Topic: City and Regional Planning

Zoning and its Discontents

March 27, 2026

By Anthony Flint, March, 27, 2026

Of all the major Supreme Court decisions of the 20th century, there’s one that stands out for shaping the way we live and the physical contours of the American landscape: Village of Euclid v. Ambler Realty Co., which affirmed that cities and towns could institute zoning as a way to regulate all growth and development.

The case came out of a suburb just east of Cleveland in the 1920s, when a real estate company was denied the use of land for industrial development; appeals went all the way to the Supreme Court, which backed the village of Euclid, and in so doing provided constitutional blessing to the basic concept of zoning seen in color-coded maps to this day—homes in one part of town, commercial and retail in another, and manufacturing and industrial uses in yet another.

At the time, Justice George Sutherland made the comment that a factory shouldn’t be in a residential area any more than “a pig in the parlor.” He also said apartment buildings shouldn’t be mixed in with single-family homes, saying the presence of residential density was like welcoming in a “parasite.”

That was in 1926, and this year, scholars and policymakers are marking the 100th anniversary of the Euclid decision, as zoning is being reevaluated across the country. Some 33 states have passed reforms to allow more density in zones once reserved for single-family homes only, and to promote the concept of mixed-use, blending housing with shops, restaurants, and workplaces all within walking distance—basically the kind of neighborhoods that Euclid made illegal. The critique suggests that American zoning is outdated and hasn’t kept up with the times—and, perhaps most important, that its application has made housing unaffordable and racially segregated.

For those reasons, zoning is “starting to be at least chipped away at by state and even local legislation,” said William Fischel, professor emeritus at Dartmouth College, in an interview on the latest episode of the Land Matters podcast.

Fischel is author of the book Zoning Rules, published in 2015 by the Lincoln Institute and cited in the early pages of Abundance by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, who blame excessive regulation for blocking housing and infrastructure projects. He is also author of The Homevoter Hypothesis, an explanation of how mostly single-family homeowners have used zoning and environmental regulations to preserve the status quo.

Zoning emerged out of concern for public health and the need to organize cities to accommodate manufacturing and residential development following the invention of the automobile, says Fischel, who was the keynote speaker at a symposium at George Mason University earlier this year cosponsored by the Mercatus Center, the Pacific Legal Foundation and the Journal of Law, Economics and Policy.

Listen to the show here or subscribe to Land Matters on Apple Podcasts, SpotifyStitcher, YouTube, or wherever you listen to podcasts.

 


Further Reading

Zoning Rules! The Economics of Land Use Regulation | Lincoln Institute

How Zoning Won—and Why It’s Now Losing Ground | Lincoln Institute

Have We Reached Peak Zoning? | The Future of Where

Here’s Looking at Euclid | Cite Journal

Goodbye, Zoning? | Vanderbilt Law Review

Analyzing Land Readjustment: Economics, Law, and Collective Action | Lincoln Institute

  


Anthony Flint is a senior fellow at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, host of the Land Matters podcast, and a contributing editor of Land Lines. 


Transcript

[00:00:05] Anthony Flint: Welcome to Episode 2 of Season 7 of the Land Matters Podcast. I’m your host, Anthony Flint. Of all the major Supreme Court decisions of the 20th century, there’s one that stands out for shaping the way we live and the physical contours of the American landscape: Village of Euclid v. Ambler Realty Company, which affirmed that cities and towns could institute zoning as a way to regulate all growth and development.

The case came out of a suburb just east of Cleveland in the 1920s when a real estate company sought to use their land for industrial development. The town said no, we want that area to be residential. Ambler Realty sued and the case made it all the way to the Supreme Court. The justices backed the Village of Euclid and in so doing provided constitutional blessing to the basic concept of zoning that we all see in color-coded maps to this day, homes in one part of town, commercial and retail in another, and manufacturing and industrial uses in yet another.

At the time, Justice George Sutherland made the comment that a factory shouldn’t be in a residential area any more than a pig in a parlor. He also said apartment buildings shouldn’t be mixed in with single-family homes, saying the presence of residential density was like welcoming in a parasite. Strong words from Justice Sutherland, to be sure, but from that point on, thousands of municipalities followed the template of separating uses and spreading them around. That was in 1926.

Understandably — not everybody might be aware of this –but scholars and policymakers and others are actually marking the 100th anniversary of the Euclid decision. It’s not so much a celebration but a reconsideration of the landmark ruling, looking at the effect that’s had 100 years later and essentially reassessing what has come to be known as Euclidean zoning itself.

Some 33 states have passed reforms to allow more density in zones once reserved for single-family homes only, and to promote the concept of mixed use, blending housing with shops, restaurants, and workplaces all within walking distance — basically the kind of neighborhoods that Euclid made illegal. The critique suggests that American zoning is outdated and hasn’t kept up with the times, and perhaps, most important, has made housing unaffordable and racially segregated.

With us today to unpack all of this is William Fischel, a professor emeritus at Dartmouth College and author of the book, Zoning Rules, published in 2015 by the Lincoln Institute. That volume is cited in the early pages of Abundance by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, who blame excessive regulation for blocking housing and infrastructure projects. Fischel is also the author of The Homevoter Hypothesis, an explanation of how mostly single-family homeowners tend to resist any changes because they’re worried about property values. We’ll discuss that in just a bit.

I should add that Fischel was the keynote speaker at a symposium at George Mason University earlier this year, co-sponsored by the Mercatus Center, the Pacific Legal Foundation, and the Journal of Law, Economics, and Policy, which was featured in Bloomberg City Lab and Land Lines Magazine. He’s a great friend of the Lincoln Institute and served with distinction for many years on the board of the organization. Bill Fischel, welcome to the Land Matters Podcast.

[00:03:31] William Fischel: Thank you, Anthony. Good to be here.

[00:03:33] Anthony Flint: Let’s start toward the beginning of all this, the advent of zoning in the US. One of the fun facts I discovered while researching some of this is that zoning was imported — along with the delicatessen — from Germany after the turn of the last century. Why and how did zoning come to be the go-to policy for guiding growth and development in this country?

[00:03:55] William: Edward Bassett, considered to be the father of zoning: he and other people went to Germany. Germany was the place you went for advanced civilization. In the twenties before World War I, Germany was the high point of culture and science and social science as well. Bassett and some other people went to Germany and studied zoning. He came back with the idea that you could have comprehensive zoning.

Now, comprehensive zoning in Germany turned out was different from comprehensive zoning in the United States. That is, the United States massaged it quite a bit. In Germany, the idea was to split the city into something like thirds, like a pie wedge, so many pie wedges or pizza wedges, where businesses would be in the center, a logical place for them, and along each pie wedge would live the people who worked in that particular industry.

This was to save transportation costs, so you could go back and forth, so all the workers going to the same place could go to the same place at home, regular commuting instead of going in circles and so forth. If you were in the metal industry and there was a metal factory, the metal workers and their bosses would live outside. Now, the bosses lived in nicer homes, maybe a little farther out. It wasn’t like there was great intermixing, but there was this segregation by occupation. That didn’t go anywhere in the United States. We had company towns and things like this where people lived around the factory and so forth.

The zoning that occurred in the United States was really separating residential from commercial from industrial. I grew up in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, where they had a great big steel mill. Workers clustered around the plant. A lot of people walked to work because they couldn’t afford a car, or it was just more convenient. The clustering was natural there. The separation of uses, commercial from industrial and so forth, was a feature of American zoning from the get-go. I think that was what made it fairly attractive.

[00:05:51] Anthony Flint: Now, there was also some thinking in the progressive era at the time about the health impacts. Can you talk a little bit about that, this idea that congestion and tenement houses and housing of any kind being close to a smelter or a tannery and all of that?

[00:06:08] William Fischel: There was certainly that. The big progressive move actually had occurred in the late 19th century that made cities much more livable. They got decent drinking water, and they dug sewers, got the waste out of the neighborhoods, at least. Those were great advances in public health.

Once that was fixed, people, as people do, want to go to the next best thing, and that is, “Let’s not have these noxious fumes from our factory.” If you’re a steelworker, you endure it during the day, you’d rather not endure it at night. You’d like to be a little farther away from the blast furnaces. That was part of the story. This was an issue that could be fixed by distance.

The plant operators in Pittsburgh got together and said, “It’s so damn polluted, people don’t want to live here. We can’t recruit executives to come from other cities because it’s so polluted.” They actually collectively, along with the state of Pennsylvania, restricted the plants themselves, reducing pollution, relocating them so they weren’t so close to the residents, and more or less cleaned up Pittsburgh by the standards of the time. That was a big accomplishment.

The thing that brought on zoning was the desire for single-family homes. That was usually not a problem when there was simply distance involved. What upset that equilibrium was the invention of the automobile. The automobile, and most importantly, the derivatives of the automobile, something called the motor truck and a jitney bus — a jitney bus was a small bus almost always privately operated that just cruised around neighborhoods, picked up people, and took them to work or took them shopping or whatever. It’s like an airport bus now today in its capacity, not in its comfort. The cheap car and the cheap truck and cheap motor bus made industry and apartment dwellers footloose. They didn’t have to walk to work anymore. The industry could put parts of their business, maybe all of their business, out in much cheaper land in the suburbs.

The industry was suffering from congestion by the docks or by the railhead, competing with other businesses. They say, “Let’s move the warehouse out in the suburbs here. We’ve got this tract of land.” Put up a warehouse or put up some storage place or put up a back office operation. They could do that now that they could truck things from one place to another pretty easily. They didn’t have to be stuck to rail lines or trolley lines. That’s what made the single-family house vulnerable. It couldn’t be cured by distance anymore. It had to be cured by something else.

Eventually, developers in California led the charge here. Everybody was moving to California in the early 20th century, emptying out the Midwest. Developers wanted single-family homes. They wanted that single-family house in the suburbs, out in Pasadena and outside central Los Angeles.

The developers in Southern California faced up to this problem and said, “We need to adopt some collective action.” They got the city of Los Angeles to let them establish their own residential districts. It was really the first zoning laws. The problem that came up in Los Angeles was that industry was having a problem finding a place to locate.

The classic case, Sebastian v. Hadacheck … Mr. Hadacheck had a brick factory. He had it downtown Los Angeles. Residential development occurred around his brick factory. You’d think they would have smelled it first, but there they went. They established one of these residential districts and said, “You’ve got to get out of here. Sorry, Hadacheck. You can’t stay here anymore. You’re in the wrong zone.”

Hadacheck moves away, a couple of miles away, and it’s open land. He builds up his brick factory. He has a brick truck. He’s got that Henry Ford derivative invention of a truck. He can move his bricks. He’s happy as a clam until somebody develops a residential area right next to him. Same thing, deja vu all over again, as Yogi Berra would say. He gets zoned out. He takes this case to the California Supreme Court. The California Supreme Court says, “Too bad. First in time is not first in right.” If you’re making something like a nuisance or a brick factory, they’re not pleasant to be next to. He takes it to the US Supreme Court. The US Supreme Court says, “Too bad. Sorry, Hadacheck. You have to move.”

Los Angeles turns around and says, “We have a problem here. Our problem is we got lots of residential land, but we have no place for them to work. We have no place for them to put brick factory. We can’t do anything if we can’t have our business.” They invent the exclusive industrial zone.

On the other side of the river, no houses allowed, at least no new houses allowed. Industry is free to locate there. Once they do that, they have something that looks comprehensive. Just before they do that, New York comes up with it’s comprehensive zoning. My friend, Edward Bassett, writes the zoning law, pretty much, and separates commercial and apartments and so forth in all five boroughs. New York City is a big place, even bigger than Los Angeles back then. Those two events are the birth of zoning.

[00:11:36] Anthony Flint: Now, there’s another theme underpinning some of this in zoning, and that is racial segregation. How did zoning end up becoming a tool to set down the rules for who lived where?

[00:11:49] William: Modern zoning and zoning stemming from Euclid was not who lived where, but what you could do where. It wasn’t a matter of Jones and Smith have to live on this said street and Brown and White have to live on the other side. It was about residential versus commercial versus industrial, and always the size of that house and so forth.

The mix-up, the mash-up here, and I think people are understandably both confused and concerned by this, is that there’s a case before Euclid called Buchanan v. Warley. In Buchanan v. Warley, it started in the border states of the South: Maryland, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Missouri, and so forth. Prior to World War II, a lot of industry is starting to develop, partly generated by demand for US products from the outbreak of the war.

Lots of Black people are coming to these cities. They’re sick of being sharecroppers and being discriminated against, and so they move north to cities. The cities of the border south are quite unwelcoming to Black residents. They’re okay with them in their factories, but they want them to live in their own place. There’s no law that says that Black people have to live in this section and white people live in that section, so they make a law that says exactly that. The law says, “In this area, wherever there are majority whites located in a block, then Black people cannot live there, either rent or buy, except as servants.” This is really virtually an apartheid ordinance.

This law is taken to the US Supreme Court, Buchanan v. Warley, nine years before Euclid, hears the case. It takes a look at the 14th Amendment of the United States, which says life, liberty, and property shall not be denied them anyway. It says, “No, this violates the Constitution and strikes down the law unanimously.” Conservative, liberal, everybody in between says, “No, that will not fly.”

Some of the cities go and try and tweak it a little bit. They see this thing called zoning. Zoning comes in after this and doesn’t mention race or anything about the characteristics of people who might occupy. It just says use. It divides things up. There were residential zones. There were residential zones that allowed apartments. There were commercial zones. There were industrial zones. These zones, in ways that you’d look back at it and say, “It looks sensible.” The residential zones are along these loopy streets that you see in suburbs that were popular back then. The main drag is zoned for apartments.

What Euclid does mainly is says, “It’s okay to separate these uses. We’re not giving you standards as to how to separate them. We’re not telling you what the property is. You’re not telling us you can separate by race. We already struck that down.” Cities kept attempting it, and the courts, even the state courts in the South, were striking it down. It never got any real traction. Zoning, on the other hand, blasted out the gate once the Supreme Court said, “Okay.” The irony here is that developers now complain about the zoning regulations and so forth. Zoning was a developer idea.

[00:14:54] Anthony Flint: All of these threads continue to intertwine through the Great Depression and World War II, through the well- documented practice of redlining certain areas to be eligible for mortgages, the prevalence of racial covenants, on through with the development of places like Levittown and increasingly larger lots that only certain people can afford.

What’s so remarkable is that these rules got so locked in, as you point out, with the owners of primarily single-family homes buttressed by environmental laws and the growth management movement, at least since about 1970. Can you talk a little bit about why it was effectively defended for so long and, of course, continues to be, and that is this idea of nimbyism or not in my backyard?

[00:15:39] William Fischel: I’ve been studying zoning for 50 years. I looked at zoning and I thought it looked too restrictive from an economics point of view, but I said, “Why is this?” I needed to understand not just how zoning operated, but who was behind zoning. I looked around and was on the Hanover (New Hampshire) zoning board. I’m looking at who’s showing up at my meetings. They’re homeowners.

Asking myself, “Why are they going on about these proposed developments near their homes that look perfectly benign to me, better than most, and going on like the earth will end if this project gets done?” It hits me in a financial sense that these people, homeowners like myself, maybe like you, have a very large asset in their financial portfolio.

I’m thinking like an economist. This asset, unlike stocks that you might own, is not diversified. My pension fund is diversified. If General Motors goes south, Tesla will take up the slack, big deal, diversified portfolio. Most of my other assets, about half of my assets, I would estimate, are in my home. If that goes south, there’s no diversification. I can’t pick up my home and move it to another neighborhood. I can’t put my home up in parts and sell it to other parties to make a mutual fund out of it. I’m stuck with a very undiversified asset.

I developed the idea that homeowners are acute, overly, acutely aware of the risk, not just the value, the risk that their home endures because it’s in one place, in one industry, in one location, and they’ve got to defend it. They have to defend it more than you would think would be rational because they’re not just thinking about the expected outcome, they’re thinking about the risk. They show up at the zoning board and behave like they’re irrationally concerned when they’re not irrationally concerned. They’re NIMBYs. They’re not in my backyard.

Now, these people are not terribly effective until 1970. The environmental movement gives them a tool to run around me on the zoning board, to go to court and have the courts decide this. Now, the courts might be sensible places to do, but they take time. For developers, time is money. They’ve bought the land on a loan and they’ve got to pay interest. The bank is not waiting for them. They make compromises. “Oh, we wanted to have quarter-acre lots here. How about I make them half-acre lots or 2-acre lots or something like that?” Low density zoning because I can’t wait for you to decide.

Then lots of the environmental laws become really fussy about things like wetlands. Doubles the amount of land that is taken off the market where developers can’t go or they can’t go without conditions from the zoning board or the planning board to do it. Again, taking time, taking money to do it. This gets multiplied. The environmental movement is at the root of this. It’s not a crazy movement, but it’s taken to extremes by people who are not so much concerned about the environment as the value of their homes.

[00:18:34] Anthony Flint: Now that’s changing.

[00:18:35] William Fischel: I think eventually excessive success generates sometimes a collapse. I think that’s what we’re seeing now. I hope it’s a gentle collapse. I don’t want them to throw out all environmental laws. I don’t want them to fill in all the wetlands or disregard the important environmental issues. They’ve been taken to extremes and they’ve been abused by local groups.

What I’m seeing here is not simply state laws that say, “Towns, you have to pay attention to housing,” but also courts that are saying, “Hey, guys, this endless environmental invocations to stop development have to have an end.” It does have what economists would call an opportunity cost. That opportunity cost is housing and a stratified society and a stultified economy. That’s what the authors of Abundance have pointed out and saying, “We don’t have to be that way.”

One of the things that occasionally makes me happy to be in a diverse democracy is people occasionally say, “Yes, we have to change our ways.” I’m seeing people change their ways and changing their attitudes towards this. I don’t want to run back to 1916 and just get rid of zoning. I think the idea that we can just abolish zoning is very wishful thinking.

[00:19:48] Anthony Flint: A process where zoning is continually tweaked and revisited and an acknowledgement that times have changed, especially with affordability being so front and center.

[00:20:01] William Fischel: I don’t think if we abolished zoning, we would get rid of our racial problems by any stretch of the imagination. I think once you get the town manager or the city manager saying, “I’m sorry. We can’t fill out the ranks of the fire department because we can’t get people to move here,” that gets people’s attention after a while. The private sector has been complaining about that for a while.

Now I think there’s real traction of people feeling the consequences of this excessive fussiness about who your neighbors are that it’s starting to be at least chipped away at by state and even local legislation. I’ve been critical of my own town, but I’ll give my town a bit of credit. We have an infill development in process that allows single-family homes to be converted to two-family, even four-family homes in the neighborhoods. There is resistance, but it was generated entirely by the town council.

You present people with the facts and enough evidence, real-time evidence, sometimes they come around and say, “Yes, we do have to change our ways.” I’m encouraged. I’ve been retired from teaching for six years, but I’m happy to spread some of the hopefully good news of land use regulations that accommodate more people, outsiders, and a larger spectrum of the social and, of course, the racial spectrum that makes the United States an interesting place.

[00:21:17] Anthony Flint: What’s so interesting to me is just how these rules that most people don’t spend a lot of time thinking about really shape our society and how we live.

[00:21:28] William Fischel: One of the things I discovered on the zoning board is how naive, at least from our point of view, people are about zoning. Until something happens in the neighborhood, then they get well-informed. Then they understand what the rules are. I think enough things are happening from enough different points of view that some change is likely to happen. I don’t think it will be without rough spots, but I see the general trend as positive here.

[00:21:49] Anthony Flint: Bill Fischel, thank you so much for joining the conversation at Land Matters.

[00:21:54] William Fischel: You’re welcome.

[00:21:54] Anthony Flint: You can find more background on the Euclid case and Bill Fischel’s book, Zoning Rules, at the Lincoln Institute website, lincolninst.edu. Zoning has a special place in the history of the Lincoln Institute.

We actually had our own symposium on Euclid, if you can believe it, in 1986 on the occasion of the 60th anniversary of the decision, co-organized by Charles Haar and Jerold Kayden from Harvard, and led to the publication of Zoning and the American Dream: Promises Still to Keep, published in 1989. That book, in turn, was reviewed in Cite Journal, a publication of Rice University, under a headline that has to be one of the most clever in scholarly writing about land use: “Here’s Looking at Euclid.”

There’s an additional wonderful Henry George thread here as well. The lawyer for Ambler Realty, Newton Baker, succeeded Tom Johnson as mayor of Cleveland and was similarly a dedicated Georgist, alongside none other than John C. Lincoln, the founder of the Lincoln Institute, who was active as an inventor and entrepreneur in the Cleveland area around the turn of the last century.

One way or the other, we look at zoning and land use regulation, especially as it pertains to housing construction today, pretty much on a continual basis. After all, zoning is about land and we’re the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. On social media, our handle is @landpolicy. Please go ahead and rate, share, and subscribe to Land Matters, the podcast of the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. For now, I’m Anthony Flint signing off until next time.

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A New Ground Lease on Life: In Virginia, County-Owned Land Becomes a Site for Student and Senior Housing

By Jon Gorey, March 31, 2026

Musician Curtis Hunter approaches the world with a smile—even if the world doesn’t always return the gesture. But fate seemed to smile on Hunter last June, at least, when he moved into a new senior housing development built on county-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia.

A few years before, at 58, Hunter had been assaulted near his old apartment building in Seven Corners, suffering a collapsed lung and broken bones. A difficult stretch followed, including a bout of homelessness and another violent attack. But last year, a Fairfax County caseworker suggested Hunter look into a new affordable housing development for seniors, called Belmont at One University. It’s one of several recent projects that have seen Fairfax County leverage the value of its publicly owned land to spur new affordable housing.

A former handyman and touring musician (he played guitar and harmonica in bands that opened for Los Lobos and Donovan, among other acts), Hunter now lives on disability income and says he’s grateful for his new home.

“I appreciate it so much, it’s a very wonderful thing. I really appreciate that they allow my pet,” he says. Unlike three of his former cats—who would accompany Hunter outside, perched on a carpeted platform he would attach to a backpack or bike rack—his latest cat, Sophie, is timid; adopted at nine and a half, she prefers lounging in the window, gazing at the nearby sports complex and neighbors walking along the bike path.

The field house across the street, where Hunter has taken in the occasional lacrosse or soccer game, is part of George Mason University, a public university with about 40,000 students.

One University is located next door to the college, on a 10.8-acre property owned by the Fairfax County Redevelopment and Housing Authority (FCRHA). The parcel previously held an FCRHA affordable housing complex of 46 townhomes, called Robinson Square. In 2021, those tenants were relocated to temporary housing until the new homes were ready—a step that was not without challenges or misgivings, but which allowed for a fivefold increase in the number of affordable housing units on site.

The property now comprises three new buildings: Robinson, named for the former townhome complex, which holds 120 affordable one- to four-bedroom units for all ages; Belmont, with 120 affordable one- and two-bedroom apartments reserved for seniors aged 62 and older; and Main on University, with over 300 market-rate student apartments.

The three buildings sit on county-owned land leased at a nominal rate for 99 years—the land added an estimated $12 million subsidy to help the projects get built. However, the buildings are privately owned and managed, and thus pay the county hundreds of thousands of dollars apiece in local property taxes.

This kind of arrangement—a ground lease that allows communities to hold onto their land while sharing in the revenue generated by development on that land—is one of several ways  communities are putting public land to use in order to expand affordable housing. And it’s providing new opportunities for tenants of all ages.

Curtis Hunter speaks to the camera. He has gray hair and is wearing a striped orange, blue, and white polo shirt.
Musician Curtis Hunter, who lives in an apartment complex built on county-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia. Credit: Belmont at One University/Paradigm Property Management, LLC.

Hunter enjoys having college students next door and says some have helped organize social events for the senior residents, from game nights to group walks. “There’s one group, they come over, and they help with getting some of these things together—the art class and the open mic, and they have what’s called ‘Cups and Company,’ where they get people from the two buildings to come down and have tea and cookies together,” he explains. “I appreciate them being there, since I don’t have family and don’t get to see my nieces and nephews.”

This Land Is Your Land

In 2022, Fairfax County doubled its affordable housing target, committing to the addition of 10,000 new affordable units by 2034, with no net loss of existing affordable homes. The original goal of 5,000 affordable homes, set in 2019, was always intended to be “a floor, not a ceiling,” according to the advisory panel that issued the recommendation. While median household incomes are high in Fairfax, at more than $154,000 a year, median home values are more than double the national average, at $760,400, according to US Census data. The county has, in some cases, acquired new land in order to develop transit-oriented affordable housing. But lately, especially after the success of One University, the FCRHA is looking more closely at co-locating new affordable housing with existing public facilities on land it already owns or controls.

“We’re looking at a few public facilities, [including] two libraries,” says Anna Shapiro, deputy director for real estate development and finance at the FCRHA. The libraries’ large parking lots offer the potential to co-locate housing on county-owned sites that are “also really accessible in terms of transportation infrastructure and access to jobs and amenities,” she notes. “That piece is really important for us, because as we’re evaluating these properties, we want to make sure that we’re setting people up for success and not isolating people.”

Positioned on the edge of a college campus, One University is fairly walkable, about a mile from grocery stores and the city center. “I bought a little sit-down scooter that gets me up to the Giant and to the Safeway in Fairfax City,” Hunter says. A network of wide bike paths and sidewalks makes it easy to get around.

The county’s latest co-located affordable housing development, currently nearing completion, is also centrally located—on a pair of underutilized parking lots next to the county’s Government Center offices. Fairfax Crest, as it’s called, will hold 279 affordable units for renters earning 30 to 70 percent of the area median income (AMI). The project is actually a sequel of sorts: The nearby Residences at Government Center were completed almost a decade ago. However, Fairfax Crest includes more amenities, like a public plaza, 15,000 square feet of community space, and a childcare center.

An aerial rendering of Fairfax Crest shows two apartment buildings facing an interior courtyard with a playground.
An aerial rendering of Fairfax Crest, an affordable housing development underway on county-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia. Credit: KTGY.

The average two-bedroom apartment in Fairfax rents for more than $2,400 a month, according to Zillow and RentCafe estimates, while income-restricted two-bedroom apartments at Robinson and Belmont currently rent for $1,653 to $2,022 per month. Rents at Fairfax Crest have yet to be announced, but between the income-restricted rents and energy-efficient appliances and construction (including rooftop solar panels) that reduce utility costs, most tenants should not have to spend more than 30 percent of their gross income on housing expenses—relieving them of the “cost-burdened” status nearly half of US renters experience.

Shapiro was able to tour one of the Fairfax Crest buildings as construction was wrapping up. “We got to go up to one of the units, and I have to say, the views from the top floors of what is an affordable housing development are gorgeous,” she says. “The county has been very clear that just because it’s affordable housing, it shouldn’t look different than our other housing—and we do have pretty high expectations for what people deliver in our county.”

Building Support for Building

While the federal government owns plenty of land, much of it—from military bases to national parks and wildlife refuges—is not particularly sensible for residential development. States and municipalities, however, control over 250,000 acres of buildable land in high-demand, urban areas, according to a 2024 analysis by the Lincoln Institute’s Center for Geospatial Solutions. This includes surface parking lots, vacant lots, and shuttered municipal buildings in prime locations near jobs and public transit.

Still, it takes initiative and money—and, often, some political courage and leadership—to convert municipally owned land to affordable housing or other publicly beneficial uses.

Shapiro thinks the success of One University and other recent projects helped build the necessary confidence and support among county officials to pursue the Fairfax Crest project. “Seeing all those results, I think they said, ‘Okay, let’s do this in our front yard. Let’s make this really visible, and show our commitment very clearly to affordable housing,’” Shapiro says.

An aerial photo of the One University area, with the site outlined in red.
A map of the One University site, a 10.8-acre property owned by Fairfax County that previously held 46 affordable townhomes and meeting space for the Fairfax County Redevelopment and Housing Authority. The site was redeveloped to hold 240 affordable units for seniors and families, as well as apartments for students attending nearby George Mason University. Credit: Fairfax County Department of Planning and Development.

The County Board of Supervisors has been “critical in actually making this happen,” she adds, championing the housing affordability issue politically. “Not only do we have this goal of 10,000 net new units in the county, we’re also going to put our money where our mouth is and put our land where our mouth is.”

Fairfax Crest consists of two main buildings, each with its own cocktail of financing and tax credits. As with One University, the buildings are owned and operated by private companies, on land leased from the county for a 99-year term. “We are very, very concerned about keeping long-term control of our county,” Shapiro says, especially right next to the government offices. “We understood that the value of the land would really help to subsidize the development of the property.”

Each building combined a 4 percent low-income housing tax credit from Virginia Housing with an additional 9 percent tax credit won through a competitive process, in what Shapiro calls a “twinning” strategy. The FCRHA also issued a pair of bonds to help finance the development, totaling $23.5 million, as well as $25 million in loans from its Blueprint fund. “There are other sources in the deal, too—some other state funding and a grant for the daycare buildout,” Shapiro says. “We try to set up our underwriting criteria to really ensure that developers are going out and getting outside capital as well.”

Fairfax County’s decision to retain ownership of its land through ground leases is preferable to what many municipalities end up doing to spur affordable housing development: selling the lot for a dollar, granting a 20-year tax abatement, and “losing all of the value of the asset forever just to achieve the outcome,” says Robert ‘R.J.’ McGrail, director of the Lincoln Institute’s Accelerating Community Investment program.

Every incentive matters, McGrail notes, and each one “can be the difference between shovels in the ground and cranes in the air or not.” But surrendering future tax revenue risks degrading the public services that the new residents, from across the income spectrum, will rely on. “Losing pieces of that to get a deal done is a choice, one that jurisdictions make every day,” he says. “For me, optimizing the disposition strategy in a way that is least extractive of downstream public revenue makes a land activation housing affordability strategy also a municipal fiscal health strategy.”

As of early February, Fairfax County has delivered 1,373 new affordable units toward its goal, with another 2,470 units in 11 projects either under construction or in the pipeline, including Fairfax Crest, according to FCHRA’s affordable housing dashboard. In addition to the libraries Shapiro mentioned, the FCHRA is evaluating other county-owned sites for affordable housing potential, including a park-and-ride lot and a community center. And as the Town of Franconia prepares to move its government offices to a new campus, the county planning commission in February approved a proposal to build 120 units of new affordable housing on the vacated site, along with a district police station, museum, and expanded public library.

‘It Makes Me Smile Again’

What none of those numbers quite captures is the impact a welcoming, safe, affordable place to live can have on individuals and families—the friendships made, the worries dispelled.

Cheerful and outgoing, Hunter is something of a Belmont ambassador, recruiting residents to the building’s social events and classes, and suggesting new ones. He’d like to see parties held for people’s birthdays, for example. “I have a funny feeling that people might appreciate that,” he says. “People who don’t have family, who don’t have company coming all the time, who don’t get out as often … it’s probably pretty special for them.”

In his first-floor apartment, his instruments at hand, Hunter now plucks out a short melody; his cat, Sophie, makes for a captive if indifferent audience. “She’s my comfort animal, after what I’ve been through, and having pets all my life,” he says. “It was pets and music, those were my calming things.”

As the chords ring out over the jingle of a tambourine, Sophie lazes in the window. “She’s up there at least 10 and a half hours a day, sitting there just staring out that window,” Hunter says. “Right outside my window is the bike trail. So that’s where all the dogs from the neighborhood get walked … Every once in a while, a dog notices her and comes up to see her, and the same with people,” he adds.

“I’m glad I have this window; it’s important for me, too,” Hunter reflects. “I’m an extrovert, and watching people walk by, it makes me smile again to look at people. There are a few people who’ll look in the window to see if Sophie’s there today—that helps my soul.”

A cat sits on a platform looking out a window at leafless trees and a red car.
Sophie keeps watch at One University. Credit: Curtis Hunter.

Jon Gorey is a staff writer at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Lead image: Part of the One University redevelopment on County-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia. Credit: Hartman Design Group.

Land Wise
Blog Post
Aerial view of downtown Detroit on a bright day, with a dense cluster of high-rise buildings along the Detroit River. Glass and stone skyscrapers rise above lower office buildings, while the river stretches behind the skyline and the far shoreline is visible in the distance under a blue, lightly clouded sky.

Lincoln Institute at the 2026 National Planning Conference

By Catherine Benedict, March 17, 2026

Experts from the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy will lead and participate in discussions about planning for data centers, equitably addressing climate change, leveraging scenario planning, and more at the American Planning Association’s National Planning Conference from April 25 to April 28 in Detroit, Michigan.

We encourage conference attendees to stop by the Lincoln Institute’s booth (#100) in the exhibit hall to explore multimedia displays and our wide range of publications. Policy Focus Reports will be available free of charge, and conference attendees can purchase books at a discount, including City Tech: 20 Apps, Ideas, and Innovators Changing the Urban Landscape; Mayor’s Desk: 20 Conversations with Local Leaders Solving Global Problems; Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions; and Design with Nature Now. The discount will also be available for online orders.

In late May, Lincoln Institute researchers will present an additional set of online sessions in the virtual portion of the conference. 

Learn more about the in-person and online sessions featuring Lincoln Institute programs below. 

SATURDAY, APRIL 25

11:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. ET  | The 2026 Trend Report: Emerging Trends and Signals (HPCC, Room 310AB)

We live in a world characterized by accelerating change and increased uncertainty. Planners are tasked with helping their communities navigate these changes and provide guidance on preparing for an uncertain future. However, conventional planning practices often fail to adequately consider the future, even while planning for it. Most plans reflect past data and current assumptions but do not account for trends emerging on the horizon. 

To create resilient and equitable plans for the future, planners need to incorporate foresight into their work. This presentation outlines emerging trends that will be vital for planners to consider and introduces strategies for making sense of the future while practicing foresight in community planning. By embracing foresight, planners can effectively guide change, foster more sustainable and equitable outcomes, and position themselves as critical contributors to thriving communities. The practice of foresight is imperative for equipping communities for what lies ahead. 

Moderator and Speaker: Ievgeniia Dulko, American Planning Association

Speakers:

  • Petra Hurtado, PhD, American Planning Association
  • Senna Catenacci, American Planning Association
  • Joseph DeAngelis, AICP, American Planning Association

SUNDAY, APRIL 26

10:30 a.m.–12:30 p.m. ET | Planning with Foresight (Room 250A-C)

Futures literacy is becoming increasingly important in planning. It is the skill that allows people to better understand the role the future plays in what they see and do. This involves imagining multiple plausible futures, incorporating future scenarios into our work, and planning with foresight.  

This interactive learning experience, presented in a learning lab format, focuses on applying strategic foresight in planning and serves as an essential learning lab for individuals dedicated to shaping a better future for their community.  

Moderator and Speaker: Ievgeniia Dulko, American Planning Association

Speakers:

  • Petra Hurtado, PhD, American Planning Association
  • Senna Catenacci, American Planning Association
  • Heather Sauceda Hannon, AICP, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

1:00 p.m.–1:45 p.m. ET | Leading Cities Through Change—Mayors Panel (Room 420AB)

Local leaders will discuss innovations in planning, affordable housing, climate resilience, and public finance in the context of a rapidly changing political environment.  

Moderator and Speaker: Anthony Flint, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Mayor Sheldon Neely, City of Flint
  • Mayor Christopher Taylor, City of Ann Arbor
  • Mayor David LaGrand, City of Grand Rapids

1:00 p.m.–1:45 p.m. ET | When the Cloud Drops—Planning for Data Centers (Room 410AB)

As the demand for digital infrastructure and artificial intelligence accelerates, communities are increasingly approached by data center operators seeking suitable sites. While marketed as drivers of economic growth, these facilities often carry significant costs that are not fully transparent during the siting process. Data centers require immense physical resources—land for large footprints, vast amounts of water for cooling, and energy that strains local grids—raising questions about sustainability and long-term resilience. They also may introduce frontline communities to new sources of pollution, increased truck traffic, and environmental justice concerns, yet these voices are often marginalized in opaque political and regulatory processes. Promised economic benefits, such as job creation and tax revenue, are frequently overstated or unevenly distributed, leaving cities to shoulder environmental burdens with limited community gain.  

This presentation convenes a diverse panel to unpack complex planning challenges such as critically assessing data center proposals, advocating for accountability, and elevating community priorities. By examining the trade-offs of siting decisions through the lenses of resource management, equity, and governance, you will leave with practical strategies to question assumptions, navigate political opacity, and build stronger negotiating positions to ensure decisions genuinely serve the long-term interests of municipalities and their residents.  

Moderator and Speaker: Mary Ann Dickinson, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Kyle Mucha 
  • Manny Patole
  • Brett Gracely  

2:00 p.m.–2:45 p.m. ET | Equitable Urban Planning for a Changing Climate (Room 410AB)

This presentation offers actionable strategies to help planners advance equitable policies that simultaneously address climate change, housing affordability, and economic inequality. A new Lincoln Institute Policy Focus Report, Planning in a Polycrisis, synthesizes responses from surveys of professional planners and policymakers working in cities across North America. It highlights emerging innovations and the trade-offs in effectively integrating these considerations into their work. Other constraints are caused by shifting political landscapes, limited funding, and deepening social vulnerabilities. However, these planners’ work also advances integrated, equity-driven urban climate planning, and their innovations form a framework for cities to move from ad hoc responses toward a long-term equitable climate urbanism.  

The report’s authors and practicing planners explore practical strategies to address the barriers and trade-offs cities face. The conversation sheds light on how climate and housing planning can co-adapt to counter rising socioeconomic vulnerability, with a focus on the most recent shifts in practice. Showcasing these examples aims to empower city leaders with specific recommendations and strategies for advancing a model of climate urbanism that responds to the demands of a polycrisis.  

Moderator and Speaker: Amy Cotter, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Eleanor Sharpe 
  • Emilia Oscilowicz 
  • Adam Lyons  

THURSDAY, MAY 28 (VIRTUAL)

1:30 p.m. – 2:15 p.m. ET | Navigating Uncertainty—Using Strategic Foresight for Action-Oriented Planning (Channel 2)

Planners are fielding more “what-if” questions than ever as residents and local officials cope with increasing uncertainty and rapid change. Scenario planning is a systematic approach to answering these questions and kickstarting conversations with stakeholders about possible futures and their implications for today’s better decisions. These foresight tools can help planners create more flexible, resilient strategies to achieve local goals, come what may.  

 This presentation highlights how the Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning (CMAP) is using horizon scanning and exploratory scenario planning to define a long-term vision (the Century Plan) in a large, complex metropolitan region composed of seven counties, 284 municipalities, and 8.5 million residents. CMAP is considering drivers of change and an understanding of regional systems—including transportation, natural resources, and the economy—to explore the grand challenges and strategic responses that should define the region’s next era. Presenters explore how these tools are bringing foresight into planning and discussions for bold regional action. Learn how CMAP engaged with elected leaders and other planners, and how you can use resources from state and regional agencies to encourage local officials to shift to a horizon-based mindset.  

Moderator and Speaker: Heather Sauceda Hannon, AICP, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Elizabeth Ginsberg 
  • Austen Edwards

2:30 p.m. – 3:15 p.m. ET | Exploratory Scenario Planning for Brazil’s Public Lands (Channel 1)

Brazil’s Secretariat for Federal Assets (SPU), an agency within the Ministry of Management and Innovation in Public Services (MIG), collaborated with the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy to apply exploratory scenario planning (XSP) to federal land policy. The work supports the Imóvel da Gente (Property of the People) program, which positions federal land as a strategic asset for socioenvironmental development.  

Attendees will learn how futures thinking can be integrated into national policy frameworks with practical methods for designing participatory scenario planning processes in complex governance settings. The session will present strategies for engaging multiple agencies, fostering collaboration among jurisdictions, and embedding equity goals into long-term planning.  

Through the case of Brazil’s first XSP initiative, participants will explore tools for identifying drivers of change, developing plausible future scenarios, and translating scenario outcomes into actionable strategies. These approaches can help planners address uncertainty, adapt to shifting conditions, and create policies that are resilient and inclusive.  

The session emphasizes how collaborative, futures-oriented methods can strengthen institutional capacity, broaden participation, and ensure that land use policies serve diverse community needs. Attendees will leave with transferable strategies to support equitable, future-ready planning in their contexts.  

Moderator and Speaker: Daniela Faria, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

3:30 p.m. – 4:30 p.m. ET | State Preemption for Housing—Benefit or Bane? (Channel 1)

Increasingly, states are taking legislative action to preempt planning and zoning decisions by local governments. Sometimes this can pave the way for important planning initiatives, but it can also prevent cities from achieving their goals. Hear a national land use law expert and planning directors from across the country discuss how state preemption is affecting local planning—for better and for worse.  

Moderator and Speaker: Heather Sauceda Hannon, AICP, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Andreea D. Udrea 
  • Lucy Kempf 
  • Meagan McMahan

FRIDAY, MAY 29 (VIRTUAL) 

12:30 p.m.–1:15 p.m. ET | Integrated Resource Planning—Where Land Meets Water (Channel 1)

Pick up a range of perspectives and tools, including foundational context, local examples, and strategies using various planning frameworks, to advance the integration of land and water planning. Presenters bring a wealth of experience at multiple planning scales and contexts, both governmental and nongovernmental. 

Moderator and Speaker: William E. Cesanek, AICP, CDM Smith

Speakers:

  • Steve Epting
  • Rachael Belisle-Toler
  • Adam Schempp
  • Mary Ann Dickinson, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Catherine Benedict is the senior digital communications manager at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Lead Photo: The skyline of downtown Detroit, where the 2026 National Planning Conference will take place. Photo Credit: Vadym Terelyuk via iStock / Getty Images Plus.

Events

NPC 2026 Session: Integrated Resource Planning—Where Land Meets Water

May 29, 2026 | 12:30 p.m. - 1:15 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)

Online, Channel 1

Offered in English

This session will be presented by the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy at the American Planning Association’s National Planning Conference.

Pick up a range of perspectives and tools, including foundational context, local examples, and strategies using various planning frameworks, to advance the integration of land and water planning. Presenters bring a wealth of experience at multiple planning scales and contexts, both governmental and nongovernmental.


Details

Date
May 29, 2026
Time
12:30 p.m. - 1:15 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)
Location
Online, Channel 1
Language
English

Keywords

Planning, Water, Water Planning

Events

NPC 2026 Session: State Preemption for Housing—Benefit or Bane?

May 28, 2026 | 3:30 p.m. - 4:30 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)

Online, Channel 1

Offered in English

This session will be presented by the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy at the American Planning Association’s National Planning Conference.

Increasingly, states are taking legislative action to preempt planning and zoning decisions by local governments. Sometimes this can pave the way for important planning initiatives, but it can also prevent cities from achieving their goals. Hear from a national land use law expert and planning directors from across the country about how state preemption is affecting local planning—for better and for worse.


Details

Date
May 28, 2026
Time
3:30 p.m. - 4:30 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)
Location
Online, Channel 1
Language
English

Keywords

Housing, Planning

Events

NPC 2026 Session: Exploratory Scenario Planning for Brazil’s Public Lands

May 28, 2026 | 2:30 p.m. - 3:15 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)

Online, Channel 1

Offered in English

This session will be presented by the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy at the American Planning Association’s National Planning Conference.

Brazil’s Secretariat for Federal Assets (SPU), an agency within the Ministry of Management and Innovation in Public Services (MIG), collaborated with the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy to apply exploratory scenario planning (XSP) to federal land policy. The work supports the Imóvel da Gente (Property of the People) program, which positions federal land as a strategic asset for socio-environmental development.

Attendees will learn how futures thinking can be integrated into national policy frameworks with practical methods for designing participatory scenario planning processes in complex governance settings. The session will present strategies for engaging multiple agencies, fostering collaboration among jurisdictions, and embedding equity goals into long-term planning.

Through the case of Brazil’s first XSP initiative, participants will explore tools for identifying drivers of change, developing plausible future scenarios, and translating scenario outcomes into actionable strategies. These approaches can help planners address uncertainty, adapt to shifting conditions, and create policies that are both resilient and inclusive.

The session emphasizes how collaborative, futures-oriented methods can strengthen institutional capacity, broaden participation, and ensure that land use policies serve diverse community needs. Attendees will leave with transferable strategies to support equitable, future-ready planning in their contexts.


Details

Date
May 28, 2026
Time
2:30 p.m. - 3:15 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)
Location
Online, Channel 1
Language
English

Keywords

Planning, Scenario Planning

Events

NPC 2026 Session: Navigating Uncertainty—Using Strategic Foresight for Action-Oriented Planning

May 28, 2026 | 1:30 p.m. - 2:15 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)

Online, Channel 2

Offered in English

This session will be presented by the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy at the American Planning Association’s National Planning Conference.

Planners are fielding more “what-if” questions than ever as residents and local officials cope with increasing uncertainty and rapid change. Scenario planning is a systematic approach to answering these questions and kickstarting conversations with stakeholders about possible futures and their implications for today’s better decisions. These foresight tools can help planners create more flexible, resilient strategies to achieve local goals, come what may.

This presentation highlights how the Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning (CMAP) is using horizon scanning and exploratory scenario planning to define a long-term vision (the Century Plan) in a large, complex metropolitan region composed of seven counties, 284 municipalities, and 8.5 million residents. CMAP is considering drivers of change and an understanding of regional systems—including transportation, natural resources, and the economy—to explore the grand challenges and strategic responses that should define the region’s next era. Presenters explore how these tools are bringing foresight into planning and discussions for bold regional action. Learn how CMAP engaged with elected leaders and other planners, and how you can use resources from state and regional agencies to encourage local officials to shift to a horizon-based mindset.


Details

Date
May 28, 2026
Time
1:30 p.m. - 2:15 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)
Location
Online, Channel 2
Language
English

Keywords

Planning, Scenario Planning

Events

NPC 2026 Session: Equitable Urban Planning for a Changing Climate

April 26, 2026 | 2:00 p.m. - 2:45 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)

Detroit, MI United States

Offered in English

This session will be presented by the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy at the American Planning Association’s National Planning Conference.

This presentation offers actionable strategies to help planners advance equitable policies that simultaneously address climate change, housing affordability, and economic inequality. A new Lincoln Institute Policy Focus Report, Planning in a Polycrisis, synthesizes responses from surveys of professional planners and policymakers working in cities across North America. It highlights emerging innovations and the trade-offs in effectively integrating these considerations into their work. Other constraints are due to shifting political landscapes, limited funding, and deepening social vulnerabilities. However, these planners’ work also advances integrated, equity-driven urban climate planning, and their innovations form a framework for cities to move from ad hoc responses toward a long-term equitable climate urbanism.

The report’s authors and practicing planners explore practical strategies to address the barriers and trade-offs cities face. The conversation sheds light on how climate and housing planning can co-adapt to counter rising socioeconomic vulnerability, with a focus on the most recent shifts in practice. Showcasing these examples aims to empower city leaders with specific recommendations and strategies for advancing a model of climate urbanism that responds to the demands of polycrisis.

 


Details

Date
April 26, 2026
Time
2:00 p.m. - 2:45 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)
Location
HPCC
Room 410AB
Detroit, MI United States
Language
English

Keywords

Climate Mitigation, Environmental Planning