vacant lots that we have failed to put into productive use. We’re really excited about the work we’re doing to put our assets to work in a more productive way. Currently right now, we are attracting a world-renowned global modular housing manufacturer, MMY. They’re bringing one of their manufacturing headquarters to Cleveland, going to create 150 good-paying jobs, and our new business district called the Midline, which is the largest redevelopment project in the city’s history, a 350-acre site.

That’s one example of the work we’re doing through our site readiness fund for good jobs, where we’re converting a thousand acres of brownfield vacant land, predominantly in the heart of Cleveland’s inner city, and making those sites shovel-ready to go. Not only is it good housing policy to really address our cities’ and our nation’s housing affordability crisis, it’s also a good industrial policy, because as the nation works to have more resilient supply chains, as we see these trends are re-shoring, take shape, it’s important that cities activate these sites and attract these jobs of the future and the present to make sure that America’s industrial future is competitive long-term.

[00:08:19] Anthony Flint: Following up on this idea of repurposing land — there are so many opportunities. Tell us a little bit more about the East Side neighborhoods and the use of different land-based financing to encourage redevelopment and repurposing.

[00:08:35] Mayor Justin Bibb: Yes, Cleveland’s East Side has a long, storied history. My grandparents came up here from the segregated South for jobs in the steel mills and jobs in the auto plants, as well as many immigrants from around the world, particularly from Eastern Europe, who came to Cleveland for those jobs, because Cleveland was a walk-to-work city, and a lot of those jobs were concentrated in Cleveland’s East Side.

For generations, that part of the city has not gotten its fair share of investment. One of the things that we’re doing is we’re using the same taxing tools that we’ve used to spur nearly $5 billion of investment on the waterfronts. We’re using those same tools to attract private investment to the East Side of Cleveland. We’re thinking about vacant parcels differently. We’re activating those vacant lots for shovel-ready job sites to attract good-paying jobs, to put the working class and the middle class back to work in Cleveland.

We’re also using those sites to really address our housing crisis. Particularly in the St. Clair-Superior neighborhood, we are deploying a new housing innovation district to really unlock brand new homeownership and new single-family homes for the future of the East Side of Cleveland.

[00:09:41] Anthony Flint: You mentioned the Site Readiness Initiative. I’m wondering, what have you learned from that experience, and any tips for other legacy cities or cities otherwise on this idea of looking at underutilized industrial land?

[00:09:57] Mayor Justin Bibb: This isn’t just about vacant land. It’s about talent. It’s about infrastructure. It’s about building a resilient manufacturing ecosystem that really builds on the strengths of Cleveland’s economy, so we’re really excited about this. We believe we can attract 2,500 good-paying jobs to the Midline. It costs about $100 million of capital to clean up. It’s 200 acres of vacant land that we’re transforming, and we’re putting about 1.5 million square feet of commercial space back to the market.

For any city to compete, you need two things: you need land, and you need talent. When I took office, we didn’t have any sites, 10 acres or more, to attract or retain companies in the city. Now we have the land, we have the talent, and we have the strategy to compete in the global economy.

[00:10:44] Anthony Flint: You mentioned there’s a modular homes manufacturer that is going into one site. That’s a pretty neat trick.

[00:10:51] Mayor Justin Bibb: Big deal. MMY is the first company to call the Midline home. As I said earlier, they’ll be bringing 150 good-paying jobs to the city, and they’re going to help us build, in six to eight weeks, new homes in Cleveland that are affordable and within reach for our residents. Also, because of our location and the Great Lakes and Lake Erie, we can be a net exporter of modular homes to Canada. We think this will be a game changer for Cleveland’s economy long-term.

[00:11:17] Anthony Flint: Finally, you’ve done a lot of work in climate and climate resilience, but do you think of Cleveland as a climate haven? If so, what needs to be done to take advantage of that kind of interest? Also, are you worried about gentrification?

[00:11:32] Mayor Justin Bibb: I absolutely believe that Cleveland is a climate haven. I believe our climate resilience as a city is second to none. We have access to fresh water. We have a temperate climate, four seasons actually in Cleveland. Although we were, like many cities in the US, exposed to the Canadian wildfires and the air quality, no real hurricanes, no wildfires in Cleveland. When you look at our coastal peer cities, Cleveland has a unique, I think, competitive advantage.

To protect it, number one, we need to make sure we have a resilient housing infrastructure, which is what we’re focused on. We need to make sure that we continue to have an economy that’s growing. We also need to make sure that when we think about climate change and think about this work around environmental justice, that is squarely focused on the cost of living crisis, and that’s our effort.

Now, gentrification means different things to different people. But we have a growth mindset in Cleveland. We need to grow the pie, but also support and uplift existing residents. Our economic philosophy is in all of the above approach to make Cleveland a city where the American dream is alive, within reach, and affordable. That’s the goal.

[00:12:39] Anthony Flint: Mayor Justin Bibb, thank you again for your time. It’s been a pleasure.

[00:12:42] Mayor Justin Bibb: Thanks for having me.

[00:12:43] Anthony Flint: Well, that’s a wrap on the Land Matters podcast. You can find extensive content about Cleveland and legacy cities on our website, that’s lincolninst.edu. Just navigate to the impact area called Land and Communities. You’ll also find the Making Sense of Place documentary series at the website, which includes recent updates on many of the initiatives we looked at 20 years ago. On social media, our handle is @landpolicy.

Please go ahead and rate, share, and subscribe to Land Matters, the podcast of the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. For now, I’m Anthony Flint, signing off until next time.

[00:29:22] [END OF AUDIO]

Read full transcript
Jessica Bremner, assistant professor of urban geography at California State University, Los Angeles
Fellows in Focus

Personas, territorio y poder: un análisis sobre cómo las políticas de suelo y agua modelan la injusticia espacial

Por Jon Gorey, June 25, 2026

El Instituto Lincoln ofrece varias oportunidades para investigadores que se encuentran a inicios o mitad de sus carreras. En esta serie, hacemos un seguimiento de nuestros becarios para conocer más sobre su trabajo.

Hace seis años, Jessica Bremner se preparaba para pasar un año en Brasil estudiando cuestiones de vivienda con una beca Fulbright. Estaba previsto que partiera a fines de marzo de 2020.

“Sabemos lo que sucedió, todo se cerró, así que necesitaba un cambio”, dice Bremner, que ahora es profesora asistente de geografía urbana en la Universidad Estatal de California, Los Ángeles. Recurrió a su experiencia anterior: Bremner, una urbanista capacitada, había pasado varios años como directora de planificación para la Kounkuey Design Initiative, trabajando en diseños comunitarios para espacios públicos en el Valle de Coachella, California. “Como yo tenía tanta historia en Coachella y comprendía el sector del valle oriental de Coachella, en particular, algunos de los problemas que había visto allí en torno a la desigualdad hídrica se volvieron la idea central de la disertación”, explica Bremner.

Con el apoyo de una beca de tesis del Centro Babbitt, que brinda asistencia a estudiantes de doctorado para investigar la sostenibilidad y la resiliencia hídrica, Bremner examinó la historia del despojamiento hídrico a los indígenas, una forma oculta, pero no menos dañina, de despojo del suelo, que impulsó el asentamiento colonial y el crecimiento agrícola en el Valle de Coachella.

Su investigación, publicada en el Journal of Political Ecology en 2024, identificó la práctica de la sobreexplotación de aguas subterráneas como una forma poco estudiada y sistemática de despojo, además de prácticas como el acaparamiento, la reasignación o el desvío del recurso. “El asentamiento exitoso de la población blanca en el Valle de Coachella solo podía ocurrir a través del despojamiento hídrico a los indígenas”, escribió Bremner en el documento, y señaló que “la sobreexplotación de aguas subterráneas no es solo una característica del colonialismo de los primeros colonos estadounidenses en el Valle de Coachella, sino un fenómeno en curso”.

En esta conversación, que se ha editado por motivos de longitud y claridad, Bremner explica por qué una buena participación de la comunidad debería permitir un cambio en las estructuras de poder (pero rara vez lo hace), comparte una lección que aprendió de sus estudiantes y describe por qué comprender las relaciones entre el territorio, las personas y el poder es esencial para reparar cualquier tipo de injusticia.

JON GOREY: ¿Cuál es el enfoque general de su trabajo?

JESSICA BREMNER: Mi enfoque general se centra en la justicia espacial y las desigualdades espaciales. Antes de hacer la investigación del Centro Babbitt, me había centrado mucho más en cuestiones de vivienda. Y en el Valle de Coachella, la vivienda está muy relacionada con los problemas del agua: su calidad, su escasez y la desigualdad para acceder a ella.

Comencé a trabajar en el Valle de Coachella en 2011, cuando trabajaba para la organización Kounkuey Design Initiative. Nos invitó otra organización que tiene una historia mucho más extensa en el Valle de Coachella, que había estado trabajando con los parques Polanco [comunidades de trabajadores agrícolas informales que incluyen hasta 12 casas móviles] en muchos de sus problemas de calidad hídrica. Nos invitaron a trabajar con ellos en este parque [casa móvil] de 100 hogares en el este del Valle de Coachella. Habían quedado a cargo del parque después del propietario anterior a fin de mejorar las condiciones de vivienda y, mientras tanto, nos invitaron a ayudar a encabezar un proceso de diseño con la participación de la comunidad para este espacio público central. Así es como me encontré, por primera vez, con estas preguntas sobre el agua en el valle.

Los colonos que llegaron al suroeste tenían una visión particular de cómo funciona el agua de los estados del este… por lo que los usos y las políticas surgieron de esta disparidad geográfica en el funcionamiento hídrico. Hay una sincronía histórica muy interesante entre el momento en el que se desarrolló el área y lo que estaba sucediendo a nivel federal en términos de inversión en infraestructura. Esto permitió que el consumo del agua aumentara mediante esta infraestructura de acaparamiento hídrico.

JG: ¿En qué está trabajando ahora o en qué espera trabajar a continuación?

JB: Estoy trabajando en algunas extensiones de ese proyecto. Una parte de ese trabajo giró en torno a esta disparidad entre la regulación del uso del suelo y la del uso del agua, por lo que en verdad me interesa analizarlo en el nivel de las políticas públicas. En el nivel del planeamiento urbano, no estamos pensando en el agua al tomar decisiones de zonificación: le corresponde al distrito de agua informarnos si hay suficiente agua para un uso determinado, ¿verdad? Muchos están considerando el uso del agua de los centros de datos, y ese no es mi sector. Pero, sin duda, veo que está recalcando la deficiencia en cómo zonificamos los usos y la relación entre esos usos y el agua.

El sistema [de la Universidad Estatal de California] tiene lo que se denomina CSU Water, que es una red de investigadores en todo el sistema de CSU que trabajan en diferentes temas relacionados con el agua en el estado, y yo soy una representante del campus para esa red. Así que, espero seguir trabajando en colaboraciones multidisciplinarias en torno al agua en California y, en particular, aprovechar los proyectos en curso sobre el acceso al agua. También estoy considerando volver a la investigación en los sectores de la vivienda, las desigualdades en la vivienda, la accesibilidad económica y la informalidad, en particular, la informalidad en California.

Niños saltan la cuerda en un escenario en el espacio público en el parque de casas móviles de St. Anthony, en el Valle de Coachella.
Un nuevo escenario para eventos en el espacio público de reunión en el parque de casas móviles de St. Anthony, en el Valle de Coachella, también funciona como un espacio de juego para niños. Crédito: Kounkuey Design Initiative, 2014.

JG: Su trabajo con Kounkuey Design Initiative estuvo muy impulsado por la comunidad. ¿Puede hablar sobre la importancia de la participación comunitaria en el trabajo de políticas y el planeamiento?

JB: Tengo una relación un tanto compleja con la participación comunitaria, más que nada porque creo que la participación de la comunidad tiene un increíble valor cuando es profunda y prolongada (prolongada en el tiempo y profunda en cuanto al tipo de participación), y cuando en verdad se trata de un cambio en el poder. Lamentablemente, la mayor parte de la participación que tenemos en el planeamiento urbano es breve y superficial, y no implica ningún tipo de cambio en el poder de tomar decisiones.

Eso sí sucede en el nivel de la organización comunitaria, como los proyectos en los que he trabajado y en los que han trabajado otras organizaciones comunitarias, donde uno se basa más en el lugar, se involucra con los miembros de la comunidad, hace un trabajo de organización real y permite que las decisiones se tomen a través de debates iterativos, y posibilita que los miembros de la comunidad en verdad tomen decisiones, y luego, como alguien que tiene poder en un proyecto, por ejemplo, permite que esas decisiones se tomen y no las cambia. Es un proceso increíblemente poderoso que en verdad no hacemos en nuestros procesos formales de participación en el gobierno.

JG: ¿Ha descubierto algo sorprendente o contrario al sentido común en su investigación?

JB: Casi todo, en muchos sentidos, fue inesperado, excepto lo que yo sabía que existía, que era la desigualdad. Para algunas de las preguntas sobre el crecimiento y el despojo del agua… la realidad es que no había pensado mucho en ello antes del trabajo y, tal vez, debería haberlo hecho.

JG: ¿Qué aspecto de la injusticia espacial o la geografía cultural le gustaría que más personas entendieran?

JB: Termino estructurando muchas de mis clases en torno a la relación entre las personas, el territorio y el poder, y cómo eso en verdad estructura los lugares en los que vivimos, y cómo esas relaciones varían según el contexto local. Ser capaz de entender cuáles son esas relaciones es realmente importante si tiene interés en promulgar algún tipo de movimiento para reparar cualquier injusticia, ya sea social o espacial. Se necesita entender cuál es la relación entre el territorio, las personas y el poder.

JG: ¿Hay algo que usted, a su vez, haya aprendido de sus estudiantes?

JB: Solo la importancia de la comunicación y, para mí, recordar que, si alguien no entiende lo que se dice, no es su culpa, es mi culpa. Si no entienden por completo, eso significa que la orientación que doy debe ser mejor, o que falta información básica o fundamental que, por lo tanto, debo agregar a toda conversación que tengamos. Solo un recordatorio de que no todos llegamos a una cuestión desde el mismo nivel, por lo que en verdad se trata de, en primer lugar, llevar a todos a una especie de base compartida de conocimientos básicos para poder tener cualquier tipo de debate preciso y centrado.

JG: En lo que respecta a su trabajo, ¿qué la mantiene despierta por la noche? ¿Y qué le da esperanza?

JB: Siempre me quedo despierta por la noche pensando en cómo puedo estructurar el aula para que los estudiantes puedan elaborar y compartir sus opiniones en un entorno productivo y discursivo, porque es muy difícil que las personas se sienten y debatan un artículo de una revista o un concepto más amplio.

Y tengo esperanza porque entro en el aula al comienzo del semestre y los estudiantes están en los escritorios en silencio, con la mirada clavada en los teléfonos y las luces apagadas y, al final del semestre, entro en el aula y están sentados en grupos, hablando y teniendo debates animados, e incluso hace que piense “No debería comenzar la clase todavía porque no quiero interrumpir esa interacción entre ellos”.

JG: ¿Cuál es el mejor libro que ha leído últimamente o el mejor programa de televisión que ha visto?

JB: Solía leer, pero desde la disertación, uno ya no lee. Hablé con alguien y me dijo: “Me llevó cinco años después de la graduación volver a leer novelas”. Pero dos programas que me entusiasma volver a ver son Drops of God y Ted Lasso. Ted Lasso en particular es un antídoto muy agradable para el momento que vivimos. Así que estoy esperando el regreso de Ted Lasso para poder obtener una nueva suscripción mensual y verlos a los dos.


Jon Gorey es redactor del Instituto Lincoln de Políticas de Suelo.

Imagen principal: Jessica Bremner, profesora asistente de geografía urbana en la Universidad Estatal de California, Los Ángeles. Crédito: Foto de cortesía.

Land Wise
Blog Post
Aerial night skyline of Tegucigalpa, Honduras, from El Picacho Park. The landing strips of the airport are visible in the distance.

¿Puede la planificación exploratoria de escenarios ayudar a las comunidades latinoamericanas a resolver sus desafíos hídricos? 

Por Jon Gorey, July 15, 2026

La ciudad de Tegucigalpa, capital de Honduras, enclavada en un valle rodeado de montañas, alberga dentro de sus límites urbanos el Aeropuerto de Toncontín, uno de los aeropuertos más difíciles y peligrosos del mundo para las maniobras de despegue y aterrizaje. Por esto, a fines de 2016, Honduras comenzó la construcción de un nuevo aeropuerto en una antigua base aérea a 80 kilómetros al noroeste de la capital, con pistas más largas y una aproximación más confiable.

Cuando el nuevo Aeropuerto Internacional de Palmerola abrió sus puertas en 2021 en las afueras de la pequeña ciudad de La Paz provocó una explosión de urbanización en los alrededores, lo que ejerce más presión en el sistema hídrico de la zona, que ya se encuentra saturado.

Entre la afluencia de residentes que se acercan al aeropuerto y los nuevos negocios e industrias que surgieron en las cercanías, “se registra un crecimiento urbano exponencial”, explica Alfredo Stein, exprofesor de Planeamiento Urbano en la Universidad de Manchester, quien ahora es miembro de la junta ejecutiva con sede en Honduras del Instituto para el Desarrollo Urbano Internacional (I2UD, por sus siglas en inglés).

En abril, el I2UD, junto con la Asociación para el Manejo Integrado de Cuencas de La Paz y Comayagua y otras organizaciones sin fines de lucro, y con el apoyo del Consorcio para la Planificación de Escenarios y los programas de América Latina y el CaribeSuelo y Agua del Instituto Lincoln, organizó un taller de planificación exploratoria de escenarios en La Paz con varios miembros de la comunidad, empresas privadas y funcionarios locales. Una meta principal del taller fue fortalecer la gobernanza colaborativa del agua en todo el sistema hídrico interconectado, desde las cabeceras de la cuenca superior hasta los barrios urbanos de la parte inferior.

Incluso antes del aumento en el consumo de agua producido por el nuevo aeropuerto y la expansión urbana descontrolada que trajo consigo, los residentes de la ciudad de la cuenca inferior, que incluye La Paz, solo tenían agua corriente durante parte del día debido a la escasez del suministro de agua y la infraestructura inadecuada, explica Giovanni Pérez Macías, quien ayudó a facilitar el taller. Mientras tanto, la cuenca superior de carácter más rural, que da origen a una gran parte del agua de la zona, cada vez alberga más cultivos para la producción de café. La agricultura es un importante motor de la economía hondureña, pero también es un uso del suelo que puede agotar y contaminar los suministros de agua.

Como ocurre en muchos lugares con sistemas hídricos rurales-urbanos interdependientes, la gestión de la cuenca está a cargo de diversas autoridades: en este caso son, en su mayoría, juntas hídricas locales con dirigencia barrial, que hacen todo lo posible para servir a sus propias comunidades. “Las personas que están en la parte inferior no son plenamente conscientes de las complejidades de conservar y producir agua terreno arriba y, a veces, no están dispuestas a contribuir para cubrir los costos de producción del agua que llega a la ciudad”, indica Stein. “Entonces, la idea del taller es cerrar esta brecha entre la cuenca superior y la inferior”.

Las dos regiones de la cuenca comparten desafíos similares de “gobernabilidad, cambio climático, cuestiones técnicas y financiamiento”, comenta Alejandra Mortarini, vicepresidenta de I2UD. “El problema es la falta de dinero en la parte superior, por lo que alguien tiene que aportar para sostener el trabajo que se realiza en la cuenca superior”.

Ante el impacto que el nuevo aeropuerto ejerce en la región, Stein se pregunta si una tarifa por pasajero, algo que, en su opinión, tuvo éxito en Costa Rica, podría ayudar a financiar la gestión de la calidad del agua, la conservación y la infraestructura. O tal vez sería posible persuadir a los productores de café y las empresas urbanas para que paguen más por una garantía de servicio de agua continuo.

“Si quieren seguir operando, necesitarán agua, por lo que es necesario establecer un cierto fondo local para el mantenimiento de este proceso de producción de agua”, explica Stein. “¿Será una tasa, un impuesto? La ley municipal en Honduras permite que se implementen muchas de estas alternativas financieras”.

Los talleres también exploraron estrategias a largo plazo para garantizar una mayor resiliencia a los riesgos climáticos. “Hubo un aumento bastante drástico en la demanda de agua, y esto sucede en el contexto de impactos climáticos graves”, agrega Stein, desde períodos de sequía más frecuentes hasta lluvias más intensas que causan inundaciones. “Tenemos estrés hídrico, un aumento en la demanda de agua, una disminución de las fuentes de agua, un cambio drástico en el uso del suelo, incendios forestales, explosión demográfica: esos son los problemas que pretende abordar este taller de planificación de escenarios”.

Los organizadores (otros socios incluyeron Hábitat para la Humanidad Honduras y Goal Honduras) llevaron a cabo una serie de talleres previos a la sesión de abril para ayudar a que los miembros de la comunidad identifiquen un conjunto de fuerzas impulsoras y escenarios futuros, a fin de que los asistentes los consideren juntos con más detalle. El marco de planificación exploratoria de escenarios ayudó a crear un entorno de apoyo para tener conversaciones que pueden ser incómodas, comenta Pérez Macías. “Hablar sobre el futuro de una comunidad resulta ser un espacio común . . . Es algo que todos compartimos”. De hecho, el título de uno de los escenarios era “Soñar no cuesta nada”.

Apuntes del taller de XSP en La Paz, Honduras.
Apuntes del taller de XSP en La Paz, Honduras. Crédito: Giovanni Pérez Macías.

Al final del taller de un día y medio en abril, “sucedió algo realmente sorprendente”, agrega Pérez Macías.

“Siempre existe el riesgo de que las estrategias finales estén, en cierta forma, fuera del alcance de la comunidad”, explica. “Como: ‘necesitamos una nueva ley nacional’ o ‘necesitamos USD 10 millones’. Así que les pedimos que piensen en estrategias que estén bajo su control. Y sucedió lo siguiente: decidieron que la primera estrategia era que este grupo de personas continuara conversando sobre el agua e intentara construir una junta hídrica local con diferentes representantes de la cuenca superior, la cuenca inferior, las ONG y los grupos gubernamentales y económicos de la región”.

Ese tipo de resultado tangible es lo que puede hacer que la planificación de escenarios sea una herramienta tan efectiva para las comunidades que enfrentan desafíos complejos e interconectados, explica Heather Hannon, directora de Práctica de Planificación y Planificación de Escenarios en el Instituto Lincoln. Como ejercicio de visión comunitaria, “está diseñado para dar lugar a nuevas formas de pensar sobre el futuro, pero también para estimular acciones y compromisos significativos en el presente”, agrega.

Los miembros de la comunidad local y funcionarios hídricos participan en un taller de planificación exploratoria de escenarios en La Paz, Honduras.
Los miembros de la comunidad local y funcionarios hídricos participan en un taller de planificación exploratoria de escenarios en La Paz, Honduras. Crédito: Giovanni Pérez Macías.

El taller de La Paz fue uno de los cinco proyectos centrados en el uso de la planificación exploratoria de escenarios (XSP) para enfrentar los desafíos hídricos en América Latina seleccionados para recibir apoyo a través del Consorcio para la Planificación de Escenarios y el programa de América Latina y el Caribe del Instituto Lincoln.

“En toda América Latina y el Caribe, las comunidades enfrentan presiones crecientes en torno al agua, el uso del suelo, la variabilidad climática y la gobernanza”, indica Kristen Keener Busby, directora asociada de Implementación de Programas del Centro Babbitt de Políticas de Suelo y Agua del Instituto Lincoln. “Uno de los aspectos más valiosos de estos talleres es la creación de un espacio para que diversas partes interesadas exploren juntas la incertidumbre mientras identifican vías prácticas con base local para alcanzar la resiliencia a largo plazo”.

Los otros cuatro proyectos seleccionados, que también están en marcha, incluyen los siguientes:

  • Un consorcio de investigadores de Bogotá, Colombia, está utilizando el marco de planificación exploratoria de escenarios para abordar las presiones climáticas, ambientales y de uso del suelo en la laguna de Suesca en Suesca, Colombia, y sustentar el plan de manejo de la laguna, fortalecer la colaboración entre las comunidades y la autoridad ambiental, y desarrollar enfoques escalables para la gobernanza resiliente.
  • En México, el Instituto de Planeación y Gestión del Desarrollo del Área Metropolitana de Guadalajara (IMEPLAN) está ejecutando un proceso de XSP centrado en los riesgos de inundación a fin de mejorar la gestión de las aguas pluviales y fortalecer la resiliencia; el proceso culminó con la implementación de un plan de gestión de inundaciones a largo plazo para el área metropolitana.
  • Aquafondo, con sede en Lima, Perú, reunirá a las comunidades de la subcuenca de Santa Eulalia para el desarrollo conjunto de escenarios futuros para la gobernanza hídrica y la gestión territorial, y la identificación de enfoques a largo plazo para fortalecer la resiliencia del agua en toda la cuenca ante la incertidumbre institucional y un clima cambiante.
  • Para abordar la creciente escasez de agua en la cuenca del río Mendoza en Argentina, CONICET Mendoza, en coordinación con las organizaciones locales de usuarios de agua, empleará XSP con el objetivo de fomentar la toma de decisiones participativas para la gestión equitativa y sostenible del agua entre los usos que compiten entre sí.

Obtenga más información sobre solicitudes de propuestas, becas y oportunidades de investigación del Instituto Lincoln.


Jon Gorey es redactor del Instituto Lincoln de Políticas de Suelo.

Imagen principal: Horizonte nocturno aéreo de Tegucigalpa, Honduras, desde el parque El Picacho. Crédito: Leonid Andronov vía Getty Images.

Land Wise
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Three people walk along a trail. A rocky mountain obscures most of the sky behind them.

Sembrar agua, sembrar el futuro en las altas montañas del Perú

Por Melinda Lis Maldonado, July 15, 2026

La camioneta se detuvo y supe que era hora de bajar. Siguiendo el consejo del “guardián del agua” que acababa de conocer, abrí primero la puerta y esperé unos segundos. Respiré el aire denso de la montaña y bajé con cuidado. Apenas había caminado unos metros cuando sentí en el cuerpo el peso de más de 4.500 metros de altitud. Me detuve un momento, un poco mareada, esperando a que pasara el vértigo.

Nada de eso me impidió quedarme allí, de pie, contemplando el paisaje. Ante mí se extendían las montañas andinas del Perú, imponentes y silenciosas. Mientras observaba aquella escena, pensé que probablemente era el lugar más alto al que había llegado en mi vida, y me pregunté si el Instituto Lincoln habría llegado alguna vez tan alto…

Pero la altitud era apenas el comienzo de la historia.

Un pueblo a la base de una montaña verde.
El pueblo de San Pedro de Casta, a unos 3.000 metros sobre el nivel del mar, en la cuenca alta de Santa Eulalia. Fuente: Instituto Lincoln de Políticas de Suelo.

Imaginar el futuro de una subcuenca

La visita a la montaña tuvo lugar el día anterior a un taller sobre resiliencia hídrica en la subcuenca de Santa Eulalia, muchos metros más abajo. El encuentro forma parte de un proceso que se ha venido desarrollando durante varios meses y que busca fortalecer la capacidad de distintos territorios de América Latina y el Caribe para imaginar y prepararse ante futuros inciertos relacionados con el agua.

La herramienta detrás de ese ejercicio es la planificación de escenarios exploratorios (XSP por su sigla en inglés): en lugar de apostar por un único futuro predecible o deseable, se propone navegar por una gama de futuros inciertos para luego regresar al presente y diseñar estrategias para enfrentarlos.

Santa Eulalia es uno de los cinco casos que conforman esta iniciativa regional, liderada por el Instituto Lincoln de Políticas de Suelo a través de su Consorcio para la Planificación de Escenarios y de su programa de suelo y agua, el Centro Babbitt para Políticas de Suelo y Agua. La implementación local estuvo a cargo de Aquafondo, el Fondo de Agua para Lima y Callao, una organización que promueve la seguridad hídrica mediante soluciones basadas en la naturaleza y la colaboración entre múltiples actores.

Durante dos días, integrantes de comunidades rurales, autoridades, organizaciones y otros actores locales trabajaron juntos para imaginar distintos escenarios, construidos en torno a factores de cambio que los participantes consideraron más críticos con base en su incertidumbre e impacto. ¿Cómo se vería esta subcuenca en medio de impactos climáticos frecuentes e intensos y de inestabilidad política? Esa fue la pregunta que abordó el grupo que trabajó sobre el escenario más adverso, al que titularon “Mi querida Santa Eulalia, te estás muriendo —¿dónde cantaremos las Hualinas…?”

El escenario más adverso, imaginado y dibujado por uno de los grupos del taller. Fuente: Instituto Lincoln de Políticas de Suelo.

Más allá de las diferencias entre escenarios, ciertas respuestas aparecían una y otra vez. Y cuando las ordenamos, terminaron dibujando tres grandes ideas.

Primera idea: cuidar la infraestructura natural y ancestral

La primera fue la necesidad de fortalecer las infraestructuras hídricas naturales y ancestrales que durante siglos han permitido gestionar el agua en las montañas. Aquí, las amunas ocuparon un lugar central.

Las amunas son canales construidos en las partes altas de las montañas que captan el agua de lluvia durante la temporada húmeda y la conducen hacia terrenos permeables, donde se filtra y recarga el acuífero. Almacenada en el subsuelo, esa misma agua se libera gradualmente y vuelve a aflorar meses después, en la temporada seca, en manantiales más abajo en la ladera, justo cuando más se necesita. Es un sistema tan sencillo como ingenioso, heredado de tiempos prehispánicos y conservado de generación en generación. La práctica se conoce como “siembra y cosecha de agua”: se siembra cuando el agua es abundante para poder cosecharla cuando escasea.

Su impacto no es menor. Se estima que un kilómetro de amuna aporta alrededor de 148.000 metros cúbicos de agua al año, según los estudios de monitoreo de Aquafondo, y hasta la fecha se han restaurado cerca de 87 kilómetros de amunas. Pero quizá lo más revelador es que el agua sembrada en las montañas no se queda allí: viaja por el subsuelo y puede llegar mucho más lejos, incluso hasta las ciudades.

Bofedales —humedales altoandinos que almacenan agua (izquierda)— y una amuna restaurada (derecha): dos piezas de la infraestructura natural y ancestral que regula el agua en las alturas. Fuente: Instituto Lincoln de Políticas de Suelo.

Segunda idea: recuperar y transmitir el conocimiento

La segunda fue la importancia de recuperar, visibilizar y transmitir el conocimiento ligado a estas prácticas, a través de programas educativos y culturales.

Esta idea me pareció especialmente poderosa. Porque lo que no se visibiliza rara vez se valora. Y lo que no se valora rara vez se transmite a las nuevas generaciones. Cuando ese conocimiento se pierde, no solo desaparecen técnicas o prácticas concretas: también se pierde una manera de entender el territorio, de relacionarse con el agua y de construir resiliencia.

Esta no es una intuición aislada. El propio Grupo Intergubernamental de Expertos sobre el Cambio Climático (IPCC), en su informe sobre impactos, adaptación y vulnerabilidad (2022), reconoce que el conocimiento indígena y local ofrece una comprensión valiosa para actuar frente al riesgo climático y puede enriquecer las políticas y prácticas de adaptación. En las amunas, ese principio se vuelve tangible: un cuerpo de conocimiento de más de mil años de antigüedad que hoy demuestra ser una herramienta concreta para adaptarse a la incertidumbre hídrica.

Un grupo de personas, la mayoría en camisas y gorras azules, se reúnen alrededor de una mesa para ocmpartir sus experiencias y planear para el futuro.
Distintos actores —comunidades, autoridades y organizaciones— comparten sus conocimientos y visiones durante el taller en la subcuenca de Santa Eulalia. Fuente: Aquafondo.

Tercera idea: financiar lo que la montaña nos da

La tercera fue diseñar mecanismos de financiamiento para restaurar y mantener estos ecosistemas —y ahí, en cierto modo, se juega todo el esfuerzo—. Las amunas y los bofedales no se mantienen solos: necesitan manos que los restauren y recursos que hagan posible ese trabajo año tras año. La pregunta que estaba debajo de cada idea planteada en el taller era la misma: ¿quién paga por la infraestructura que hace posible el agua, y cómo llegan esos recursos a quienes la mantienen en pie?

No hay una sola respuesta, y por eso mismo vale la pena explorarla —desde instrumentos de financiamiento basados en el suelo hasta mecanismos voluntarios de conservación—. Este es el terreno en el que trabaja una institución como el Instituto Lincoln: articular cómo se usa, se gobierna y se financia el suelo, para que cuidar un territorio y pagar por ese cuidado dejen de ser dos decisiones separadas.

Lo que vale la pena subrayar es que no existen territorios aislados: el agua lo conecta todo. El agua que llega a Lima nace en las montañas, y mientras ese vínculo no se reconozca, quienes cuidan las fuentes en lo alto seguirán sosteniendo, casi en silencio, el abastecimiento de agua de millones de personas aguas abajo. El desafío es que estos mecanismos lleguen, sin diluirse en el camino, a las comunidades que cuidan el agua en las alturas.

La verdadera altura

Hoy, de vuelta en mi propia ciudad, apenas unos metros sobre el nivel del mar, todavía recuerdo aquel mareo que sentí en las montañas. Pero cuando pienso en este viaje, la altitud ya no es lo que más importa.

Lo que me queda es la imagen de comunidades que se reunieron para imaginar su futuro colectivo y, al hacerlo, reconocieron el valor del conocimiento acumulado a lo largo de generaciones. Quizá esa fue la verdadera altura alcanzada durante aquellos días: no la de los 4.500 metros sobre el nivel del mar, sino la de una conversación que llegó a lugares donde rara vez se piensa el futuro de manera colectiva, y donde el conocimiento del pasado todavía ofrece respuestas a los desafíos del mañana. Como lo expresó un integrante de la comunidad, con una sencillez que se me quedó grabada: “Muchas veces creemos que el pasado fue mejor, pero somos nosotros quienes podemos hacer que el futuro sea aún mejor”.

Un grupo de personas, la mayoría con gorras y camisas azules, se reúnen afuera para tomarse una foto.
Participantes del taller de planificación de escenarios exploratorios en la subcuenca de Santa Eulalia, mayo de 2026. Fuente: Aquafondo.

Melinda Maldonado es abogada basada en Argentina con Doctorado en Estudios Urbanos. Sus líneas de trabajo incluyen financiamiento urbano, cambio climático y conflictos urbano-ambientales. Tiene amplia experiencia como investigadora, docente y consultora en el sector público y privado. Es colaboradora del Programa para América Latina y el Caribe del Instituto Lincoln desde 2010 en cursos de cambio climático y fundamentos jurídicos de políticas de suelo. Aquí también es investigadora de financiamiento de medidas para el cambio climático con tributos y cargas urbanísticas, y especialmente las soluciones basadas en la naturaleza. 

Imagen principal: Integrantes del equipo del Instituto Lincoln y de Aquafondo recorren la zona de amunas, a unos 4.500 metros sobre el nivel del mar. Fuente: Instituto Lincoln de Políticas de Suelo.

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Three people walk along a trail. A rocky mountain obscures most of the sky behind them.

Sowing Water, Sowing the Future in the High Mountains of Peru

By Melinda Lis Maldonado, July 8, 2026

The pickup truck stopped and I knew it was time to get out. Following the advice of the “water guardian” I had just met, I opened the door and waited a few seconds before exiting. I breathed in the dense mountain air and stepped down carefully. I had walked only a few meters before I felt in my body the weight of more than 4,500 meters (14,760 feet) of altitude. I paused for a moment, a little dizzy, waiting for the vertigo to pass.

None of that kept me from standing there, taking in the landscape. Before me stretched the Andean mountains of Peru, imposing and silent. As I looked out over the scene, I thought it was probably the highest place I had ever reached in my life—and I wondered whether the Lincoln Institute had ever reached so high….

Yet the altitude was only the beginning of the story.

Imagining the Future of a Sub-Basin

The mountain visit took place the day before a workshop on water resilience in the Santa Eulalia sub-basin, many meters lower down. The gathering was part of a process that had been unfolding for several months that seeks to strengthen capacity across Latin America and the Caribbean to imagine and prepare for uncertain futures in the context of water.

The tool behind that exercise is exploratory scenario planning (XSP): Rather than betting on a single predictable or desirable future, XSP sets out to navigate a range of uncertain futures and then return to the present to design strategies accordingly.

Santa Eulalia is one of five cases that make up this regional initiative, led by the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy through its Consortium for Scenario Planning and its land and water program, the Babbitt Center for Land and Water Policy. Local implementation was carried out by Aquafondo, the Water Fund for Lima and Callao, an organization that promotes water security through nature-based solutions and collaboration among multiple stakeholders.

Over two days, members of rural communities, authorities, organizations, and other local stakeholders worked together to imagine different future scenarios for the basin, built around the driving forces participants considered most critical in terms of their uncertainty and impact. What would this sub-basin look like amid frequent, intense climate impacts and political instability? The group working on the most adverse scenario asked that question, titling the scenario “My dear Santa Eulalia, you are dying—where will we sing the hualinas…?” Hualinas are traditional Peruvian songs that pay tribute to water.

The most adverse scenario (left), imagined and drawn by one of the workshop groups (right). Credit: Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Despite the differences among scenarios, certain answers came up again and again, aligning with three broad ideas.

First Idea: Caring for Natural and Ancestral Infrastructure

The first idea concerned the need to strengthen the natural and ancestral water infrastructures that for centuries have made it possible to manage water in the mountains. Here, the amunas took center stage.

The amunas are channels built in the upper reaches of the mountains that capture rainwater during the wet season and carry it across permeable terrain, where it slowly infiltrates the subsoil. Months later, in the dry season, that same water resurfaces lower down, just when it is needed most. It is a system as simple as it is ingenious, inherited from pre-Hispanic times and preserved from generation to generation. The practice is known as “sowing and harvesting water”: You sow when water is abundant so you can harvest it when it is scarce.

Its impact is no small thing. Estimates say one kilometer of amuna contributes around 148,000 cubic meters (39 million gallons) of water per year, according to Aquafondo’s monitoring studies, and to date about 87 kilometers (54 miles) of amunas have been restored. But perhaps most revealing is that the water sown in the mountains does not stay there: It travels through the subsoil and can reach much farther, even to the cities.

Bofedales—high-Andean wetlands that store water (left)—and a restored amuna (right): two pieces of the natural and ancestral infrastructure that regulates water in the highlands. Credit: Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Second Idea: Recovering and Passing on Knowledge

The second idea addressed the importance of recovering, making visible, and passing on the knowledge tied to these practices, through educational and cultural programs.

This idea struck me as especially powerful. Because what is not made visible is rarely valued. And what is not valued is rarely passed on to new generations. When that knowledge is lost, not only do specific techniques or practices disappear—so does a way of understanding the territory, of relating to water, and of building resilience.

This is not an isolated intuition. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change itself, in its report on impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability, recognizes that Indigenous and local knowledge offers valuable understanding for acting on climate risk and can enrich adaptation policies and practices. In the amunas, that principle becomes tangible: A body of knowledge more than 1,000 years old proves to be a concrete tool for adapting to water uncertainty today.

A group of people, many wearing matching blue shirts and caps, gather around a table to share their experiences and plan for the future.
Representatives of different stakeholder groups—including communities, authorities, and organizations—shared their knowledge and visions during the workshop in the Santa Eulalia sub-basin. Credit: Aquafondo.

Third Idea: Financing What the Mountain Gives Us

The third idea was to design financing mechanisms to restore and maintain these ecosystems—and this, in a way, is where the whole effort is decided. Amunas and bofedales do not maintain themselves: they need hands to restore them and resources that make that work possible year after year. The question underlying every idea raised in the workshop was the same: who pays for the infrastructure that makes water possible, and how do those resources reach the people who keep it functioning?

There is no single answer, and that is why it is worth exploring—from land-based financing instruments to voluntary conservation mechanisms. This is exactly the intersection where the Lincoln Institute works: tying together how land is used, governed, and financed, so that caring for a territory and paying for that care stop being two separate decisions.

Water connects everything. The water that reaches Lima is born in the mountains, and as long as that link goes unrecognized, those who care for the sources high up will keep sustaining, almost in silence, the water supply of millions downstream. The challenge is for these mechanisms to reach the communities that care for water in the highlands, without being diluted along the way.

The True Height

Today, back in my own city, just a few meters above sea level, I still remember that dizziness I felt in the mountains. But when I think about this trip, the altitude is no longer what matters most.

What stays with me is the image of communities that came together to imagine their collective future and, in doing so, recognized the value of knowledge accumulated over generations. Perhaps that was the true height reached during those days: not the 4,500 meters above sea level, but the conversation that reached places where the future is rarely considered collectively, and where knowledge of the past still offers answers to the challenges of tomorrow. As one community member put it, with a simplicity that stayed with me: “We often believe the past was better, but we are the ones who can make the future even better.”

A group of people, most of whom are wearing matching blue shirts and caps, gather outside for a photo, waving at the camera.
Participants in the exploratory scenario planning (XSP) workshop in the Santa Eulalia sub-basin, May 2026. Credit: Aquafondo.

Melinda Maldonado is an Argentina-based lawyer with a PhD in Urban Studies, specializing in urban finance, climate change, and urban-environmental conflicts. She has extensive experience as a researcher, lecturer, and consultant across both the public and private sectors. A collaborator with the Lincoln Institute’s Latin America and Caribbean Program since 2010, she teaches courses on climate change and urban law. Her work currently focuses on land value capture as a means of financing climate measures, particularly nature-based solutions.

Lead image: Members of the Lincoln Institute and Aquafondo teams walk along the amunas (high-altitude rainwater channels) at around 4,500 meters above sea level in the Andes of Peru. The two organizations recently ran a scenario planning workshop focused on water resilience in the Santa Eulalia sub-basin. Credit: Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Jessica Bremner, assistant professor of urban geography at California State University, Los Angeles
Fellows in Focus

People, Place, and Power: Exploring How Land and Water Policies Shape Spatial Injustice

By Jon Gorey, June 25, 2026

The Lincoln Institute provides a variety of early- and mid-career fellowship opportunities for researchers. In this series, we follow up with our fellows to learn more about their work.

Six years ago, Jessica Bremner was preparing to spend a year in Brazil studying housing issues on a Fulbright scholarship. She was scheduled to depart at the end of March 2020.

“We know what happened, everything shut down—so I needed to pivot,” says Bremner, now an assistant professor of urban geography at California State University, Los Angeles. She turned to her past experience: A trained urban planner, Bremner had spent several years as a planning director for the Kounkuey Design Initiative, working on community-led designs for public spaces in California’s Coachella Valley. “Because I had such a long history in Coachella, and an understanding of the Eastern Coachella Valley, in particular, some of the issues I’d seen there around water inequality became the central idea for the dissertation,” she says.

With the support of a Babbitt Center Dissertation Fellowship, which assists doctoral students researching water sustainability and resilience, Bremner examined the history of Indigenous water dispossession—an obscured but no less harmful form of land dispossession—that fueled the colonial settlement and agricultural growth in the Coachella Valley.

Her research, published in the Journal of Political Ecology in 2024, identified the practice of groundwater overdraft as an understudied and systematic form of dispossession, in addition to practices such as water grabbing, reallocation, or diversion. “Successful white settlement in the Coachella Valley could only happen through Indigenous water dispossession,” Bremner wrote in the paper, noting that “groundwater overdraft is not just a characteristic of early US settler colonialism in the Coachella Valley; it is ongoing.”

In this conversation, which has been edited for length and clarity, Bremner explains why good community engagement should allow a shift in power structures (but rarely does), shares a lesson she’s learned from her students, and describes why understanding the relationships among place, people, and power is essential to repairing any kind of injustice.

JON GOREY: What is the general focus of your work?

JESSICA BREMNER: My general focus is around spatial justice and spatial inequalities. Before doing the Babbitt Center research, I’d been much more focused on issues of housing. And in the Coachella Valley, housing is very much connected to issues of water—water quality, water scarcity, and water inequality.

I started working in the Coachella Valley in 2011 when I was working for the organization Kounkuey Design Initiative. We were invited by another organization who has a much longer history in the Coachella Valley, that had been working with Polanco parks [informal farmworker communities of up to 12 mobile homes] on many of their water quality issues. They invited us to work with them at this 100-household [mobile home] park in the eastern Coachella Valley. They had taken over the park from the previous owner to upgrade the housing conditions, and in the interim, they invited us to help spearhead a community engaged design process for this central public space. That’s actually how I first encountered these questions around water in the valley.

The settlers who came to the Southwest came with a particular view of how water works from the Eastern states … so usages and policies developed out of this geographic mismatch in how water functions. There’s a really interesting historical synchronicity between when the area was developed and what was going on … at the federal level in terms of infrastructure investment that has allowed water usage to grow through this infrastructure of water grabbing.

JG: What are you working on now, or hoping to work on next?

JB: There are some extensions of that project that I’m working on. Some of that work was really around this mismatch between land use regulations and water use regulations, and so I’m really interested in looking at that at the policy level. At the urban planning level, we’re not thinking about water when we’re making zoning decisions—that’s for the water district to let us know if there’s enough water for a certain use, right? Many people are looking at data center water use, and that’s not what my lane is. But I definitely see that it is highlighting that deficiency in how we zone for uses, and the relationship between those uses and water.

The [California State University] system has what’s called CSU Water, which is a network of researchers across the CSU system who work on different issues related to water in the state, and I’m a campus rep for that network. So I’m hoping to continue to work on multidisciplinary collaborations around water in California and tap into ongoing projects around water access, in particular. I’m also looking at moving back toward the housing side of the research, housing inequalities and affordability and informality, in particular informality in California.

Children play jump rope on a stage in the public space at St Anthony's mobile home park in the Coachella Valley
A new event stage in the public gathering space doubles as a play surface for children at St. Anthony’s mobile home park in the Coachella Valley. Credit: Kounkuey Design Initiative, 2014.

JG: Your work with the Kounkuey Design Initiative was very community driven. Can you talk about the importance of community engagement in policy and planning work?

JB: I have kind of a fraught relationship with community engagement, mainly because I think community engagement is incredibly valuable when it is deep and long—long in terms of time, and deep in terms of the type of engagement—and when it can really be about shifting power. Unfortunately, most of the engagement that we do in urban planning is short and superficial, and does not involve any sort of decision-making power shifts.

That does happen at the community organization level, like the projects that I’ve worked on and other community organizations have worked on, where you are more place-based, you’re engaging with community members, doing real organizing work and letting decisions be made through iterative discussions, and allowing community members to actually make decisions — and then, as someone who has power in a project, for instance, allowing those decisions to be … made, and not changing them. It’s an incredibly powerful process that we don’t really do in our formal government engagement processes.

JG: Have you encountered anything surprising or counterintuitive in your research?

JB: Almost everything, in many ways, was unexpected, except for the thing that I knew existed, which was the inequality. Some of the questions around growth and water dispossession… I hadn’t really thought much about before the work and maybe should have.

JG: What’s one thing you wish more people understood about spatial injustice or cultural geography?

JB: I end up structuring a lot of my classes around the relationship between people, space, and power, and how that actually structures the places we live in, and how those relationships are different based on local context. Being able to understand what those relationships are is really important if you are interested in enacting some sort of movement toward repairing any sort of injustice, whether it’s social or spatial. You need to understand what the relationship is between place, people, and power.

JG: Is there anything that you, in turn, have learned from your students?

JB: Just the importance of communication, and, for me, remembering that if someone isn’t understanding what is being said, it is not their fault, it’s my fault. If they’re not fully understanding, that means the guidance I give needs to be better, or there’s base information, foundational information, missing that I need to then add into whatever conversation we’re having. Just a reminder that we’re not all coming at an issue from the same level, and so it really is about first bringing everyone up to the same kind of basic knowledge base to be able to have any sort of nuanced and focused discussion.

JG: When it comes to your work, what keeps you up at night? And what gives you hope?

JB: I am always staying awake at night thinking about how I can structure the classroom so that students are able to craft and share their opinions in a productive, discursive setting, because it is so incredibly difficult to have people sit down and discuss a journal article or a larger concept.

And then I have hope because I enter the classroom at the beginning of the semester, and students are sitting at their desks with their phones in front of their faces, and the lights off, not talking to anyone, and by the end of the semester I’m coming into the classroom, and they’re sitting in their groups, talking to each other, and having lively discussions—to the point where I’m like, ‘Oh, I shouldn’t even start the class yet, because I don’t want to stop them engaging with each other like that.’

JG: What’s the best book you’ve read lately, or TV show you’ve streamed?

JB: I used to be a reader, but ever since the dissertation, you don’t read anymore … I talked to someone, and she was like, ‘It took me five years after I graduated to start picking up novels again.’ But two shows that I’m very excited to watch again are Drops of God and Ted Lasso. Especially Ted Lasso is such a nice antidote to the time we’re in. So I’m waiting for Ted Lasso to come back on, so I can get a new subscription for a month and binge watch both of them.


Jon Gorey is a staff writer at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Lead image: Jessica Bremner, assistant professor of urban geography at California State University, Los Angeles. Credit: Courtesy photo.

Land Wise
Blog Post
Aerial night skyline of Tegucigalpa, Honduras, from El Picacho Park. The landing strips of the airport are visible in the distance.

Can Exploratory Scenario Planning Help Latin American Communities Solve Their Water Challenges? 

By Jon Gorey, May 15, 2026

Toncontín Airport in Honduras—which sits squeezed inside the city limits of Tegucigalpa, the nation’s capital, itself nestled into a valley and surrounded by mountains—has long been one of the world’s most difficult and dangerous major airports to fly into. So in late 2016, Honduras began construction on a new airport at a former air base 50 miles northwest of the capital, with longer runways and a less treacherous approach.

When the new Palmerola International Airport opened in 2021 outside the small city of La Paz, it led to an explosion of nearby development. And that’s putting more pressure on the area’s already-strained water system.

Between an influx of residents moving closer to the airport and the new businesses and industries that have sprung up nearby, “there is exponential urban growth,” explains Alfredo Stein, a former lecturer in urban development planning at the University of Manchester who is now a Honduras-based executive board member with the Institute for International Urban Development (I2UD).

In April, I2UD, together with the Association for the Integrated Management of Watersheds of La Paz and Comayagua and other nonprofits, and with support from the Lincoln Institute’s Consortium for Scenario Planning, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Land and Water programs, hosted an exploratory scenario planning workshop in La Paz with a few dozen community members, private businesses, and local officials. A primary goal of the workshop was to strengthen collaborative water governance throughout the interconnected water system—from the headwaters of the upper basin to the urban neighborhoods below.

Even before the increase in water usage generated by the new airport and the resulting urban sprawl, city residents of the lower basin, which includes La Paz, only had running water for part of the day due to water supply shortages and inadequate infrastructure, explains Giovanni Pérez Macías, who helped facilitate the workshop. Meanwhile, the more rural upper basin—which is the source of much of the area’s water—is increasingly being cultivated for coffee production. Agriculture is a major driver of the Honduran economy, but it’s also a land use that can deplete and contaminate water supplies.

As in many places with interdependent rural-urban water systems, the watershed is managed by a patchwork of authorities—in this case, mostly local and neighborhood-led water boards—who are doing their best to serve their own communities. “The people in the lower part, they’re not fully aware of the complexities of conserving and producing water on the upper hill, and sometimes they’re not willing to contribute to cover the costs of producing this water that comes to the city,” Stein says. “So the idea of the workshop is to bridge this gap between the upper and lower basins.”

The two regions of the basin share similar challenges of “governability, climate change, technical issues, and financing,” says Alejandra Mortarini, vice president of I2UD. “The problem is, there is no money in the upper part, so somebody has to pay to cross-finance the work that people are doing in the upper basin.”

Given the impact the new airport is having on the region, Stein wonders if a per-passenger fee—something Costa Rica has had success with, he says—could help fund water quality management, conservation, and infrastructure. Or perhaps coffee producers and urban businesses could be persuaded to pay more for a guarantee of continuous water service.

“If they want to continue operating, and they will need water, there has to be a certain local fund that is established for the maintenance of this water producing process,” Stein says. “Is that going to be a levy, a tax? Municipal law in Honduras allows for a lot of these financial alternatives to take place.”

The workshops also explored long-term strategies to ensure greater resilience to climate risks. “The demand for water has increased quite dramatically, and this is happening in the context of severe climate impacts,” Stein adds—from more frequent dry spells to heavier rains that cause flooding. “So we have water stress, increased water demand, dwindling of water sources, dramatic land use change, wildfires, population explosion—those are the issues that this scenario planning workshop aims to address.”

The organizers (other partners included Habitat for Humanity Honduras and Goal Honduras) held a series of pre-workshops leading up to the April session to help community members identify a set of driving forces and future scenarios for attendees to contemplate together in more detail. The exploratory scenario planning framework helped create a supportive environment for conversations that can be uncomfortable, Pérez Macías says. “Talking about the future of a community turns out to be super common ground… It’s something that we all share.” Indeed, one of the scenarios was titled “Soñar no cuesta nada,” or “To dream costs nothing.”

Notes from the exploratory scenario planning workshop in La Paz, Honduras.
Notes from the XSP workshop in La Paz, Honduras. Credit: Giovanni Pérez Macías

By the end of the one-and-a-half-day April workshop, “something really amazing happened,” Pérez Macías says.

“You always have the risk that the final strategies are kind of out of reach of the community,” he explains. “Like, ‘We need a new national law,’ or ‘We need $10 million.’ So we ask them to think of strategies that are within their control. And that’s what happened: They decided that the very first strategy was to keep this group of people talking about water, and to try to build a local water board with different representatives from the upper basin, lower basin, NGOs, and government and economic clusters from the region.”

It’s that kind of tangible outcome that can make scenario planning such an effective tool for communities facing complex and interconnected challenges, says Heather Hannon, director of planning practice and scenario planning at the Lincoln Institute. As a community visioning exercise, “It’s designed to invite new ways of thinking about the future, but also to spur meaningful action and commitments in the present,” she says.

local community members and officials participate in an exploratory scenario planning workshop in La Paz, Honduras
Local community members and water officials participate in an exploratory scenario planning workshop in La Paz, Honduras. Credit: Giovanni Pérez Macías

The La Paz workshop was one of five projects focused on using exploratory scenario planning (XSP) to meet water challenges in Latin America selected for support through the Lincoln Institute’s Consortium for Scenario Planning and Latin America and the Caribbean program.

“Across Latin America and the Caribbean, communities are navigating growing pressures around water, land use, climate variability, and governance,” says Kristen Keener Busby, associate director of program implementation for the Lincoln Institute’s Babbitt Center for Land and Water Policy. “One of the most valuable aspects of these workshops has been creating space for diverse stakeholders to explore uncertainty together while identifying practical, locally grounded pathways toward long-term resilience.”

The other four selected projects, also getting underway, include:

  • A consortium of researchers from Bogota, Colombia, are using the exploratory scenario planning framework to address climate, environmental, and land use pressures on Laguna de Suesca in Suesca, Colombia, and inform the lagoon’s management plan, strengthen collaboration between communities and the environmental authority, and develop scalable approaches for resilient governance.
  • In Mexico, the Instituto de Planeación y Gestión del Desarrollo del Área Metropolitana de Guadalajara (IMEPLAN) is running an XSP process focused on flood risks to improve stormwater management and strengthen resilience, culminating in the implementation of a long-term flood management plan for the metro area.
  • Aquafondo, based in Lima, Peru, will bring together communities in the Santa Eulalia sub-basin to codevelop future scenarios for water governance and territorial management and identify long-term approaches to strengthen water resilience throughout the basin amidst institutional uncertainty and a changing climate.
  • Addressing increasing water scarcity in Argentina’s Mendoza River Basin, CONICET Mendoza, in coordination with local water user organizations, will employ XSP to foster participatory decision-making for equitable and sustainable water management across competing uses.

Learn more about Lincoln Institute RFPs, fellowships, and research opportunities.


Jon Gorey is staff writer at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Lead image: Aerial night skyline of Tegucigalpa, Honduras, from El Picacho Park. Credit: Leonid Andronov via Getty Images.

Conferences

Consortium for Scenario Planning 2027 Conference

January 27, 2027 - January 29, 2027

Los Angeles, California

January 27–29, 2027

 
The 2027 Consortium for Scenario Planning Conference will bring together planning professionals, academics, students, and other scenario planning and foresight practitioners to present their work, learn from one another, and expand their networks. The 10th annual conference will be held in Los Angeles, California, with our cohost, the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG).


Conference Details

Date
January 27, 2027 – January 29, 2027
Location
Los Angeles, California
Registration Fee
$350.00

The conference registration fee is waived for students.

Session Proposals

The session proposal deadline has been extended to July 23. Possible session types include presentations, panel discussions, interactive activities, and more. We strongly encourage speakers to include some sort of audience engagement components in their session. We will notify accepted applicants in September.


Application Period
April 29, 2026 – July 23, 2026

Keywords

Climate Mitigation, Disaster Recovery, GIS, Housing, Land Use Planning, Mapping, Planning, Scenario Planning, Water

Events

NPC 2026 Session: APA Water and Planning Network Meeting

April 26, 2026 | 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)

Detroit, MI United States

Offered in English

This meeting is for those interested in the American Planning Association’s Water and Planning Network, a gathering of land use planners and water systems planners who work towards better integration of water and land use planning led by the Lincoln Institute’s Mary Ann Dickinson. The network’s activities include newsletters and webinars on relevant topics. The next 12 months of the Network’s activities will be discussed.


Details

Date
April 26, 2026
Time
5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)
Location
Marriott Renaissance Center Hotel
Joliet B Room
Detroit, MI United States
Language
English

Keywords

Planning, Water, Water Planning

Events

NPC 2026 Session: Integrated Resource Planning—Where Land Meets Water

May 29, 2026 | 12:30 p.m. - 1:15 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)

Online, Channel 1

Offered in English

This session will be presented by the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy at the American Planning Association’s National Planning Conference.

Pick up a range of perspectives and tools, including foundational context, local examples, and strategies using various planning frameworks, to advance the integration of land and water planning. Presenters bring a wealth of experience at multiple planning scales and contexts, both governmental and nongovernmental.

Resources:


Details

Date
May 29, 2026
Time
12:30 p.m. - 1:15 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)
Location
Online, Channel 1
Language
English

Keywords

Planning, Water, Water Planning