Topic: Planificación urbana y regional

Curso

Scenario Planning 101

Free, ofrecido en inglés


This course is prepared in partnership with the American Planning Association (APA). It will introduce you to Scenario Planning, a planning process that will enable you to create responsive plans that can adapt to unexpected changes.

This is an interactive course. You won’t need the use of speakers or microphone, but be prepared to click on buttons and icons and drag items around to access to additional information. “Knowledge Check” questions will help you test your learning as you navigate the different modules.

Registrar


Detalles

Idioma
inglés
Costo
Free
Tipo de certificado o crédito
Lincoln Institute certificate

Palabras clave

planificación de escenarios

Blog Post
A crowd sitting in a ballroom

Lincoln Institute at the 2024 National Planning Conference

By Catherine Benedict, Marzo 19, 2024

Experts from the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy will lead and participate in discussions about housing affordability, planning foresight, and scenario planning as well as host a panel discussion with the mayors of Minneapolis, Cincinnati, and Scranton at the American Planning Association’s National Planning Conference from April 13 to 15 in Minneapolis.

We encourage conference attendees to stop by the Lincoln Institute’s booths (#1003 and #1005) in the exhibit hall to explore multimedia displays and our wide range of publications. Policy Focus Reports will be available free of charge, and conference attendees can purchase books at a discount, including Mayor’s Desk: 20 Conversations with Local Leaders Solving Global Problems, Megaregions and America’s Future, Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions, and Design with Nature Now.

In May, Lincoln Institute researchers will present an additional set of online sessions in the virtual portion of the conference.

Learn more about the in-person and online sessions featuring Lincoln Institute staff below.

SATURDAY, APRIL 13

12–12:20 p.m. CT | XSP for Advancing Housing Affordability and Availability Strategies (Room 102 AB)

In the United States, housing supply is increasingly limited and costly, contributing to a housing crisis that has left millions of Americans homeless, rent burdened, displaced, or unable to afford to live in certain areas. The Consortium for Scenario Planning at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy has selected four project proposals that will work through May 2024 using workshops, games, toolkits, and reports to study or apply exploratory scenario planning to examine local housing trends and generate strategies that improve housing affordability and accessibility.

Moderator & Speaker: Libertad Figuereo, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy


SUNDAY, APRIL 14

11:30–12:15 p.m. CT | Emerging Trends and Signals: The 2024 Trend Report (Room 200 F – J)

This presentation describes emerging trends that will be important for planners to consider and introduces ways to make sense of the future and practice foresight in community planning. With foresight (i.e., understanding potential future trends and knowing how to prepare for them) in mind, planners can guide change, create more sustainable and equitable outcomes, and establish themselves as critical to a thriving community. The practice of foresight is imperative when preparing communities for what’s coming.

Moderator & Speaker: Petra Hurtado, PhD, American Planning Association 

Speakers:

  • Sagar Shah, PhD, AICP, American Planning Association
  • Ievgeniia Dulko, American Planning Association
  • Joseph DeAngelis, AICP, American Planning Association

MONDAY, APRIL 15

8:30 a.m. – 9:15 a.m. CT | Imagine 2050: Scenario Planning for the MSP Region (Room 200 A – E)

The future is full of uncertainty that can paralyze today’s public actions. In this session, you will learn how the Twin Cities Metropolitan Council is exploring future scenarios to manage uncertainty and coordinate long-range policies and investments.

Moderator & Speaker: Dan Marckel, Metropolitan Council of the Twin Cities

Speakers: 

  • Heather Sauceda Hannon, AICP, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy
  • Baris Gumus-Dawes, Metropolitan Council of the Twin Cities

10:30 a.m. – 11:15 a.m. CT | Equitable Revitalization in Postindustrial Cities: Mayors Panel (Ballroom B)

Mayors of US cities will join Anthony Flint of the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy—author of the recently published book Mayor’s Desk—to discuss how policy makers and planners are working together to reinvent their cities in the face of climate change, a housing affordability crisis, and other challenges. Planners will be able to gain key takeaways from municipal leaders, and explore the challenges and opportunities ahead.

Moderator & Speaker: Anthony Flint, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers: 

  • Jessie Grogan, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy
  • Mayor Aftab Pureval, City of Cincinnati
  • Mayor Jacob Frey, City of Minneapolis
  • Mayor Paige Cognetti, City of Scranton

WEDNESDAY, MAY 8 (VIRTUAL) 

12:30–1:15 p.m. CT | Cities Post Pandemic: Adaptive and Inclusive (Channel 2)

Planning directors from a few of the largest cities in the United States will be joined by an expert on changes happening in cities post pandemic. They will discuss the struggle for inclusive growth in adapting downtowns to a changing economy and society.

Moderator and Speaker: Jessie Grogan, AICP, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers:

  • Tracy Loh, PhD, Brookings Institution
  • Samuel P. Leichtling, AICP, City of Milwaukee Department of City Development
  • Lourenzo Giple, City of Indianapolis

THURSDAY, MAY 9 (VIRTUAL) 

10:00–10:45 a.m. CT | Equitable Climate Migration Receiving Communities (Channel 2)

This panel will convene learned experts from across the country to discuss the ways knowledge, policy, and research around climate migration impact receiving communities. Migration poses challenges and creates opportunities to make transformational change; the panel will focus on the tools and policy recommendations available to planners.

Moderator and Speaker: Patrick Welch, AICP, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy

Speakers:

  • Amy Cotter, Lincoln Institute of Land Policy
  • Damla Kuru, PhD, University of Massachusetts, Amherst

Catherine Benedict is the digital communications manager at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Lead image (inset photo): Office of Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey.


This multimedia case examines the impact of Burlington, VT’s affordable housing strategies on the Old North End (“the ONE”)—a historically low-income neighborhood which boasts a robust stock of affordable housing while facing rising costs of living and demand for housing. It traces the history of Burlington’s efforts back to the 1980s, when the city government under then-mayor Bernie Sanders established programs and policies to produce affordable housing and combat gentrification and displacement.

This case study video was named Gold Telly Winner in the 45th Annual Telly Awards in two categories: Documentary: Short Form and Education & Training.

The Case Study

The Backstory

Still the ONE: Lessons from a Small City’s Big Commitment to Affordability, by Julie Campoli appears in the October 2023 issue of Land Lines, the quarterly magazine of the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Exhibits

Map: The Champlain Housing Trust’s 2,569 Rentals and 675 Shared-Equity Homes in Northwestern Vermont

 

 

Map: All Permanently Affordable Units in the Old North End 

Timeline

Burlington Case Study TImeline

References

Aurand, Andrew, et al. 2021. 2021 Picture of Preservation. National Low Income Housing Coalition and Public and Affordable Housing Research Corporation. https://preservationdatabase.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/NHPD_2021Report.pdf.
Aurand, Andrew, et al. 2022. “Out of Reach: The High Cost of Housing.” National Low Income Housing Coalition. https://nlihc.org/oor.

Cohen, Helen, and Lipman, Mark. 2016. Arc of Justice: The Rise, Fall and Rebirth of a Beloved Community (documentary film). https://www.arcofjusticefilm.com/.

Davis, John Emmeus. Ed. 2020. The Community Land Trust Reader. Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. https://www.lincolninst.edu/publications/books/community-land-trust-reader.

Davis, John Emmeus. 1990. Building the Progressive City: Third Sector Housing in Burlington. Philadelphia: Temple University Press. https://ecommons.cornell.edu/handle/1813/40513.

Ellen, Ingrid, et al. 2021. Through the Roof: What Communities Can Do About the High Cost of Rental Housing in America. Policy Focus Report. Cambridge, MA: Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. https://www.lincolninst.edu/publications/policy-focus-reports/through-roof-what-communities-can-do-high-cost-rental-housing.

Freddie Mac. 2018. Spotlight on Underserved Markets: Affordable Housing in High Opportunity Areas. Policy Brief, Washington, DC: Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation. https://mf.freddiemac.com/docs/Affordable_Housing_in_High_Opportunity_Areas.pdf.

Jickling, Katie. 2018. “Ready or Not: Is Gentrification Inevitable in Burlington’s Old North End?” Seven Days. January 17. https://www.sevendaysvt.com/vermont/ready-or-not-is-gentrification-inevitable-in-burlingtons-old-north-end.

Libby, James M. Jr. 2006. “The Policy Basis Behind Permanently Affordable Housing: A Cornerstone of Vermont’s Housing Policy Since 1987.” Montpelier, VT: Vermont Housing and Conservation Board. https://vhcb.org/sites/default/files/pdfs/articles/permanentaffordability06.pdf.

Opportunity Insights. “Neighborhoods Matter: Children’s Lives Are Shaped by the Neighborhoods They Grow Up In.” Online Research Collection. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University. https://opportunityinsights.org/neighborhoods.

Quigley, Aidan. 2019. “Who Owns Burlington? The Largest Holdings Are in the Hands of a Few.” VTDigger. November 3. https://vtdigger.org/2019/11/03/who-owns-burlington-the-largest-holdings-are-in-the-hands-of-a-few.

Torpy, Brenda. 2015. “Champlain Housing Trust.” Case Study. Center for Community Land Trust Innovation. https://cltweb.org/case-studies/champlain-housing-trust.

For Teachers

Topics

Affordable housing, community land trusts, gentrification and displacement

Timeframe

1980 – 2023

Prerequisite Knowledge

None

Learning Objectives

  • Evaluate the impact of permanently affordable housing in high-opportunity areas
  • Identify the policy approaches that helped Burlington develop and preserve affordable housing opportunities in gentrifying neighborhoods
  • Articulate how a community land trust works and why this model is effective in Burlington

Orchestrating Impact: Retiring Scholars Reflect on the Lincoln Institute

February 1, 2023

By Anthony Flint, February 1, 2023

 

Having impact at a nonprofit research organization requires being both determined and nimble, according to three scholars who retired last year from the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy after decades of service.

The three scholars—geographer and urbanist Armando Carbonell, who led programs in urban planning and land conservation; Daphne Kenyon, an economist studying the property tax and municipal finance; and economist Martim Smolka, director of the organization’s Latin America program—share reflections about their work and the Lincoln Institute in a special edition of the Land Matters podcast.

Though they pursued different areas of inquiry during their time at the organization, they found common themes, like the central task of assembling and convening a network of practitioners, and continually inviting feedback to keep up to date on the challenges and emerging issues in their fields.

One such network formed in the 1980s when Boston attorney Kingsbury Browne brought together a handful of people who were establishing conservation easements to safeguard ecosystems across the United States. The value of exchanging information about tax laws and land conservation was deemed to be so great, the group ended up forming the Land Trust Alliance, which now represents nearly 1,000 land trusts with some 60 million acres in conservation.

Another area of critical importance: communicating in plain terms and being attentive to different audiences, whether the topic is climate migration or informal settlements or the way the property tax pays for essential local services including schools. The interviewees cite Lincoln Institute projects like the State-by-State Property Tax At a Glance website, the Making Sense of Place film series, and a role-playing game that leads participants through the steps of functioning land markets as successful examples of this approach.

The three scholars (bios below) also recall how they first discovered and interacted with the Lincoln Institute—all of them starting more than 30 years ago—and share their experiences putting together extensive programming over that time. They also look ahead to the daunting challenges awaiting future generations working in the nonprofit realm.

Martim O. Smolka, former senior fellow and director of the Program on Latin America and the Caribbean, is an economist. His areas of expertise include land markets and land policy, access to land by the urban poor, the structuring of property markets in Latin America and property tax systems, including the use of land value increment charges to finance urban development and infrastructure. A graduate of the University of Pennsylvania (MA/PhD), he is co-founder and former president of the Brazilian National Association for Research and Graduate Studies on Urban and Regional Planning.

Daphne A. Kenyon, PhD, is a former resident fellow in tax policy at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. Her specialty is state and local public finance, with an emphasis on the property tax. She serves as the president of the National Tax Association. Kenyon’s prior positions include principal of D.A. Kenyon & Associates, a public finance consulting firm; professor and chair of the economics department at Simmons College; senior economist with the U.S. Department of the Treasury and the Urban Institute; and assistant professor at Dartmouth College. Kenyon earned her BA in economics from Michigan State University and her MA and PhD in economics from the University of Michigan. She has published numerous reports, articles, and three books. Her research has been cited in The New York Times and The Economist, among other publications. Her latest work was writing a major revision of the 2007 report The Property Tax-School Funding Dilemma with co-authors Bethany Paquin and Andrew Reschovsky.

Armando Carbonell served as head of the Lincoln Institute’s urban planning program. After attending Clark University and the Johns Hopkins University, Carbonell spent the early part of his career as an academic geographer. He went on to initiate a new planning system for Cape Cod, Massachusetts, as the founding Executive Director of the Cape Cod Commission. In 1992 he was awarded a Loeb Fellowship at the Graduate School of Design at Harvard University. Carbonell later taught urban planning at Harvard and the University of Pennsylvania and served as an editor of the British journal Town Planning Review. He has consulted on master plans in Houston, Texas, and Fujian Province, China, and is the author or editor of numerous works on city and regional planning and planning for climate change, including Nature and Cities: The Ecological Imperative in Urban Design and Planning. Carbonell is a Fellow of the American Institute of Certified Planners, Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences (UK), and Lifetime Honorary Member of the Royal Town Planning Institute (UK).

You can listen to the show and subscribe to Land Matters on Apple PodcastsGoogle PodcastsSpotifyStitcher, or wherever you listen to podcasts.

And for the first time, this episode of Land Matters can also be viewed as a video on YouTube.

 


 

Anthony Flint is a senior fellow at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, host of the Land Matters podcast, and a contributing editor of Land Lines.

Image: (Left to Right): Daphne Kenyon, Martim Smolka, Armando Carbonell, and Anthony Flint.


Further Reading

Implementing Value Capture in Latin America

Seven Need-to-Know Trends for Planners in 2023

Rethinking the Property Tax-School Funding Dilemma