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A Scenario Planning Toolkit for Shrinking Regions

Emma Walters and Arnab Chakraborty

January 2022, English

Scenario planning tools and practices often imply a baseline of growth which hinders the applicability of these tools in regions experiencing declining populations and economic disinvestment. These regions are often challenged by a lack of financial and organizational capacity and austere socio-political dynamics. They require scenario planning processes that are flexible, practicable, and emphasize collaborative decision making and social learning over sophisticated modeling and digital tools. We have developed a toolkit for shrinking regions that emphasizes multi-stakeholder engagement, narrative shifting and storytelling, and best practices for shrinking places to create useful, robust processes despite limited resources.


Community Development, Development, Economic Development, Inequality, Infrastructure, Land Banking, Local Government, Planning, Public Policy, Scenario Planning