Topic: City and Regional Planning

Un nuevo contrato de arrendamiento de terrenos para una nueva vida: el suelo propiedad del condado en Virginia se convierte en una nueva oportunidad de vivienda para estudiantes y adultos mayores

Por Jon Gorey, March 31, 2026

El músico Curtis Hunter encara el mundo con una sonrisa, incluso cuando el mundo no siempre le devuelve el gesto. Sin embargo, el destino pareció sonreírle a Hunter, al menos en junio pasado, cuando se mudó a un nuevo desarrollo de viviendas para adultos mayores construido en suelo propiedad del condado en Fairfax, Virginia.

Unos años antes, a los 58 años, Hunter fue víctima de una agresión cerca de su edificio de departamentos en Seven Corners, lo que le produjo un colapso pulmonar y múltiples fracturas. Posteriormente atravesó una etapa complicada, marcada por una situación de indigencia y una nueva agresión violenta. Pero el año pasado, un trabajador social del condado de Fairfax le sugirió a Hunter que investigara un nuevo desarrollo de viviendas asequibles para adultos mayores, llamado Belmont at One University. Es uno de varios proyectos recientes en los que el condado de Fairfax aprovechó el valor de las tierras de propiedad pública para impulsar nuevas viviendas asequibles.

Hunter, que supo ser empleado de mantenimiento y músico de gira (tocó la guitarra y la armónica en bandas teloneras para Los Lobos y Donovan, entre otras actuaciones), ahora vive gracias a una pensión por discapacidad y comenta que está agradecido por su nuevo hogar.

“Lo aprecio mucho, es más que maravilloso. En verdad aprecio que me permitan tener a mi mascota”, cuenta. A diferencia de tres de sus gatos anteriores, que salían con Hunter encaramados en una plataforma alfombrada que solía atar a una mochila o un portabicicletas, su última gata, Sophie, es tímida. Adoptada a los nueve años y medio, ella prefiere descansar en la ventana, contemplar el complejo deportivo cercano y a los vecinos que pasean por la bicisenda.

La casa de campo al otro lado de la calle, donde Hunter participa, en ocasiones, de partidos de lacrosse o fútbol, es parte de la Universidad George Mason, una universidad pública a la que asisten unos 40.000 estudiantes.

One University se encuentra al lado de la universidad, en una propiedad de 4,3 hectáreas que posee la Autoridad de Reurbanización y Vivienda del Condado de Fairfax (FCRHA, por su sigla en inglés). Antes, la parcela albergaba un complejo de viviendas asequibles de la FCRHA de 46 casas adosadas, llamado Robinson Square. En 2021, los inquilinos se reubicaron en viviendas temporales hasta que estuvieran listas las nuevas viviendas, un paso que no estuvo exento de desafíos ni dudas, pero que permitió quintuplicar la cantidad de unidades de vivienda asequible en el lugar.

La propiedad ahora incluye tres nuevos edificios: Robinson, llamado así por el complejo de casas adosadas anterior, con 120 unidades asequibles de uno a cuatro dormitorios para todas las edades; Belmont, con 120 departamentos asequibles de uno y dos dormitorios reservados para adultos mayores de 62 años; y Main on University, con más de 300 departamentos para estudiantes a precio de mercado.

Los tres edificios se encuentran en suelo propiedad del condado y se arriendan a un valor meramente nominal por un plazo de 99 años; se otorgó un subsidio estimado de USD 12 millones para ayudar a construir los proyectos. Sin embargo, los edificios son de propiedad y administración privada y, por lo tanto, cada uno de ellos paga cientos de miles de dólares al condado en impuestos locales a la propiedad.

Este tipo de acuerdo, un arrendamiento de suelo que permite a las comunidades conservar la propiedad de la tierra mientras participan en los ingresos generados por el desarrollo sobre el suelo, constituye una de varias formas en que las comunidades aprovechan terrenos públicos a fin de ampliar la oferta de vivienda asequible. Y brinda nuevas oportunidades para inquilinos de todas las edades.

Curtis Hunter habla a la cámara. Tiene el pelo gris y lleva una camiseta polo a rayas de color naranja, azul y blanco.
El músico Curtis Hunter, que vive en un complejo de departamentos construido en suelo propiedad del condado de Fairfax, Virginia. Créditos: Belmont at One University/Paradigm Property Management, LLC.

A Hunter le gusta que haya estudiantes universitarios al lado y comenta que algunos ayudan a organizar eventos sociales para los residentes mayores, desde noches de juegos hasta caminatas grupales. “Un grupo viene y ayuda a organizar algunos de estos eventos: la clase de arte y el micrófono abierto, y tienen algo que se llama ‘Tazas y compañía’, donde hacen que las personas de los dos edificios bajen a tomar té y comer galletas juntas”, explica. “Agradezco que estén allí, ya que no tengo hijos y no puedo ver a mis sobrinos y sobrinas”.

Esta tierra es su tierra

En 2022, el condado de Fairfax duplicó su meta de viviendas asequibles, con el compromiso de agregar 10.000 unidades asequibles nuevas para 2034 sin pérdida neta de las viviendas asequibles existentes. El objetivo original de 5.000 viviendas asequibles, establecido en 2019, siempre tuvo la intención de ser “un piso, no un techo”, según el panel asesor que emitió la recomendación. Si bien los ingresos medios de los hogares son altos en Fairfax, con más de USD 154.000 al año, el valor medio de las viviendas es más del doble del promedio nacional de USD 760,400, según datos del Censo de los EUA. En algunos casos, el condado adquirió nuevas tierras a fin de desarrollar viviendas asequibles orientadas al transporte público. Sin embargo, en el último tiempo, en especial después del éxito de One University, la FCRHA está considerando, en mayor profundidad, la posibilidad de ubicar nuevas viviendas asequibles junto con instalaciones públicas existentes en suelo que ya posee o controla.

“Estamos analizando algunas instalaciones públicas, [que incluyen] dos bibliotecas”, indica Anna Shapiro, subdirectora de Desarrollo y Financiamiento Inmobiliario de la FCRHA. Los grandes estacionamientos de las bibliotecas ofrecen la posibilidad de coubicar viviendas en sitios que son propiedad del condado y que “también son realmente accesibles en términos de infraestructura de transporte público y acceso a empleos y servicios”, señala. “Esa parte en verdad es importante para nosotros, porque al evaluar estas propiedades, queremos asegurarnos de preparar a las personas para que tengan éxito y no aislarlas”.

Ubicado en el límite de un campus universitario, One University es bastante accesible a pie, ya que se encuentra a alrededor de 1,5 kilómetros de las tiendas de comestibles y el centro de la ciudad. “Compré un pequeño scooter con asiento para poder ir a los supermercados Giant y Safeway en Fairfax City”, agrega Hunter. Una red de bicisendas y aceras anchas facilita el desplazamiento.

El último desarrollo de viviendas asequibles del condado, que está a punto de completarse en este momento, también está ubicado en el centro, en un par de estacionamientos infrautilizados que se encuentran junto a las oficinas del Centro Gubernamental del condado. Fairfax Crest, como se le llama, tendrá 279 unidades asequibles para inquilinos que ganan del 30 al 70 por ciento de la mediana de ingresos en la zona (AMI, por su sigla en inglés). En realidad, el proyecto es una especie de secuela: el complejo de viviendas Residences at Government Center ya funciona desde hace casi una década. Sin embargo, Fairfax Crest incluye más servicios, como una plaza pública, más de 1.300 metros cuadrados de espacio comunitario y una guardería.

Una representación aérea de Fairfax Crest muestra dos edificios de departamentos frente a un patio interior con un área de juegos.
Una representación aérea de Fairfax Crest, un desarrollo de viviendas asequibles en curso en suelo propiedad del condado de Fairfax, Virginia. Créditos: KTGY.

El departamento promedio de dos dormitorios en Fairfax se alquila por más de USD 2.400 al mes, según estimaciones de Zillow y RentCafe, mientras que los departamentos de dos dormitorios para personas con recursos limitados en Robinson y Belmont se alquilan por USD 1.653 a USD 2.022 por mes en este momento. Los alquileres en Fairfax Crest aún no se anunciaron, pero entre los alquileres para personas con recursos limitados y los electrodomésticos y la construcción con eficiencia energética (con paneles solares en los techos) que reducen los costos de los servicios públicos, la mayoría de los inquilinos no debería tener que dedicar más del 30 por ciento de sus ingresos brutos en gastos de vivienda, lo que los libera del estado de “carestía” que experimenta casi la mitad de los inquilinos en los Estados Unidos.

Shapiro pudo recorrer uno de los edificios de Fairfax Crest cuando la construcción estaba llegando a su fin. “Pudimos subir a una de las unidades, y debo decir que las vistas desde los pisos superiores de lo que es un desarrollo de viviendas asequibles son magníficas”, comenta. “El condado ha dejado muy claro que solo por el hecho de ser una vivienda asequible, no debería ser diferente a las otras viviendas, y tenemos expectativas bastante altas sobre lo que se ofrece en nuestro condado”.

Construir para seguir construyendo

Si bien el gobierno federal posee mucha tierra, gran parte de ella, desde bases militares hasta parques nacionales y refugios de vida silvestre, no es particularmente apta para el desarrollo residencial. No obstante, los estados y municipios controlan más de 101.000 hectáreas de suelo edificable en áreas urbanas de alta demanda, según un análisis de 2024 realizado por el Centro de Soluciones Geoespaciales del Instituto Lincoln. Esto incluye estacionamientos a nivel del suelo, baldíos y edificios municipales cerrados en ubicaciones privilegiadas cerca de empleos y transporte público.

Aun así, se necesita iniciativa y dinero (y, a menudo, algo de coraje político y liderazgo) para convertir suelos de propiedad municipal en viviendas asequibles o darles otros usos para beneficio público.

Shapiro cree que el éxito de One University y otros proyectos recientes ayudó a generar la confianza y el apoyo necesarios entre los funcionarios del condado para llevar a cabo el proyecto Fairfax Crest. “Al ver todos esos resultados, creo que dijeron: ‘Está bien, hagamos esto en primer plano. Hagamos que esto en verdad sea visible y demostremos nuestro compromiso con la vivienda asequible de forma muy clara’”, comenta Shapiro.

Una foto aérea del área de One University, con el sitio marcado en rojo.
Un mapa del sitio de One University, una propiedad de 4,3 hectáreas propiedad del condado de Fairfax que solía tener 46 casas adosadas asequibles y un espacio para reuniones para la Autoridad de Reurbanización y Vivienda del Condado de Fairfax. El sitio se reurbanizó para albergar 240 unidades asequibles para adultos mayores y familias, así como departamentos para estudiantes que asisten a la cercana Universidad George Mason. Créditos: Departamento de Planificación y Desarrollo del Condado de Fairfax.

La Junta de Supervisores del Condado fue “fundamental para que esto suceda”, agrega, defendiendo la cuestión de la asequibilidad habitacional en el ámbito político. “No solo tenemos este objetivo de 10.000 unidades netas nuevas en el condado, sino que también respaldaremos nuestra palabra con inversiones y tierras”.

Fairfax Crest consta de dos edificios principales, cada uno con su propia combinación de financiamiento y créditos fiscales. Al igual que ocurre con One University, los edificios son propiedad de empresas privadas que también están a cargo de su administración, en terrenos arrendados al condado por un período de 99 años. “Estamos sumamente preocupados por mantener el control de nuestro condado a largo plazo”, indica Shapiro, en especial, justo al lado de las oficinas gubernamentales. “Entendimos que el valor del suelo en verdad ayudaría a subsidiar el desarrollo de la propiedad”.

Cada edificio combinó un crédito fiscal para viviendas de bajos ingresos del 4 por ciento de Virginia Housing con un crédito fiscal adicional del 9 por ciento obtenido a través de un proceso competitivo, en lo que Shapiro llama una estrategia de “hermanamiento”. La FCRHA también emitió un par de bonos para ayudar a financiar el desarrollo, por un total de USD 23,5 millones, además de USD 25 millones en préstamos de su fondo Blueprint. “El acuerdo incluye otras fuentes de financiación, algunos otros fondos estatales y una subvención para la construcción de la guardería”, explica Shapiro. “Intentamos establecer nuestros criterios de suscripción de forma tal que se garantice la obtención de capital externo por parte de los desarrolladores también”.

La decisión del condado de Fairfax de conservar la propiedad del suelo a través de arrendamientos de terrenos es preferible a lo que muchos municipios terminan haciendo para estimular el desarrollo de viviendas asequibles: vender el lote por un dólar, otorgar una reducción impositiva de 20 años y “perder la totalidad del valor del activo para siempre solo para lograr el resultado”, comenta Robert “R. J.” McGrail, director del programa Accelerating Community Investment (Fomento para la Inversión Comunitaria) del Instituto Lincoln.

Cada incentivo cuenta, señala McGrail, y “puede marcar la diferencia entre tener palas en el suelo y grúas en el aire o no tenerlas”. Pero renunciar a ingresos fiscales futuros corre el riesgo de degradar los servicios públicos de los que dependerán los nuevos residentes, sin importar su nivel de ingresos. “Perder parte de eso para cerrar un negocio es una decisión que las jurisdicciones toman a diario”, agrega. “Para mí, optimizar la estrategia de disposición de una manera que sea menos extractiva de los ingresos públicos posteriores hace que una estrategia de asequibilidad habitacional de activación de tierras también sea una estrategia de salud fiscal municipal”.

A principios de febrero, el condado de Fairfax había entregado 1.373 nuevas unidades asequibles en cumplimiento del objetivo, con otras 2.470 unidades en 11 proyectos en construcción o en proceso, incluido Fairfax Crest, según el panel de vivienda asequible de la FCRHA. Además de las bibliotecas que mencionó Shapiro, la FCRHA evalúa el potencial de otros sitios que son propiedad del condado para alojar viviendas asequibles, incluido un estacionamiento de conexión con transporte público y un centro comunitario. Y mientras la ciudad de Franconia se prepara para trasladar las oficinas gubernamentales a un nuevo campus, la comisión de planificación del condado aprobó en febrero una propuesta para construir 120 unidades de viviendas asequibles nuevas en el sitio desocupado, junto con una estación de policía del distrito, un museo y una biblioteca pública ampliada.

“Me hace volver a sonreír”

Lo que ninguna de esas cifras logra captar es el impacto que un lugar para vivir acogedor, seguro y asequible puede tener en las personas y las familias: las amistades que se construyen, las preocupaciones que se desvanecen.

Alegre y extrovertido, Hunter es una especie de embajador de Belmont, que recluta residentes para los eventos sociales y las clases del edificio, y sugiere nuevas actividades. Le gustaría que se celebraran fiestas para los cumpleaños de las personas, por ejemplo. “Tengo la extraña sensación de que la gente podría apreciarlo”, comenta. “Las personas que no tienen familia, que nunca reciben visitas, que no salen tan a menudo… es probable que sea bastante especial para ellas”.

En su departamento del primer piso, con sus instrumentos a mano, Hunter ahora puntea una breve melodía; su gata, Sophie, es su público cautivo, aunque desinteresado. “Es mi animal de compañía, después de lo que he pasado y de tener mascotas toda la vida”, agrega. “Eran las mascotas y la música, esas eran las cosas que me daban calma”.

Mientras los acordes suenan sobre el tintineo de una pandereta, Sophie se relaja en la ventana. “Se pasa por lo menos 10 horas y media del día sentada allí, mirando por la ventana”, explica Hunter. “Justo frente a la ventana está la bicisenda. Ahí es donde pasean todos los perros del barrio… De vez en cuando, un perro se fija en ella y se acerca a verla, y lo mismo pasa con la gente”, agrega.

“Me alegra tener esta ventana; también es importante para mí”, reflexiona Hunter. “Soy extrovertido y ver a la gente pasar me hace volver a sonreír. Algunas personas miran por la ventana para ver si Sophie está ahí, y eso me reconforta el alma”.

Una gata está sentada en una plataforma mientras mira por la ventana a unos árboles sin hojas y un automóvil rojo.
Sophie hace guardia en One University. Créditos: Curtis Hunter.

Jon Gorey es redactor del Instituto Lincoln de Políticas de Suelo.

Imagen principal: Parte de la reurbanización de One University en suelo propiedad del condado de Fairfax, Virginia. Créditos: Hartman Design Group.

Webinars

Peer Exchange: Collaborative Scenario Planning in Flagstaff, Arizona

June 25, 2026 | 3:00 p.m. - 4:00 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)

Offered in English

The Consortium for Scenario Planning is hosting a virtual peer exchange with Sachi Arakawa of Cascadia Partners LLC, who will dive into the collaborative efforts of Cascadia Partners LLC, the City of Flagstaff, and Coconino County, Arizona, to develop the Flagstaff Regional Land Use Plan 2045. This webinar will include a discussion on how the project utilized gamified scenario planning and community-based organization (CBO) partnerships to engage a broad and diverse range of community members in the planning process, and how map-based simulations and tools helped build public consensus for compact, resilient infill development that would address the region’s intersecting housing and climate crises.

Webinar participants will be able to ask questions and engage in discussion at the end of the presentation.


Speakers

Sachi Arakawa

Partner, Equity Analysis and Environment, Cascadia Partners LLC


Details

Date
June 25, 2026
Time
3:00 p.m. - 4:00 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)
Registration Deadline
June 25, 2026 3:55 PM
Language
English

Register

Registration ends on June 25, 2026 3:55 PM.


Keywords

Planning, Scenario Planning

Leader in a Land of Extremes

April 26, 2026

By Anthony Flint, April 26, 2026

The Lincoln Institute’s Mayor’s Desk series has featured municipal leaders from a wide range of metropolitan regions all over the world, but the latest installment may well be the most farflung: Fairbanks, Alaska, a city of about 30,000 people adjacent to Russia and the North Pole that was awarded the title of coldest city in America, having set a record low of minus 66 degrees Fahrenheit. Not counting any wind chill.

The place is “a land of extremes,” says Mayor Mindy O’Neall, who has had to manage a range of issues, from affordable housing to climate change, that land differently at the gateway to the Arctic. It’s a good thing, she observes, that living there brings out a special kind of resilience.

“At the heart of it is the people … who have grit and determination,” said O’Neall, the latest chief executive to be interviewed in the Mayor’s Desk series, recorded for the Land Matters podcast. The swing from frigid cold to surprisingly hot summers, and from deep darkness to strong sunlight, fosters a mindset of both abundance and scarcity. “We’re at the end of the line, we have three to four days of food security at any given time.”

O’Neall, 44, unseated an incumbent last year to become the city’s 53rd mayor. She campaigned on themes including downtown revitalization, affordable housing, and public safety, and has pursued strategies to promote generational wealth through homeownership and leverage government-owned land for affordable housing.

“Building homes and housing has been the game or the business of large, wealthy developers. And in our community, we just can’t really afford that. We don’t have enough folks for a large developer to make money here,” she said. “When we start to rethink about who’s investing in our own community and who can invest, then we start to, I think, build out that wealth, better.”

The freeze-and-thaw dynamics that have become more careening in a rapidly changing climate have also been a challenge, as the region must attempt to manage extreme occurrences ranging from floods to wildfires.

“They often call the Arctic the canary in the coal mine, because we start to see the issues of climate change far beyond and far before the lower 48 or other parts of the world. The Arctic has been saying that something’s happening in our environment for quite some time,” O’Neall said.

“I don’t think that there’s really much we can do about this now. It’s happening. We’re in a cycle of climatic disruption, for sure. But we can plan for extreme events, so we know what we’re going to do when the power goes out and it’s negative 30 degrees. We know what’s going to happen when our river floods in the middle of our town, and we’ve lost access to the hospital.

“We’re seeing less and less investment from the federal government,” she said. “So as Alaskans, it’s time for us to think really hard about how we want to protect… our assets. And that comes back to the values that we hold as a community.”

O’Neall grew up in Iowa and drove a stick-shift pickup truck up north, first working as an aide in the Alaska Legislature, then at the Fairbanks Economic Development Corporation and the Interior Gas Utility, and also founded Blue Canoe Media, a boutique communications and consulting firm. She holds a BA in Event Planning and Business Communication from Iowa State University and an MA in Professional Communications from the University of Alaska Fairbanks, where her research focused on governance and climate impacts on rural Alaska, including the relocation of Native communities.

Prior to her election as mayor, she served on the Fairbanks North Star Borough Assembly and was executive director of the Cold Climate Housing Research Center, and also serves on the boards of the Alaska State Homebuilders Association and Alaska Municipal League.

Aerial View of the Fairbanks, Alaska Skyline during Summer
Downtown Fairbanks, Alaska. Credit: Jacob Boomsma via iStock/Getty Images Plus.

 

She lives in downtown Fairbanks with her dog, Tito, who she pointed out is the true official dog of Alaska—the mutt. O’Neall visited Cambridge recently as part of the Just City Mayoral Fellowship at Harvard University’s Graduate School of Design, now in partnership with the Bloomberg Center for Cities.

An edited version of this Mayor’s Desk interview will appear online and in print in Land Lines magazine. The first 20 of these Q&As were compiled in the book Mayor’s Desk: 20 Conversations with Local Leaders Solving Global Problems, which includes a foreword by Michael Bloomberg.

Listen to the show here or subscribe to Land Matters on Apple Podcasts, SpotifyYouTube, or wherever you listen to podcasts.

 


Further Reading

Fairbanks Passes 2026 City Budget, Adds Positions | KTUU/KTVF

Climate Hazards Cost Fairbanks, Anchorage Homeowners Millions | University of Alaska News

Energy Crisis Faces Fairbanks as Well as Anchorage | Reporting from Alaska

  


Anthony Flint is a senior fellow at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, host of the Land Matters podcast, and a contributing editor of Land Lines. 


Transcript

[00:00:05] Anthony Flint: Welcome to Episode 3 of Season 7 of the Land Matters podcast. I’m your host, Anthony Flint. In our Mayor’s Desk series here at the Lincoln Institute, we interview municipal chief executives from around the world. Our latest conversation brings us all the way to Fairbanks, Alaska, a city of about 30,000 people, way up north near Russia, the gateway to the Arctic as it’s known, the second largest city in the state after Anchorage, and a metropolis that has been awarded the title of coldest city in America, having set a record low of minus 66 degrees Fahrenheit.

We’re talking with 44-year-old Mindy O’Neall, who recently replaced an incumbent and campaigned on themes including downtown revitalization, affordable housing, and public safety. She grew up in Iowa and drove a stick shift pickup truck up north, first working as an aide in the Alaska State Legislature, then the Fairbanks Economic Development Corporation and the Interior Gas Utility, and also founded Blue Canoe Media, a boutique communications and consulting firm.

She holds a BA in event planning and business communication from Iowa State University and an MA in professional communications from the University of Alaska Fairbanks, where her research focused on governance and climate impacts on rural Alaska, including the relocation of Native communities. Prior to her election as mayor, she served on the Fairbanks North Star Borough Assembly and was executive director of the Cold Climate Housing Research Center, and also serves on the boards of the Alaska State Homebuilders Association and Alaska Municipal League.

She lives in downtown Fairbanks with her dog, Tito, who, as she pointed out, is the true official dog of Alaska, the mutt. I first met her at a program for mayors at Harvard and followed up with this interview.

For the uninitiated, including those of us in the lower 48, what kind of place is Fairbanks, and why did you want to be mayor?

[00:02:22] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: Well, thanks, Anthony, and thanks for inviting me onto the show. I get this question a lot, especially for the uninitiated, as you said. That’s cute. You’re right. Fairbanks really is an exotic place. I would say we’re the land of extremes. We are extremely cold in the winter. We’re extremely warm in the summer. Some people may be surprised to learn that we can get up to 90 to 100 degrees in the summer. The force of the sun, the feeling of the sun, is so direct that it is just something you have to experience. We have exotic animals, grizzly bears, and polar bears. We have extreme industry like mining and gas and oil development. We are definitely a place of extremes.

At the heart of it is the people. It’s these people who have grit and determination, and oftentimes this mindset of abundance, where we have so much, as far as so much light, so much darkness. Then, a lot of times, this mindset of scarcity as well, where we’re at the end of the line, we have three to four days of food security at any given time. There’s things that also come into play that really just demonstrate how much of an extreme environment we live in.

Yes, wanting to be mayor. I’ve been in Alaska for over 23 years. I’m originally from Iowa, so I’m a land dweller from the middle of the United States. I came up here, just like a lot of other folks, looking for adventure. If you’ve ever been to the Midwest, they say, “Why would you ever want to leave the land, the heartland?” I said, “Don’t worry, I’ll be back in a year. I just want to go check it out.” After a year, it was painfully obvious that there was so much more to discover to Alaska that I just had to stay. I made my way up to Fairbanks from Anchorage after being there for seven years. I worked in the legislature and started to work for an interior gas utility that brought natural gas to our town.

During that time, I was an untraditional student and went back to our flagship university at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, and got a master’s in organizational development. I wrote my thesis on the politics of relocating Alaska Native villages due to climate change. At the time, I didn’t really realize how that was going to inform my career as much as it has, because after being a labor agent for the laborers. I was the executive director for the Cold Climate Housing Research Center. I spent the last four years doing that while also serving on the Borough Assembly.

One of the things that’s interesting about Alaska is we have seven boroughs that are like counties in the lower 48, and then we have cities within those boroughs. Fairbanks has a borough that has a governing body, which is the assembly, and a mayor. Then within the borough, there are two cities that have each their own mayor and each their own governing bodies. Now I am the mayor of the city of Fairbanks. I have a city council that’s a smaller council that’s located within the borough. The borough is about the size of New Jersey, with 130,000 folks in it. The city is 32,000 of those. Then the city located within the borough is the city of North Pole. They have about 2,500 folks in there.

Like a lot of places where you go from city to city in urban areas, you may or may not know what boundary you’re in. That can be sometimes a point of confusion. We always like to joke for a place that’s so against government and against overregulation, we have a lot of government regulating us.

After serving in the assembly for six and a half years, I started my public service during COVID. I think I had been appointed for about six months and then elected about four months before COVID happened. I really learned how to govern in an elected position through a screen. I do think that COVID was obviously and certainly a pivotal point in politics, but even just in the way that we communicate. That’s my passion, my heart and soul, is communication and journalism, and that sort of thing. We had a mayor that was on paper doing a fine job. He had gotten programs started and knew the city really well and led it, but he was very discriminatory to the Alaska Native population here.

After some comments and some blow-ups that he had on social media, I knew that if anybody was going to be able to beat him in an election, that I’d be able to do it. I just believe that public service is a privilege, and somebody who is in office has to have the respect of every population that is within their community. I’ve wrestled with this a little bit coming into office as, well, the last mayor, he wasn’t doing a bad job. He was actually doing a good job, but he wasn’t showing our community the respect.

I think sometimes we miss out on that key piece of public service is showing your community respect, even if you don’t understand them, even if you don’t agree with them. I think that we have lost that on a lot of levels of government these days. I believe in government. I believe that we have government for a reason. When you don’t have good governance, I do think that one of the benefits of being in this position in the last six months is being a female. This is the first time Fairbanks has had a female mayor in about two decades. I’m the fourth one since 1903.

It’s really touching to be able to be, and especially a young female in my 40s, leading this community and being a role model for other girls in our community to see that there’s somebody like them who treats a community with respect and can lead in an environment that is sometimes very hostile and sometimes very male-driven. That’s a long way of saying that’s how I ended up here.

[00:09:02] Anthony Flint: Everybody’s wrestling with affordability these days. One big part of that is housing. What are the policies that can help in your region, whether home buying or renting?

[00:09:14] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: I mentioned at the beginning that Fairbanks is at the end of the line. While that’s true, we also have an abundance of resources that are part of our economy. We have timber, we have renewable energy, we have access to gravel, and alternative methods such as mycelium. While we’re at the end of the road, we have these resources at our disposal to be innovative on how we approach housing. I think that those answers come in local manufacturing of our own resources, innovation, and then also building things like kind of part homes that have been tested for extreme environments.

We suffer from a housing stock that’s from the ’70s. Alaska really got its last big boom during the oil pipeline of the ’70s. What happened was there was such an explosion of Westerners coming up to the state that they built things the way that they knew how to build things, which was without a lot of insulation, built out of whatever they had. We suffer from very inefficient housing. When we talk about what affordable housing is, for us, it really has to include a component of energy efficiency, so we can even afford to heat our homes.

This year, we’ve had one of the coldest winters on record. I think it was the fourth coldest winter on record. We also got a remarkable amount of snow. It’s been very challenging for folks, especially now that oil prices are going up. We have about 1,200 folks in our community that are on natural gas. Everybody else is heating their homes with diesel fuel. If you think about that, we have folks who are getting delivery of diesel fuel to their homes, myself included. I live in the most urban part of our city.

Going back to affordable housing, it really does include this holistic look of what’s going to work and how we can be energy efficient with our housing, but also how we can use our local resources for innovation and how we can manufacture the resources that we have here. Secondly, and this is something that I think is really interesting, is this idea, this concept of building generational wealth outside of homeownership. That’s a model and a tool that I’d really like to explore more as we talk about how we’re building affordable housing in our community.

[00:11:45] Anthony Flint: This is this idea that not everybody has to buy a home. It’s perfectly fine to rent.

[00:11:50] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: Perfectly fine to rent, but then the next question is, how do renters gain generational wealth so they’re not just handing over money every month without anything in return? They get a house to live in, but there’s no equity in it after a while. In what ways — and I know there are models out there — when we’re building affordable housing, how can we lower the amount of investment for folks in a way that it might not come back to them for 30 to 50 years, but in 30 to 50 years, they’re on their second or third generation of family where they have security in their family in a form of tangible wealth?

[00:12:34] Anthony Flint: There’s also the community land trust model, where you have this more shared equity, and there’s limits on resale, but you still have it.

[00:12:43] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: I like that. There’s more and more folks talking about how to do this in innovative ways. I think typically building homes and housing has been the game or the business of large, wealthy developers. In our community, we just can’t really afford that. We don’t have enough folks for a large developer to make money here. When we start to rethink about who’s investing in our own community, and who can invest, then we start to, I think, build out that wealth better.

[00:13:17] Anthony Flint: The Lincoln Institute has been helping municipalities identify government-owned land that can be used for affordable housing. Do you see opportunities in that approach?

[00:13:29] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: Absolutely, I do. A few facts for you here. 60% of our land in Alaska is federal. 25% is owned by the state of Alaska. It’s about 580,000 acres. 10% is owned by Native corporations, and 1% is private. We have a lot of government land that’s available. Now, about 80 million of those acres are managed for conservation, but that’s still quite a bit of land left for us to use. I think what the Lincoln Institute is doing, exploring these different land-use models, including transportation and other components of community building, is fantastic. I can’t wait to get my hands on more of that information. I signed up for the newsletter.

We have a parking structure that has been mothballed for, gosh, probably five years. The university that used it ended up not needing it. They literally welded the doors shut, and this building has been sitting there deteriorating ever since. Through the Alaska Housing Finance Corporation, who is a statewide housing financing bank, they purchased that parking garage and have put it out for bid for affordable housing. They worked with us, saying, “Okay, we own this now, but it’s right in the middle of your city. What do you want to do with this?” We walked through the options that we have. Do we want senior housing? Yes, we desperately need senior housing. Is this the right place? We don’t think so. Okay. Next option, affordable housing, high-end housing, two bedrooms, apartment. What is it that we need? Through that process, we’ve put out an RFP for a developer to then build two or three stories on top of that parking garage, therefore activating the space using, again, the parking garage for parking, covered parking, which is very important in Fairbanks, Alaska, but also getting units into the downtown core.

That’s one example. There’s a few others that we have ongoing in town, but that’s one example that I’m really eager to see how that plays out.

[00:15:48] Anthony Flint: What are the unique challenges of living with climate change in Alaska, and what, at the state and local level, can be done about it?

[00:15:57] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: They often call the Arctic the canary in the coal mine because we start to see the issues of climate change far beyond and far before the lower 48 or other parts of the world. The Arctic has been saying that something’s happening in our environment for quite some time. I mentioned before what we’ve noticed is we have more wind in Fairbanks, which means that we have more risk for summer fires, wildfires. In the winter, we’ve had more snow than usual.

It’s also been very cold, so colder than usual, which means that our ground will not thaw quickly, meaning that when the temperature gets hot in the air, what’s going to happen? It’s all going to melt into water, but there’s going to be nowhere for it to go because the ground hasn’t unthawed yet. Now we miss out on that water. We get lots of floods, and then we don’t have moisture in the ground, and so it’s more susceptible to wildfires in the summer. That’s just one instance of the cycle of how climate change has affected the interior.

I don’t think that there’s really much we can do about this now. It’s happening. We’re in a cycle of climatic disruption, for sure, but we can plan for it. We can plan for extreme events, so we know what we’re going to do when the power goes out and it’s negative 30 degrees. We know what’s going to happen when our river floods in the middle of our town and we’ve lost access to the hospital or to hotels. We know what to do when we have an ice event because we got three or four inches of rain on top of three or four feet of snow in the middle of winter, and how that affects the animals, the moose. How it affects our ability to hunt and fish and gather berries or medicinal foods.

I think planning is a very big part of how we are prepared because, honestly, you don’t know what’s going to happen from season to season. The other thing is with planning comes money. Alaska is a place where we do not collect sales taxes on a statewide basis. Some municipalities do — we do not, as the municipality of Fairbanks — and income taxes. We pay property taxes, and that’s all we pay. As we address these more and more climatic, dramatic events, it’s costing us more and more to repair the roads, costing more and more to protect the utilities that are above and below ground, and somewhere that’s going to have to come from funding.

We’re seeing less and less investment from the federal government for events like that. As Alaskans, it’s time for us to think really hard about how we want to protect and at what level we want to protect our assets that we have, and what level of commitment that comes from our own pocketbooks.

[00:19:04] Anthony Flint: Yes, leading into that, figuring some of this stuff out at the local level or the local and state level seems to be really important right now. How have you navigated being a mayor at a time when the federal government is reducing funding and more or less withdrawing from being a partner on so many issues?

[00:19:26] Mayor Mindy O’Neall: Yes. It seems like we continue to ask our employees to do more with less. At the same time, the public expects services to be modern. That means we have to invest in technology. A lot of times, we just don’t have the funding for that. It’s a tough spot, I got to say. I have all of these ideas and plans for being mayor. Then you come into the office and you’re like, “Okay, how am I going to make this work with the operations that we already have going, the way we want to provide services and make things more efficient for our public with less and less funding from the state and from the federal government?”

Again, I do think that we’re going to have to look at ways that we contribute to ourselves, and that comes back to the values that we hold as a community. We’re a place where tourists want to be because that’s also a big part of our economy. It’s tough. I haven’t figured it out yet, but I have two and a half more years to go. It’s definitely something I’m working on a lot, and how we do more with less and how we increase, or how we explain the value of good governance with putting our own skin in the game.

[00:20:43] Anthony Flint: Mindy O’Neall is mayor of Fairbanks, Alaska, the latest leader to be interviewed in the Lincoln Institute’s Mayor’s Desk series. We love talking to mayors, and we’ve compiled 20 of these interviews in a book, Mayor’s Desk: 20 Conversations with Local Leaders Solving Global Problems, which includes a forward by Michael Bloomberg. Otherwise, Mayor’s Desk interviews appear in Land Lines magazine, in addition to most of them being broadcast here on the Land Matters podcast. You can find everything on the Lincoln Institute website. Just navigate to lincolninst.edu.

On social media, our handle is @landpolicy. Please go ahead and rate, share, and subscribe to Land Matters, the podcast of the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. For now, I’m Anthony Flint signing off, until next time.

[00:21:41] [END OF AUDIO]

Read full transcript

A(lguien lo) D(iseñó para) U(sted)

Por Jon Gorey, April 16, 2026

Los Estados Unidos enfrentan una grave escasez de viviendas asequibles: existe una necesidad urgente de millones de hogares adicionales. Pero lo que agrava esa escasez de viviendas es un desajuste habitacional.

Resulta abrumador saber que, en gran parte de los EUA, los barrios residenciales existentes, es decir, los lugares que la mayoría elige para vivir por la cercanía a sus trabajos, amigos y familiares, y por contar con servicios públicos, transporte público y otras infraestructuras, están compuestos, de manera casi exclusiva, por viviendas unifamiliares.

Si bien una casa de estilo colonial con cuatro dormitorios y un patio grande puede tener sentido para una familia de altos ingresos compuesta por cinco personas, no debería ser la única opción de vivienda disponible en una comunidad, dada la caleidoscópica diversidad de los hogares, que van desde personas mayores hasta adultos jóvenes y padres solteros.

“Tendremos más personas mayores de 65 años que menores de 18 años en la próxima década”, comenta Rodney Harrell, vicepresidente de Familia, Hogar y Comunidad de la Asociación Estadounidense de Personas Jubiladas (AARP, por su sigla en inglés). La organización tiene una larga historia de abogar por mejores condiciones y opciones de vivienda para los adultos mayores. “Las personas quieren estar cerca de tiendas de comestibles, parques, bibliotecas, medios de transporte y otras opciones que los hagan sentir conectados. Pero uno de los desafíos es que quieren quedarse en sus barrios existentes y no hay suficientes opciones”.

Sin embargo, agregar nuevas opciones de vivienda a las comunidades existentes suele provocar quejas sobre los cambios en el carácter del barrio. Esta frase cargada puede incluir actitudes excluyentes y argumentos de mala fe dentro de su amplia ambigüedad, pero también puede ser una respuesta a decisiones de desarrollo cuestionables. Es comprensible que un propietario en un barrio de bungalós artesanales de principios del siglo pasado se sienta desanimado por la idea de un nuevo y elegante edificio de acero y hormigón de siete pisos en la esquina.

Y allí es donde radica el atractivo de la humilde unidad de vivienda accesoria, o ADU, más conocida coloquialmente como departamento para suegros, cochera, suite secundaria o casita, entre otros alias.

Al convertir un garaje, ático o sótano en un departamento independiente, o agregar una pequeña cabaña a un patio trasero, los propietarios pueden crear un espacio adicional para los miembros de la familia o una pequeña propiedad de alquiler que ayude a generar ingresos. Al mismo tiempo, ayudan a aumentar la oferta de opciones de vivienda asequible y accesible en el barrio, sin tener consecuencias drásticas en la estética local. Y facilitar esta posibilidad para los propietarios puede ayudar a las comunidades de todo el mundo a analizar la crisis habitacional local y nacional.

Durante la última década, muchas ciudades y algunos estados flexibilizaron las restricciones que existían desde hace décadas respecto de las ADU. California, por ejemplo, legalizó las ADU en todos los lotes unifamiliares en 2017; unos años más tarde, en 2023, las casi 27.000 ADU permitidas en todo el estado representaron un aumento de 20 veces con respecto a 2016 y más del 20 por ciento de todas las nuevas viviendas autorizadas. En 2024, se otorgaron permisos para más de 6.000 ADU solo en Los Ángeles.

Estas cifras no resultan suficientes para resolver por sí solas la crisis habitacional en California: ninguna medida aislada puede hacerlo. Pero es, sin dudas, una pieza del rompecabezas y una solución que muchas comunidades pueden respaldar.

Aun así, legalizar la construcción de una ADU es solo el primer paso. Facilitar la construcción es otro, y las ciudades pueden ayudar a darlo al eliminar las barreras innecesarias.

Por ejemplo, para fomentar y acelerar la adopción de las ADU, muchas ciudades de los EUA y Canadá comenzaron a ofrecer a los residentes acceso a planos preaprobados para ADU independientes, es decir, esquemas técnicos completos ya revisados por funcionarios de la construcción.

“Es posible que el sistema vaya un poco en contra del propietario local que desea poder hacer esto”, indica Harrell. Entre las revisiones del sitio, los planos de servicios públicos y las aprobaciones arquitectónicas, “son tantas cuestiones por superar y que uno está haciendo por primera vez”, agrega. “Tener estos diseños preaprobados elimina una de esas barreras. Sería algo así como: ‘No necesita ser diseñador ni tener suficiente dinero para contratar a uno. Aquí hay algunos diseños que pueden funcionar’”.

Planos preaprobados de ADU en California

Los Ángeles ofrece a los residentes un creciente catálogo de planes preaprobados de ADU, incluido un plan arquitectónico estándar de un dormitorio solicitado por la ciudad, que se denomina YOU-ADU (en la foto), que cualquier residente de Los Ángeles puede usar de forma gratuita.

También existen docenas de otros planos preaprobados, pero requieren que se pague una modesta tarifa de licencia a los respectivos arquitectos, que también pueden contratarse para consultas específicas del sitio.

Si bien un plano preaprobado de ADU ya cumple con ciertos códigos de la ciudad (por ejemplo, regulaciones de construcción, incendios y energía) y, por lo tanto, puede avanzar a través del proceso de verificación y permisos con mayor rapidez que un diseño personalizado, un propietario no puede solo instalar una ADU en el patio trasero sin más preguntas. Sigue siendo necesario conseguir las aprobaciones específicas del sitio, como el uso de suelo o las revisiones de aguas pluviales.

Pero usar un plano preaprobado puede acortar el proceso semanas o incluso meses, y ofrece más previsibilidad a los propietarios de viviendas y los funcionarios locales. La eficiencia de un diseño estándar también puede generar ahorros de costos.

“Los planos personalizados no solo requieren más tiempo y dinero, sino que resulta mucho más complejo cumplirlos en el sitio”, comenta Whitney Hill, cofundadora y directora ejecutiva de SnapADU en el sur de California, donde varias ciudades cerca de San Diego seleccionaron sus planos de diseño estándar para la preaprobación.

Todos estos factores aumentan los precios, agrega, y señala que, en general, la construcción de una ADU totalmente personalizada cuesta de USD 30.000 a USD 50.000 más que una estándar del mismo tamaño y cantidad de camas y baños. “Por otro lado, los planos que construimos con anterioridad ya se pusieron a prueba frente a las limitaciones del mundo real; sabemos que podemos construirlos de manera eficiente”.

Hill comenta que la obtención más rápida de permisos con diseños estándar también puede traducirse en costos más bajos. “Construir una ADU en 12 meses en comparación con 18 meses es mucho más económico desde una perspectiva de costos generales para nosotros”, indica. “Compartimos esos ahorros con el propietario”.

Incluso cuando se utiliza un plano preaprobado, los propietarios deben estar preparados para los costos y el trabajo específicos del sitio, señala. “Es fundamental comprender la topografía del sitio, las ubicaciones de los servicios públicos existentes y las cargas existentes sobre esos servicios públicos”, indica. Algunos proyectos pueden necesitar mejoras en el servicio de agua para incluir un baño adicional, por ejemplo, o un panel eléctrico mejorado, lo que puede ser costoso.

Pero uno de los mayores beneficios de usar un diseño estándar, según Hill, es la previsibilidad. “Los costos de construcción de un plano de planta existente están disponibles incluso antes de que inicie su propio proyecto”, explica Hill, “[lo cual] es ideal para los propietarios que tienen que ceñirse a un presupuesto específico”.

El ADUniverso de Seattle

Si bien el estado de Washington aprobó recientemente una legislación que exige que las ciudades permitan cuatro viviendas en todos los lotes residenciales (y seis unidades cerca de centros de transporte público), Seattle comenzó a adoptar las ADU hace más de una década, para lo cual flexibilizó algunas restricciones locales que se interponían, como el tamaño mínimo de los lotes.

“Ese fue un primer paso importante y viable, porque la ciudad ejerce el mayor control en las regulaciones del uso de suelo”, comenta Nicolas Welch, planificador sénior de la Oficina de Planificación y Desarrollo Comunitario de Seattle.

Aun así, la mayoría de los propietarios tienen poca o ninguna experiencia con el desarrollo de viviendas, por lo que la idea de contratar a un arquitecto y solicitar permisos para construir una casa de campo en el patio trasero puede ser abrumadora, incluso antes de pensar en el alto costo que implica. Seattle pronto decidió que debería hacer más que simplemente mejorar sus regulaciones y, en 2020, creó un sitio web repleto de recursos llamado ADUniverse.

“El sitio se creó para proporcionar todos los recursos que un propietario podría necesitar en un solo lugar con información de mejor calidad y más clara para las personas que básicamente están tratando de emprender la construcción por primera vez, sin ningún tipo de experiencia”, indica Welch. “Una parte de ello era ofrecer algunos diseños preaprobados, la otra, permitirles buscar su propiedad para ver qué es realmente factible en su lote”.

La ciudad invitó a los arquitectos a presentar sus diseños de ADU y, de 165 presentaciones, un jurado seleccionó los 10 planos que obtendrían la preaprobación del departamento de construcción. En los cinco años transcurridos desde entonces, agrega Welch, “se otorgaron unos 350 permisos para los diseños preaprobados”, o alrededor del 10 por ciento de todas las ADU aprobadas en ese momento; la ciudad ahora permite un promedio de unas 900 ADU nuevas por año.

“Por un lado, es un número muy pequeño para una ciudad y un condado con una escasez de cientos de miles de unidades, por lo que creo que es importante dimensionar las expectativas”, agrega Welch. “Es un número muy pequeño e incremental. Pero también son cientos de unidades nuevas en las que ahora viven personas”.

El uso de un plano preaprobado acelera el proceso de revisión en gran medida, indica Welch. “Si las características no son complejas, como estar en una pendiente muy empinada o tener que quitar un árbol gigantesco o algo así, entonces el permiso se obtiene en dos a seis semanas, en lugar de tres o cuatro meses”.

ADU preaprobados en Oregón

Más allá de crear viviendas discretas de alta densidad, las ADU son, casi por definición, pequeñas y, por lo tanto, inherentemente más asequibles que la mayoría de las viviendas unifamiliares nuevas, que promediaron 223,5 metros cuadrados en el tercer trimestre de 2025.

En Oregón, el Proyecto de Densificación Residencial (Residential Infill Project) de Portland produjo más de 1.400 nuevos permisos para ADU y viviendas intermedias faltantes en barrios unifamiliares, que representan casi la mitad de todo el desarrollo nuevo en la ciudad desde 2022 hasta 2024, incluso mientras otros tipos de construcciones se rezagaban.

Pero el programa también limitó el coeficiente de edificabilidad del suelo (FAR, por sus siglas en inglés) y, como resultado, “el motivo económico para los desarrolladores pasó de construir las unidades más grandes posibles a construir la mayor cantidad de unidades posibles”, según un informe de progreso de 2025.

Esta iniciativa demostró una mejora en la capacidad de pago. En 2023 y 2024, los precios de venta de las nuevas viviendas intermedias faltantes promediaron entre USD 250.000 y USD 300.000 menos que las nuevas casas unifamiliares en los mismos barrios de Portland, en gran parte, debido a los tamaños más pequeños.

ADU preaprobados en Louisville, Kentucky

AARP publicó su primer modelo de ordenanza ADU hace más de dos décadas. Desde entonces, la organización ayudó a varias ciudades, incluida Louisville, Kentucky, a volver a legalizar las ADU a nivel local y ayudó a las comunidades a celebrar concursos de diseño para crear planes arquitectónicos gratuitos para uso de los residentes.

Louisville invitó a los arquitectos a presentar sus diseños y luego preaprobó y compró los derechos de tres planos de ADU, que ofrece de forma gratuita a los residentes de Louisville.

Rodney Harrell, de AARP, comenta que las ADU pueden mejorar la libertad de las personas mayores al darles más y mejores opciones en los lugares donde ya viven. “Lo que me encanta es que es una solución que brinda más opciones a las personas que quieren estar en las comunidades donde mejor se sienten”, explica.

“Hablo con muchas personas que están estancadas”, agrega Harrell. “Tienen una casa y quizás, en algún momento, fue la casa de sus sueños, pero ahora se convirtió en una pesadilla. Tienen demasiadas escaleras. Tal vez es demasiado grande y su cónyuge falleció, y ya no puede afrontar los gastos”.

Una persona mayor que ya no puede usar las escaleras de su casa puede permanecer en la comunidad que ama al construir una ADU totalmente asequible y de diseño universal en el patio trasero, explica, y alquilar la casa principal. “Eso le da más libertad”, indica. “Si quiere quedarse en su casa principal y que un cuidador se quede en la ADU, eso también le da más libertad. O tal vez solo necesita un poco de dinero que le permita quedarse en su casa, y podría alquilar la ADU para cubrir los gastos de permanecer en la casa principal”.

Y en otros lugares

En Seattle, Welch comenta que los esfuerzos de la ciudad para legalizar las ADU en barrios unifamiliares ayudaron a allanar el camino para más viviendas intermedias (dúplex, tríplex y cuádruples). “El cielo no se desplomó, por lo tanto, los legisladores estatales se sintieron respaldados y con mayor capacidad de acción”, agrega.

Muchas otras ciudades y estados de los EUA y Canadá también están adoptando las ADU y ofrecen planes de diseño, orientación y “catálogos de ADU” para los residentes interesados en construir una.

Conferences

Consortium for Scenario Planning 2027 Conference

January 27, 2027 - January 29, 2027

Los Angeles, California

January 27–29, 2027

 
The 2027 Consortium for Scenario Planning Conference will bring together planning professionals, academics, students, and other scenario planning and foresight practitioners to present their work, learn from one another, and expand their networks. The 10th annual conference will be held in Los Angeles, California, with our cohost, the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG).


Conference Details

Date
January 27, 2027 – January 29, 2027
Location
Los Angeles, California
Registration Fee
$350.00

The conference registration fee is waived for students.

Session Proposals

Session proposal applications are open through July 15. Possible session types include presentations, panel discussions, interactive activities, and more. We strongly encourage speakers to include some sort of audience engagement components in their session. We will notify accepted applicants in September.


Application Period
April 29, 2026 – July 15, 2026

The application deadline is July 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM.


Keywords

Climate Mitigation, Disaster Recovery, GIS, Housing, Land Use Planning, Mapping, Planning, Scenario Planning, Water

Events

NPC 2026 Session: APA Water and Planning Network Meeting

April 26, 2026 | 5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)

Detroit, MI United States

Offered in English

This meeting is for those interested in the American Planning Association’s Water and Planning Network, a gathering of land use planners and water systems planners who work towards better integration of water and land use planning led by the Lincoln Institute’s Mary Ann Dickinson. The network’s activities include newsletters and webinars on relevant topics. The next 12 months of the Network’s activities will be discussed.


Details

Date
April 26, 2026
Time
5:00 p.m. - 6:00 p.m. (EDT, UTC-4)
Location
Marriott Renaissance Center Hotel
Joliet B Room
Detroit, MI United States
Language
English

Keywords

Planning, Water, Water Planning

Zoning and its Discontents

March 27, 2026

By Anthony Flint, March, 27, 2026

Of all the major Supreme Court decisions of the 20th century, there’s one that stands out for shaping the way we live and the physical contours of the American landscape: Village of Euclid v. Ambler Realty Co., which affirmed that cities and towns could institute zoning as a way to regulate all growth and development.

The case came out of a suburb just east of Cleveland in the 1920s, when a real estate company was denied the use of land for industrial development; appeals went all the way to the Supreme Court, which backed the village of Euclid, and in so doing provided constitutional blessing to the basic concept of zoning seen in color-coded maps to this day—homes in one part of town, commercial and retail in another, and manufacturing and industrial uses in yet another.

At the time, Justice George Sutherland made the comment that a factory shouldn’t be in a residential area any more than “a pig in the parlor.” He also said apartment buildings shouldn’t be mixed in with single-family homes, saying the presence of residential density was like welcoming in a “parasite.”

That was in 1926, and this year, scholars and policymakers are marking the 100th anniversary of the Euclid decision, as zoning is being reevaluated across the country. Some 33 states have passed reforms to allow more density in zones once reserved for single-family homes only, and to promote the concept of mixed-use, blending housing with shops, restaurants, and workplaces all within walking distance—basically the kind of neighborhoods that Euclid made illegal. The critique suggests that American zoning is outdated and hasn’t kept up with the times—and, perhaps most important, that its application has made housing unaffordable and racially segregated.

For those reasons, zoning is “starting to be at least chipped away at by state and even local legislation,” said William Fischel, professor emeritus at Dartmouth College, in an interview on the latest episode of the Land Matters podcast.

Fischel is author of the book Zoning Rules, published in 2015 by the Lincoln Institute and cited in the early pages of Abundance by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, who blame excessive regulation for blocking housing and infrastructure projects. He is also author of The Homevoter Hypothesis, an explanation of how mostly single-family homeowners have used zoning and environmental regulations to preserve the status quo.

Zoning emerged out of concern for public health and the need to organize cities to accommodate manufacturing and residential development following the invention of the automobile, says Fischel, who was the keynote speaker at a symposium at George Mason University earlier this year cosponsored by the Mercatus Center, the Pacific Legal Foundation and the Journal of Law, Economics and Policy.

Listen to the show here or subscribe to Land Matters on Apple Podcasts, SpotifyStitcher, YouTube, or wherever you listen to podcasts.

 


Further Reading

Zoning Rules! The Economics of Land Use Regulation | Lincoln Institute

How Zoning Won—and Why It’s Now Losing Ground | Lincoln Institute

Have We Reached Peak Zoning? | The Future of Where

Here’s Looking at Euclid | Cite Journal

Goodbye, Zoning? | Vanderbilt Law Review

Analyzing Land Readjustment: Economics, Law, and Collective Action | Lincoln Institute

  


Anthony Flint is a senior fellow at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, host of the Land Matters podcast, and a contributing editor of Land Lines. 


Transcript

[00:00:05] Anthony Flint: Welcome to Episode 2 of Season 7 of the Land Matters Podcast. I’m your host, Anthony Flint. Of all the major Supreme Court decisions of the 20th century, there’s one that stands out for shaping the way we live and the physical contours of the American landscape: Village of Euclid v. Ambler Realty Company, which affirmed that cities and towns could institute zoning as a way to regulate all growth and development.

The case came out of a suburb just east of Cleveland in the 1920s when a real estate company sought to use their land for industrial development. The town said no, we want that area to be residential. Ambler Realty sued and the case made it all the way to the Supreme Court. The justices backed the Village of Euclid and in so doing provided constitutional blessing to the basic concept of zoning that we all see in color-coded maps to this day, homes in one part of town, commercial and retail in another, and manufacturing and industrial uses in yet another.

At the time, Justice George Sutherland made the comment that a factory shouldn’t be in a residential area any more than a pig in a parlor. He also said apartment buildings shouldn’t be mixed in with single-family homes, saying the presence of residential density was like welcoming in a parasite. Strong words from Justice Sutherland, to be sure, but from that point on, thousands of municipalities followed the template of separating uses and spreading them around. That was in 1926.

Understandably — not everybody might be aware of this –but scholars and policymakers and others are actually marking the 100th anniversary of the Euclid decision. It’s not so much a celebration but a reconsideration of the landmark ruling, looking at the effect that’s had 100 years later and essentially reassessing what has come to be known as Euclidean zoning itself.

Some 33 states have passed reforms to allow more density in zones once reserved for single-family homes only, and to promote the concept of mixed use, blending housing with shops, restaurants, and workplaces all within walking distance — basically the kind of neighborhoods that Euclid made illegal. The critique suggests that American zoning is outdated and hasn’t kept up with the times, and perhaps, most important, has made housing unaffordable and racially segregated.

With us today to unpack all of this is William Fischel, a professor emeritus at Dartmouth College and author of the book, Zoning Rules, published in 2015 by the Lincoln Institute. That volume is cited in the early pages of Abundance by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, who blame excessive regulation for blocking housing and infrastructure projects. Fischel is also the author of The Homevoter Hypothesis, an explanation of how mostly single-family homeowners tend to resist any changes because they’re worried about property values. We’ll discuss that in just a bit.

I should add that Fischel was the keynote speaker at a symposium at George Mason University earlier this year, co-sponsored by the Mercatus Center, the Pacific Legal Foundation, and the Journal of Law, Economics, and Policy, which was featured in Bloomberg City Lab and Land Lines Magazine. He’s a great friend of the Lincoln Institute and served with distinction for many years on the board of the organization. Bill Fischel, welcome to the Land Matters Podcast.

[00:03:31] William Fischel: Thank you, Anthony. Good to be here.

[00:03:33] Anthony Flint: Let’s start toward the beginning of all this, the advent of zoning in the US. One of the fun facts I discovered while researching some of this is that zoning was imported — along with the delicatessen — from Germany after the turn of the last century. Why and how did zoning come to be the go-to policy for guiding growth and development in this country?

[00:03:55] William: Edward Bassett, considered to be the father of zoning: he and other people went to Germany. Germany was the place you went for advanced civilization. In the twenties before World War I, Germany was the high point of culture and science and social science as well. Bassett and some other people went to Germany and studied zoning. He came back with the idea that you could have comprehensive zoning.

Now, comprehensive zoning in Germany turned out was different from comprehensive zoning in the United States. That is, the United States massaged it quite a bit. In Germany, the idea was to split the city into something like thirds, like a pie wedge, so many pie wedges or pizza wedges, where businesses would be in the center, a logical place for them, and along each pie wedge would live the people who worked in that particular industry.

This was to save transportation costs, so you could go back and forth, so all the workers going to the same place could go to the same place at home, regular commuting instead of going in circles and so forth. If you were in the metal industry and there was a metal factory, the metal workers and their bosses would live outside. Now, the bosses lived in nicer homes, maybe a little farther out. It wasn’t like there was great intermixing, but there was this segregation by occupation. That didn’t go anywhere in the United States. We had company towns and things like this where people lived around the factory and so forth.

The zoning that occurred in the United States was really separating residential from commercial from industrial. I grew up in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, where they had a great big steel mill. Workers clustered around the plant. A lot of people walked to work because they couldn’t afford a car, or it was just more convenient. The clustering was natural there. The separation of uses, commercial from industrial and so forth, was a feature of American zoning from the get-go. I think that was what made it fairly attractive.

[00:05:51] Anthony Flint: Now, there was also some thinking in the progressive era at the time about the health impacts. Can you talk a little bit about that, this idea that congestion and tenement houses and housing of any kind being close to a smelter or a tannery and all of that?

[00:06:08] William Fischel: There was certainly that. The big progressive move actually had occurred in the late 19th century that made cities much more livable. They got decent drinking water, and they dug sewers, got the waste out of the neighborhoods, at least. Those were great advances in public health.

Once that was fixed, people, as people do, want to go to the next best thing, and that is, “Let’s not have these noxious fumes from our factory.” If you’re a steelworker, you endure it during the day, you’d rather not endure it at night. You’d like to be a little farther away from the blast furnaces. That was part of the story. This was an issue that could be fixed by distance.

The plant operators in Pittsburgh got together and said, “It’s so damn polluted, people don’t want to live here. We can’t recruit executives to come from other cities because it’s so polluted.” They actually collectively, along with the state of Pennsylvania, restricted the plants themselves, reducing pollution, relocating them so they weren’t so close to the residents, and more or less cleaned up Pittsburgh by the standards of the time. That was a big accomplishment.

The thing that brought on zoning was the desire for single-family homes. That was usually not a problem when there was simply distance involved. What upset that equilibrium was the invention of the automobile. The automobile, and most importantly, the derivatives of the automobile, something called the motor truck and a jitney bus — a jitney bus was a small bus almost always privately operated that just cruised around neighborhoods, picked up people, and took them to work or took them shopping or whatever. It’s like an airport bus now today in its capacity, not in its comfort. The cheap car and the cheap truck and cheap motor bus made industry and apartment dwellers footloose. They didn’t have to walk to work anymore. The industry could put parts of their business, maybe all of their business, out in much cheaper land in the suburbs.

The industry was suffering from congestion by the docks or by the railhead, competing with other businesses. They say, “Let’s move the warehouse out in the suburbs here. We’ve got this tract of land.” Put up a warehouse or put up some storage place or put up a back office operation. They could do that now that they could truck things from one place to another pretty easily. They didn’t have to be stuck to rail lines or trolley lines. That’s what made the single-family house vulnerable. It couldn’t be cured by distance anymore. It had to be cured by something else.

Eventually, developers in California led the charge here. Everybody was moving to California in the early 20th century, emptying out the Midwest. Developers wanted single-family homes. They wanted that single-family house in the suburbs, out in Pasadena and outside central Los Angeles.

The developers in Southern California faced up to this problem and said, “We need to adopt some collective action.” They got the city of Los Angeles to let them establish their own residential districts. It was really the first zoning laws. The problem that came up in Los Angeles was that industry was having a problem finding a place to locate.

The classic case, Sebastian v. Hadacheck … Mr. Hadacheck had a brick factory. He had it downtown Los Angeles. Residential development occurred around his brick factory. You’d think they would have smelled it first, but there they went. They established one of these residential districts and said, “You’ve got to get out of here. Sorry, Hadacheck. You can’t stay here anymore. You’re in the wrong zone.”

Hadacheck moves away, a couple of miles away, and it’s open land. He builds up his brick factory. He has a brick truck. He’s got that Henry Ford derivative invention of a truck. He can move his bricks. He’s happy as a clam until somebody develops a residential area right next to him. Same thing, deja vu all over again, as Yogi Berra would say. He gets zoned out. He takes this case to the California Supreme Court. The California Supreme Court says, “Too bad. First in time is not first in right.” If you’re making something like a nuisance or a brick factory, they’re not pleasant to be next to. He takes it to the US Supreme Court. The US Supreme Court says, “Too bad. Sorry, Hadacheck. You have to move.”

Los Angeles turns around and says, “We have a problem here. Our problem is we got lots of residential land, but we have no place for them to work. We have no place for them to put brick factory. We can’t do anything if we can’t have our business.” They invent the exclusive industrial zone.

On the other side of the river, no houses allowed, at least no new houses allowed. Industry is free to locate there. Once they do that, they have something that looks comprehensive. Just before they do that, New York comes up with it’s comprehensive zoning. My friend, Edward Bassett, writes the zoning law, pretty much, and separates commercial and apartments and so forth in all five boroughs. New York City is a big place, even bigger than Los Angeles back then. Those two events are the birth of zoning.

[00:11:36] Anthony Flint: Now, there’s another theme underpinning some of this in zoning, and that is racial segregation. How did zoning end up becoming a tool to set down the rules for who lived where?

[00:11:49] William: Modern zoning and zoning stemming from Euclid was not who lived where, but what you could do where. It wasn’t a matter of Jones and Smith have to live on this said street and Brown and White have to live on the other side. It was about residential versus commercial versus industrial, and always the size of that house and so forth.

The mix-up, the mash-up here, and I think people are understandably both confused and concerned by this, is that there’s a case before Euclid called Buchanan v. Warley. In Buchanan v. Warley, it started in the border states of the South: Maryland, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Missouri, and so forth. Prior to World War II, a lot of industry is starting to develop, partly generated by demand for US products from the outbreak of the war.

Lots of Black people are coming to these cities. They’re sick of being sharecroppers and being discriminated against, and so they move north to cities. The cities of the border south are quite unwelcoming to Black residents. They’re okay with them in their factories, but they want them to live in their own place. There’s no law that says that Black people have to live in this section and white people live in that section, so they make a law that says exactly that. The law says, “In this area, wherever there are majority whites located in a block, then Black people cannot live there, either rent or buy, except as servants.” This is really virtually an apartheid ordinance.

This law is taken to the US Supreme Court, Buchanan v. Warley, nine years before Euclid, hears the case. It takes a look at the 14th Amendment of the United States, which says life, liberty, and property shall not be denied them anyway. It says, “No, this violates the Constitution and strikes down the law unanimously.” Conservative, liberal, everybody in between says, “No, that will not fly.”

Some of the cities go and try and tweak it a little bit. They see this thing called zoning. Zoning comes in after this and doesn’t mention race or anything about the characteristics of people who might occupy. It just says use. It divides things up. There were residential zones. There were residential zones that allowed apartments. There were commercial zones. There were industrial zones. These zones, in ways that you’d look back at it and say, “It looks sensible.” The residential zones are along these loopy streets that you see in suburbs that were popular back then. The main drag is zoned for apartments.

What Euclid does mainly is says, “It’s okay to separate these uses. We’re not giving you standards as to how to separate them. We’re not telling you what the property is. You’re not telling us you can separate by race. We already struck that down.” Cities kept attempting it, and the courts, even the state courts in the South, were striking it down. It never got any real traction. Zoning, on the other hand, blasted out the gate once the Supreme Court said, “Okay.” The irony here is that developers now complain about the zoning regulations and so forth. Zoning was a developer idea.

[00:14:54] Anthony Flint: All of these threads continue to intertwine through the Great Depression and World War II, through the well- documented practice of redlining certain areas to be eligible for mortgages, the prevalence of racial covenants, on through with the development of places like Levittown and increasingly larger lots that only certain people can afford.

What’s so remarkable is that these rules got so locked in, as you point out, with the owners of primarily single-family homes buttressed by environmental laws and the growth management movement, at least since about 1970. Can you talk a little bit about why it was effectively defended for so long and, of course, continues to be, and that is this idea of nimbyism or not in my backyard?

[00:15:39] William Fischel: I’ve been studying zoning for 50 years. I looked at zoning and I thought it looked too restrictive from an economics point of view, but I said, “Why is this?” I needed to understand not just how zoning operated, but who was behind zoning. I looked around and was on the Hanover (New Hampshire) zoning board. I’m looking at who’s showing up at my meetings. They’re homeowners.

Asking myself, “Why are they going on about these proposed developments near their homes that look perfectly benign to me, better than most, and going on like the earth will end if this project gets done?” It hits me in a financial sense that these people, homeowners like myself, maybe like you, have a very large asset in their financial portfolio.

I’m thinking like an economist. This asset, unlike stocks that you might own, is not diversified. My pension fund is diversified. If General Motors goes south, Tesla will take up the slack, big deal, diversified portfolio. Most of my other assets, about half of my assets, I would estimate, are in my home. If that goes south, there’s no diversification. I can’t pick up my home and move it to another neighborhood. I can’t put my home up in parts and sell it to other parties to make a mutual fund out of it. I’m stuck with a very undiversified asset.

I developed the idea that homeowners are acute, overly, acutely aware of the risk, not just the value, the risk that their home endures because it’s in one place, in one industry, in one location, and they’ve got to defend it. They have to defend it more than you would think would be rational because they’re not just thinking about the expected outcome, they’re thinking about the risk. They show up at the zoning board and behave like they’re irrationally concerned when they’re not irrationally concerned. They’re NIMBYs. They’re not in my backyard.

Now, these people are not terribly effective until 1970. The environmental movement gives them a tool to run around me on the zoning board, to go to court and have the courts decide this. Now, the courts might be sensible places to do, but they take time. For developers, time is money. They’ve bought the land on a loan and they’ve got to pay interest. The bank is not waiting for them. They make compromises. “Oh, we wanted to have quarter-acre lots here. How about I make them half-acre lots or 2-acre lots or something like that?” Low density zoning because I can’t wait for you to decide.

Then lots of the environmental laws become really fussy about things like wetlands. Doubles the amount of land that is taken off the market where developers can’t go or they can’t go without conditions from the zoning board or the planning board to do it. Again, taking time, taking money to do it. This gets multiplied. The environmental movement is at the root of this. It’s not a crazy movement, but it’s taken to extremes by people who are not so much concerned about the environment as the value of their homes.

[00:18:34] Anthony Flint: Now that’s changing.

[00:18:35] William Fischel: I think eventually excessive success generates sometimes a collapse. I think that’s what we’re seeing now. I hope it’s a gentle collapse. I don’t want them to throw out all environmental laws. I don’t want them to fill in all the wetlands or disregard the important environmental issues. They’ve been taken to extremes and they’ve been abused by local groups.

What I’m seeing here is not simply state laws that say, “Towns, you have to pay attention to housing,” but also courts that are saying, “Hey, guys, this endless environmental invocations to stop development have to have an end.” It does have what economists would call an opportunity cost. That opportunity cost is housing and a stratified society and a stultified economy. That’s what the authors of Abundance have pointed out and saying, “We don’t have to be that way.”

One of the things that occasionally makes me happy to be in a diverse democracy is people occasionally say, “Yes, we have to change our ways.” I’m seeing people change their ways and changing their attitudes towards this. I don’t want to run back to 1916 and just get rid of zoning. I think the idea that we can just abolish zoning is very wishful thinking.

[00:19:48] Anthony Flint: A process where zoning is continually tweaked and revisited and an acknowledgement that times have changed, especially with affordability being so front and center.

[00:20:01] William Fischel: I don’t think if we abolished zoning, we would get rid of our racial problems by any stretch of the imagination. I think once you get the town manager or the city manager saying, “I’m sorry. We can’t fill out the ranks of the fire department because we can’t get people to move here,” that gets people’s attention after a while. The private sector has been complaining about that for a while.

Now I think there’s real traction of people feeling the consequences of this excessive fussiness about who your neighbors are that it’s starting to be at least chipped away at by state and even local legislation. I’ve been critical of my own town, but I’ll give my town a bit of credit. We have an infill development in process that allows single-family homes to be converted to two-family, even four-family homes in the neighborhoods. There is resistance, but it was generated entirely by the town council.

You present people with the facts and enough evidence, real-time evidence, sometimes they come around and say, “Yes, we do have to change our ways.” I’m encouraged. I’ve been retired from teaching for six years, but I’m happy to spread some of the hopefully good news of land use regulations that accommodate more people, outsiders, and a larger spectrum of the social and, of course, the racial spectrum that makes the United States an interesting place.

[00:21:17] Anthony Flint: What’s so interesting to me is just how these rules that most people don’t spend a lot of time thinking about really shape our society and how we live.

[00:21:28] William Fischel: One of the things I discovered on the zoning board is how naive, at least from our point of view, people are about zoning. Until something happens in the neighborhood, then they get well-informed. Then they understand what the rules are. I think enough things are happening from enough different points of view that some change is likely to happen. I don’t think it will be without rough spots, but I see the general trend as positive here.

[00:21:49] Anthony Flint: Bill Fischel, thank you so much for joining the conversation at Land Matters.

[00:21:54] William Fischel: You’re welcome.

[00:21:54] Anthony Flint: You can find more background on the Euclid case and Bill Fischel’s book, Zoning Rules, at the Lincoln Institute website, lincolninst.edu. Zoning has a special place in the history of the Lincoln Institute.

We actually had our own symposium on Euclid, if you can believe it, in 1986 on the occasion of the 60th anniversary of the decision, co-organized by Charles Haar and Jerold Kayden from Harvard, and led to the publication of Zoning and the American Dream: Promises Still to Keep, published in 1989. That book, in turn, was reviewed in Cite Journal, a publication of Rice University, under a headline that has to be one of the most clever in scholarly writing about land use: “Here’s Looking at Euclid.”

There’s an additional wonderful Henry George thread here as well. The lawyer for Ambler Realty, Newton Baker, succeeded Tom Johnson as mayor of Cleveland and was similarly a dedicated Georgist, alongside none other than John C. Lincoln, the founder of the Lincoln Institute, who was active as an inventor and entrepreneur in the Cleveland area around the turn of the last century.

One way or the other, we look at zoning and land use regulation, especially as it pertains to housing construction today, pretty much on a continual basis. After all, zoning is about land and we’re the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. On social media, our handle is @landpolicy. Please go ahead and rate, share, and subscribe to Land Matters, the podcast of the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. For now, I’m Anthony Flint signing off until next time.

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A New Ground Lease on Life: In Virginia, County-Owned Land Becomes a Site for Student and Senior Housing

By Jon Gorey, March 31, 2026

Musician Curtis Hunter approaches the world with a smile—even if the world doesn’t always return the gesture. But fate seemed to smile on Hunter last June, at least, when he moved into a new senior housing development built on county-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia.

A few years before, at 58, Hunter had been assaulted near his old apartment building in Seven Corners, suffering a collapsed lung and broken bones. A difficult stretch followed, including a bout of homelessness and another violent attack. But last year, a Fairfax County caseworker suggested Hunter look into a new affordable housing development for seniors, called Belmont at One University. It’s one of several recent projects that have seen Fairfax County leverage the value of its publicly owned land to spur new affordable housing.

A former handyman and touring musician (he played guitar and harmonica in bands that opened for Los Lobos and Donovan, among other acts), Hunter now lives on disability income and says he’s grateful for his new home.

“I appreciate it so much, it’s a very wonderful thing. I really appreciate that they allow my pet,” he says. Unlike three of his former cats—who would accompany Hunter outside, perched on a carpeted platform he would attach to a backpack or bike rack—his latest cat, Sophie, is timid; adopted at nine and a half, she prefers lounging in the window, gazing at the nearby sports complex and neighbors walking along the bike path.

The field house across the street, where Hunter has taken in the occasional lacrosse or soccer game, is part of George Mason University, a public university with about 40,000 students.

One University is located next door to the college, on a 10.8-acre property owned by the Fairfax County Redevelopment and Housing Authority (FCRHA). The parcel previously held an FCRHA affordable housing complex of 46 townhomes, called Robinson Square. In 2021, those tenants were relocated to temporary housing until the new homes were ready—a step that was not without challenges or misgivings, but which allowed for a fivefold increase in the number of affordable housing units on site.

The property now comprises three new buildings: Robinson, named for the former townhome complex, which holds 120 affordable one- to four-bedroom units for all ages; Belmont, with 120 affordable one- and two-bedroom apartments reserved for seniors aged 62 and older; and Main on University, with over 300 market-rate student apartments.

The three buildings sit on county-owned land leased at a nominal rate for 99 years—the land added an estimated $12 million subsidy to help the projects get built. However, the buildings are privately owned and managed, and thus pay the county hundreds of thousands of dollars apiece in local property taxes.

This kind of arrangement—a ground lease that allows communities to hold onto their land while sharing in the revenue generated by development on that land—is one of several ways  communities are putting public land to use in order to expand affordable housing. And it’s providing new opportunities for tenants of all ages.

Curtis Hunter speaks to the camera. He has gray hair and is wearing a striped orange, blue, and white polo shirt.
Musician Curtis Hunter, who lives in an apartment complex built on county-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia. Credit: Belmont at One University/Paradigm Property Management, LLC.

Hunter enjoys having college students next door and says some have helped organize social events for the senior residents, from game nights to group walks. “There’s one group, they come over, and they help with getting some of these things together—the art class and the open mic, and they have what’s called ‘Cups and Company,’ where they get people from the two buildings to come down and have tea and cookies together,” he explains. “I appreciate them being there, since I don’t have family and don’t get to see my nieces and nephews.”

This Land Is Your Land

In 2022, Fairfax County doubled its affordable housing target, committing to the addition of 10,000 new affordable units by 2034, with no net loss of existing affordable homes. The original goal of 5,000 affordable homes, set in 2019, was always intended to be “a floor, not a ceiling,” according to the advisory panel that issued the recommendation. While median household incomes are high in Fairfax, at more than $154,000 a year, median home values are more than double the national average, at $760,400, according to US Census data. The county has, in some cases, acquired new land in order to develop transit-oriented affordable housing. But lately, especially after the success of One University, the FCRHA is looking more closely at co-locating new affordable housing with existing public facilities on land it already owns or controls.

“We’re looking at a few public facilities, [including] two libraries,” says Anna Shapiro, deputy director for real estate development and finance at the FCRHA. The libraries’ large parking lots offer the potential to co-locate housing on county-owned sites that are “also really accessible in terms of transportation infrastructure and access to jobs and amenities,” she notes. “That piece is really important for us, because as we’re evaluating these properties, we want to make sure that we’re setting people up for success and not isolating people.”

Positioned on the edge of a college campus, One University is fairly walkable, about a mile from grocery stores and the city center. “I bought a little sit-down scooter that gets me up to the Giant and to the Safeway in Fairfax City,” Hunter says. A network of wide bike paths and sidewalks makes it easy to get around.

The county’s latest co-located affordable housing development, currently nearing completion, is also centrally located—on a pair of underutilized parking lots next to the county’s Government Center offices. Fairfax Crest, as it’s called, will hold 279 affordable units for renters earning 30 to 70 percent of the area median income (AMI). The project is actually a sequel of sorts: The nearby Residences at Government Center were completed almost a decade ago. However, Fairfax Crest includes more amenities, like a public plaza, 15,000 square feet of community space, and a childcare center.

An aerial rendering of Fairfax Crest shows two apartment buildings facing an interior courtyard with a playground.
An aerial rendering of Fairfax Crest, an affordable housing development underway on county-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia. Credit: KTGY.

The average two-bedroom apartment in Fairfax rents for more than $2,400 a month, according to Zillow and RentCafe estimates, while income-restricted two-bedroom apartments at Robinson and Belmont currently rent for $1,653 to $2,022 per month. Rents at Fairfax Crest have yet to be announced, but between the income-restricted rents and energy-efficient appliances and construction (including rooftop solar panels) that reduce utility costs, most tenants should not have to spend more than 30 percent of their gross income on housing expenses—relieving them of the “cost-burdened” status nearly half of US renters experience.

Shapiro was able to tour one of the Fairfax Crest buildings as construction was wrapping up. “We got to go up to one of the units, and I have to say, the views from the top floors of what is an affordable housing development are gorgeous,” she says. “The county has been very clear that just because it’s affordable housing, it shouldn’t look different than our other housing—and we do have pretty high expectations for what people deliver in our county.”

Building Support for Building

While the federal government owns plenty of land, much of it—from military bases to national parks and wildlife refuges—is not particularly sensible for residential development. States and municipalities, however, control over 250,000 acres of buildable land in high-demand, urban areas, according to a 2024 analysis by the Lincoln Institute’s Center for Geospatial Solutions. This includes surface parking lots, vacant lots, and shuttered municipal buildings in prime locations near jobs and public transit.

Still, it takes initiative and money—and, often, some political courage and leadership—to convert municipally owned land to affordable housing or other publicly beneficial uses.

Shapiro thinks the success of One University and other recent projects helped build the necessary confidence and support among county officials to pursue the Fairfax Crest project. “Seeing all those results, I think they said, ‘Okay, let’s do this in our front yard. Let’s make this really visible, and show our commitment very clearly to affordable housing,’” Shapiro says.

An aerial photo of the One University area, with the site outlined in red.
A map of the One University site, a 10.8-acre property owned by Fairfax County that previously held 46 affordable townhomes and meeting space for the Fairfax County Redevelopment and Housing Authority. The site was redeveloped to hold 240 affordable units for seniors and families, as well as apartments for students attending nearby George Mason University. Credit: Fairfax County Department of Planning and Development.

The County Board of Supervisors has been “critical in actually making this happen,” she adds, championing the housing affordability issue politically. “Not only do we have this goal of 10,000 net new units in the county, we’re also going to put our money where our mouth is and put our land where our mouth is.”

Fairfax Crest consists of two main buildings, each with its own cocktail of financing and tax credits. As with One University, the buildings are owned and operated by private companies, on land leased from the county for a 99-year term. “We are very, very concerned about keeping long-term control of our county,” Shapiro says, especially right next to the government offices. “We understood that the value of the land would really help to subsidize the development of the property.”

Each building combined a 4 percent low-income housing tax credit from Virginia Housing with an additional 9 percent tax credit won through a competitive process, in what Shapiro calls a “twinning” strategy. The FCRHA also issued a pair of bonds to help finance the development, totaling $23.5 million, as well as $25 million in loans from its Blueprint fund. “There are other sources in the deal, too—some other state funding and a grant for the daycare buildout,” Shapiro says. “We try to set up our underwriting criteria to really ensure that developers are going out and getting outside capital as well.”

Fairfax County’s decision to retain ownership of its land through ground leases is preferable to what many municipalities end up doing to spur affordable housing development: selling the lot for a dollar, granting a 20-year tax abatement, and “losing all of the value of the asset forever just to achieve the outcome,” says Robert ‘R.J.’ McGrail, director of the Lincoln Institute’s Accelerating Community Investment program.

Every incentive matters, McGrail notes, and each one “can be the difference between shovels in the ground and cranes in the air or not.” But surrendering future tax revenue risks degrading the public services that the new residents, from across the income spectrum, will rely on. “Losing pieces of that to get a deal done is a choice, one that jurisdictions make every day,” he says. “For me, optimizing the disposition strategy in a way that is least extractive of downstream public revenue makes a land activation housing affordability strategy also a municipal fiscal health strategy.”

As of early February, Fairfax County has delivered 1,373 new affordable units toward its goal, with another 2,470 units in 11 projects either under construction or in the pipeline, including Fairfax Crest, according to FCHRA’s affordable housing dashboard. In addition to the libraries Shapiro mentioned, the FCHRA is evaluating other county-owned sites for affordable housing potential, including a park-and-ride lot and a community center. And as the Town of Franconia prepares to move its government offices to a new campus, the county planning commission in February approved a proposal to build 120 units of new affordable housing on the vacated site, along with a district police station, museum, and expanded public library.

‘It Makes Me Smile Again’

What none of those numbers quite captures is the impact a welcoming, safe, affordable place to live can have on individuals and families—the friendships made, the worries dispelled.

Cheerful and outgoing, Hunter is something of a Belmont ambassador, recruiting residents to the building’s social events and classes, and suggesting new ones. He’d like to see parties held for people’s birthdays, for example. “I have a funny feeling that people might appreciate that,” he says. “People who don’t have family, who don’t have company coming all the time, who don’t get out as often … it’s probably pretty special for them.”

In his first-floor apartment, his instruments at hand, Hunter now plucks out a short melody; his cat, Sophie, makes for a captive if indifferent audience. “She’s my comfort animal, after what I’ve been through, and having pets all my life,” he says. “It was pets and music, those were my calming things.”

As the chords ring out over the jingle of a tambourine, Sophie lazes in the window. “She’s up there at least 10 and a half hours a day, sitting there just staring out that window,” Hunter says. “Right outside my window is the bike trail. So that’s where all the dogs from the neighborhood get walked … Every once in a while, a dog notices her and comes up to see her, and the same with people,” he adds.

“I’m glad I have this window; it’s important for me, too,” Hunter reflects. “I’m an extrovert, and watching people walk by, it makes me smile again to look at people. There are a few people who’ll look in the window to see if Sophie’s there today—that helps my soul.”

A cat sits on a platform looking out a window at leafless trees and a red car.
Sophie keeps watch at One University. Credit: Curtis Hunter.

Jon Gorey is a staff writer at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Lead image: Part of the One University redevelopment on County-owned land in Fairfax County, Virginia. Credit: Hartman Design Group.

Land Wise
Blog Post
Aerial view of downtown Detroit on a bright day, with a dense cluster of high-rise buildings along the Detroit River. Glass and stone skyscrapers rise above lower office buildings, while the river stretches behind the skyline and the far shoreline is visible in the distance under a blue, lightly clouded sky.

Lincoln Institute at the 2026 National Planning Conference

By Catherine Benedict, March 17, 2026

Experts from the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy will lead and participate in discussions about planning for data centers, equitably addressing climate change, leveraging scenario planning, and more at the American Planning Association’s National Planning Conference from April 25 to April 28 in Detroit, Michigan.

We encourage conference attendees to stop by the Lincoln Institute’s booth (#100) in the exhibit hall to explore multimedia displays and our wide range of publications. Policy Focus Reports will be available free of charge, and conference attendees can purchase books at a discount, including City Tech: 20 Apps, Ideas, and Innovators Changing the Urban Landscape; Mayor’s Desk: 20 Conversations with Local Leaders Solving Global Problems; Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions; and Design with Nature Now. The discount will also be available for online orders.

In late May, Lincoln Institute researchers will present an additional set of online sessions in the virtual portion of the conference. 

Learn more about the in-person and online sessions featuring Lincoln Institute programs below. 

SATURDAY, APRIL 25

11:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. ET  | The 2026 Trend Report: Emerging Trends and Signals (HPCC, Room 310AB)

We live in a world characterized by accelerating change and increased uncertainty. Planners are tasked with helping their communities navigate these changes and provide guidance on preparing for an uncertain future. However, conventional planning practices often fail to adequately consider the future, even while planning for it. Most plans reflect past data and current assumptions but do not account for trends emerging on the horizon. 

To create resilient and equitable plans for the future, planners need to incorporate foresight into their work. This presentation outlines emerging trends that will be vital for planners to consider and introduces strategies for making sense of the future while practicing foresight in community planning. By embracing foresight, planners can effectively guide change, foster more sustainable and equitable outcomes, and position themselves as critical contributors to thriving communities. The practice of foresight is imperative for equipping communities for what lies ahead. 

Moderator and Speaker: Ievgeniia Dulko, American Planning Association

Speakers:

  • Petra Hurtado, PhD, American Planning Association
  • Senna Catenacci, American Planning Association
  • Joseph DeAngelis, AICP, American Planning Association

SUNDAY, APRIL 26

10:30 a.m.–12:30 p.m. ET | Planning with Foresight (Room 250A-C)

Futures literacy is becoming increasingly important in planning. It is the skill that allows people to better understand the role the future plays in what they see and do. This involves imagining multiple plausible futures, incorporating future scenarios into our work, and planning with foresight.  

This interactive learning experience, presented in a learning lab format, focuses on applying strategic foresight in planning and serves as an essential learning lab for individuals dedicated to shaping a better future for their community.  

Moderator and Speaker: Ievgeniia Dulko, American Planning Association

Speakers:

  • Petra Hurtado, PhD, American Planning Association
  • Senna Catenacci, American Planning Association
  • Alykhan Mohamed, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

1:00 p.m.–1:45 p.m. ET | Leading Cities Through Change—Mayors Panel (Room 420AB)

Local leaders will discuss innovations in planning, affordable housing, climate resilience, and public finance in the context of a rapidly changing political environment.  

Moderator and Speaker: Anthony Flint, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Mayor Sheldon Neeley, City of Flint
  • Mayor Christopher Taylor, City of Ann Arbor
  • Mayor David LaGrand, City of Grand Rapids

1:00 p.m.–1:45 p.m. ET | When the Cloud Drops—Planning for Data Centers (Room 410AB)

As the demand for digital infrastructure and artificial intelligence accelerates, communities are increasingly approached by data center operators seeking suitable sites. While marketed as drivers of economic growth, these facilities often carry significant costs that are not fully transparent during the siting process. Data centers require immense physical resources—land for large footprints, vast amounts of water for cooling, and energy that strains local grids—raising questions about sustainability and long-term resilience. They also may introduce frontline communities to new sources of pollution, increased truck traffic, and environmental justice concerns, yet these voices are often marginalized in opaque political and regulatory processes. Promised economic benefits, such as job creation and tax revenue, are frequently overstated or unevenly distributed, leaving cities to shoulder environmental burdens with limited community gain.  

This presentation convenes a diverse panel to unpack complex planning challenges such as critically assessing data center proposals, advocating for accountability, and elevating community priorities. By examining the trade-offs of siting decisions through the lenses of resource management, equity, and governance, you will leave with practical strategies to question assumptions, navigate political opacity, and build stronger negotiating positions to ensure decisions genuinely serve the long-term interests of municipalities and their residents.  

Moderator and Speaker: Mary Ann Dickinson, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Kyle Mucha 
  • Manny Patole
  • Brett Gracely  

2:00 p.m.–2:45 p.m. ET | Equitable Urban Planning for a Changing Climate (Room 410AB)

This presentation offers actionable strategies to help planners advance equitable policies that simultaneously address climate change, housing affordability, and economic inequality. A new Lincoln Institute Policy Focus Report, Planning in a Polycrisis, synthesizes responses from surveys of professional planners and policymakers working in cities across North America. It highlights emerging innovations and the trade-offs in effectively integrating these considerations into their work. Other constraints are caused by shifting political landscapes, limited funding, and deepening social vulnerabilities. However, these planners’ work also advances integrated, equity-driven urban climate planning, and their innovations form a framework for cities to move from ad hoc responses toward a long-term equitable climate urbanism.  

The report’s authors and practicing planners explore practical strategies to address the barriers and trade-offs cities face. The conversation sheds light on how climate and housing planning can co-adapt to counter rising socioeconomic vulnerability, with a focus on the most recent shifts in practice. Showcasing these examples aims to empower city leaders with specific recommendations and strategies for advancing a model of climate urbanism that responds to the demands of a polycrisis.  

Moderator and Speaker: Amy Cotter, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Eleanor Sharpe 
  • Emilia Oscilowicz 
  • Adam Lyons  

5:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. ET | APA Water and Planning Network Meeting (Marriott Renaissance Center Hotel, Joliet B Room)

This meeting is for those interested in the American Planning Association’s Water and Planning Network, a gathering of land use planners and water systems planners who work towards better integration of water and land use planning led by the Lincoln Institute’s Mary Ann Dickinson. The network’s activities include newsletters and webinars on relevant topics. The next 12 months of the Network’s activities will be discussed.

Moderator and Speaker: Mary Ann Dickinson, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy


THURSDAY, MAY 28 (VIRTUAL)

1:30 p.m. – 2:15 p.m. ET | Navigating Uncertainty—Using Strategic Foresight for Action-Oriented Planning (Channel 2)

Planners are fielding more “what-if” questions than ever as residents and local officials cope with increasing uncertainty and rapid change. Scenario planning is a systematic approach to answering these questions and kickstarting conversations with stakeholders about possible futures and their implications for today’s better decisions. These foresight tools can help planners create more flexible, resilient strategies to achieve local goals, come what may.  

 This presentation highlights how the Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning (CMAP) is using horizon scanning and exploratory scenario planning to define a long-term vision (the Century Plan) in a large, complex metropolitan region composed of seven counties, 284 municipalities, and 8.5 million residents. CMAP is considering drivers of change and an understanding of regional systems—including transportation, natural resources, and the economy—to explore the grand challenges and strategic responses that should define the region’s next era. Presenters explore how these tools are bringing foresight into planning and discussions for bold regional action. Learn how CMAP engaged with elected leaders and other planners, and how you can use resources from state and regional agencies to encourage local officials to shift to a horizon-based mindset.  

Moderator and Speaker: Heather Sauceda Hannon, AICP, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Elizabeth Ginsberg 
  • Austen Edwards

2:30 p.m. – 3:15 p.m. ET | Exploratory Scenario Planning for Brazil’s Public Lands (Channel 1)

Brazil’s Secretariat for Federal Assets (SPU), an agency within the Ministry of Management and Innovation in Public Services (MIG), collaborated with the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy to apply exploratory scenario planning (XSP) to federal land policy. The work supports the Imóvel da Gente (Property of the People) program, which positions federal land as a strategic asset for socioenvironmental development.  

Attendees will learn how futures thinking can be integrated into national policy frameworks with practical methods for designing participatory scenario planning processes in complex governance settings. The session will present strategies for engaging multiple agencies, fostering collaboration among jurisdictions, and embedding equity goals into long-term planning.  

Through the case of Brazil’s first XSP initiative, participants will explore tools for identifying drivers of change, developing plausible future scenarios, and translating scenario outcomes into actionable strategies. These approaches can help planners address uncertainty, adapt to shifting conditions, and create policies that are resilient and inclusive.  

The session emphasizes how collaborative, futures-oriented methods can strengthen institutional capacity, broaden participation, and ensure that land use policies serve diverse community needs. Attendees will leave with transferable strategies to support equitable, future-ready planning in their contexts.  

Moderator and Speaker: Daniela Faria, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

3:30 p.m. – 4:30 p.m. ET | State Preemption for Housing—Benefit or Bane? (Channel 1)

Increasingly, states are taking legislative action to preempt planning and zoning decisions by local governments. Sometimes this can pave the way for important planning initiatives, but it can also prevent cities from achieving their goals. Hear a national land use law expert and planning directors from across the country discuss how state preemption is affecting local planning—for better and for worse.  

Moderator and Speaker: Heather Sauceda Hannon, AICP, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Andreea D. Udrea 
  • Lucy Kempf 
  • Meagan McMahan

FRIDAY, MAY 29 (VIRTUAL) 

12:30 p.m.–1:15 p.m. ET | Integrated Resource Planning—Where Land Meets Water (Channel 1)

Pick up a range of perspectives and tools, including foundational context, local examples, and strategies using various planning frameworks, to advance the integration of land and water planning. Presenters bring a wealth of experience at multiple planning scales and contexts, both governmental and nongovernmental. 

Moderator and Speaker: William E. Cesanek, AICP, CDM Smith

Speakers:

  • Steve Epting
  • Rachael Belisle-Toler
  • Adam Schempp
  • Mary Ann Dickinson, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Catherine Benedict is the senior digital communications manager at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Lead Photo: The skyline of downtown Detroit, where the 2026 National Planning Conference will take place. Photo Credit: Vadym Terelyuk via iStock / Getty Images Plus.